Miami (OH) vs. Bowling Green Prediction: Picks & Start Time – October 2022

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MAC rivals will do battle when the Miami (OH) RedHawks (3-3) battle the Bowling Green Falcons (2-4) at Doyt L. Perry Stadium in Bowling Green, Ohio.

Miami (OH) vs. Bowling Green Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 7 points, with oddsmakers listing Miami (OH) as the favorites.


As for the moneyline, Miami (OH) has -275 odds to pick up the win, while Bowling Green is listed at +219 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 45 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch Miami (OH) vs. Bowling Green Live?

  • Game Day: Saturday, October 15, 2022
  • Game Time: 12:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN+
  • Location: Bowling Green, Ohio
  • Stadium: Doyt L. Perry Stadium

Betting Preview

Miami (OH)

While Miami (OH) ranks 40th in total defense with 348.0 yards allowed per game, the team’s offensive unit has been a little less successful, ranking 16th-worst (322.2 yards per game). Miami (OH) ranks 21st-worst in scoring offense (20.8 points per game), but has played slightly better on defense, ranking 61st with 25.2 points allowed per contest. Miami (OH) ranks ninth-worst in passing offense (141.2 passing yards per game), but thas played slightly better on defense, ranking 102nd with 261.7 passing yards allowed per contest. Miami (OH) ranks 44th in rushing yards this season (181.0 rushing yards per game), but has been shining on defense, ranking ninth-best in the FBS with 86.3 rushing yards allowed per game. While Miami (OH)’s third-down defense ranks 60th with a 37.3% third-down percentage allowed per game, the offense has been less successful, ranking 15th-worst with a 31.0% third-down percentage. Miami (OH) has the 24th-best turnover margin in college football at +4, forcing 11 turnovers (25th in the FBS) while turning it over seven times (43rd in the FBS).

Bowling Green

This season has been difficult for Bowling Green on both offense and defense, as it is averaging just 337.0 total yards per game (25th-worst) and surrendering 492.3 total yards per game (fourth-worst). Bowling Green has not been getting things done on defense, ranking third-worst with 41.0 points allowed per game. It has been more productive on the other side of the ball, posting 26.7 points per contest (85th-ranked). Bowling Green’s defense has been a bottom-25 unit in pass defense this season, surrendering 311.2 passing yards per game, which ranks third-worst in the FBS. On the offensive side of the ball, it ranks 79th with 234.7 passing yards per contest. Bowling Green has been unproductive on both sides of the ball in terms of rushing this season, ranking 15th-worst in rushing yards (102.3 per game) and 24th-worst in rushing yards allowed (181.2 per game). Bowling Green’s defense has been a bottom-25 unit on third down this season, allowing a 51.1% third-down conversion rate, which ranks third-worst in the FBS. On offense, it ranks 101st with a 51.1% third-down rate. At +3, Bowling Green has the 37th-ranked turnover margin in the FBS, with 11 forced turnovers (25th in the FBS) and eight turnovers committed (54th in the FBS).

Miami (OH) vs. Bowling Green Betting Analysis

Miami (OH) Betting Insights

Miami (OH) has covered the spread three times in six games with a set spread. Miami (OH) is winless against the spread when it has played as 7-point or greater favorites (0-1). This season, Miami (OH) games have hit the over once. The RedHawks have not played as the moneyline favorite so far this season. The RedHawks have yet to play as a moneyline favorite of -275 or shorter.

Falcons Betting Insights

Bowling Green is 1-4-1 against the spread this year. Bowling Green is 1-1-1 ATS when playing as at least 7-point underdogs. Games involving Bowling Green have hit the over on five occasions this season. The Falcons have entered the game as underdogs four times this season and won once. This season, the Falcons have won one of their three games when they’re the underdog by at least +219 on the moneyline.

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Miami (OH) vs. Bowling Green Against The Spread & Betting Records

Miami (OH)

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 52.7 53.5 51.8
Implied Total AVG 33.7 37.0 30.3
ATS Record 3-3-0 2-1-0 1-2-0
Over/Under Record 1-5-0 1-2-0 0-3-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 0-0 0-0 0-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 2-3 1-1 1-2


Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 53.4 53.8 53.0
Implied Total AVG 34.3 31.3 37.3
ATS Record 1-4-1 1-2-0 0-2-1
Over/Under Record 5-1-0 2-1-0 3-0-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 1-1 0-1 1-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-3 1-1 0-2

Players to Watch

Miami (OH)

  • As part of the RedHawks’ defense, Matthew Salopek has posted 30 tackles, 5.0 TFL, and three sacks in six games.
  • The RedHawks’ defensive unit has been aided by Ryan McWood, who has suited up for six games and amassed 0.5 sacks to go with 22 tackles and one interception.
  • Caiden Woullard has helped spur the RedHawks’ defense with seven tackles, 3.0 TFL, and three sacks in six games.
  • With 16 tackles and one interception, John Saunders Jr. has helped propel the RedHawks’ defense over six games.


  • Karl Brooks has been doing his part on defense, recording 12 tackles, 5.0 TFL, and 4.5 sacks for the Falcons.
  • On defense, JB Brown has helped lead the way with 14 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and 1.5 sacks in six games.
  • In six games for the Falcons, DJ Taylor has collected 15 tackles, 1.0 TFL, 1.5 sacks, and one interception.
  • Chris Bacon has posted 23 tackles In six games for the Falcons.

Miami (OH) vs. Bowling Green Predictions and Pick

Miami (OH) vs. Bowling Green betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Falcons (+7)

    Pick OU:

    Over (45)

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How to Bet on Miami (OH) vs. Bowling Green

You can bet on Miami (OH) vs. Bowling Green at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Miami (OH) vs. Bowling Green picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our pick to win this matchup is Miami (OH), and we expect that Bowling Green will cover the spread (Miami (OH) -7). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 45 points.


Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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