Miami (OH) vs. Ball State Prediction: Picks & Start Time – November 22, 2022

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The Miami (OH) RedHawks (5-6) and Ball State Cardinals (5-6) will battle in clash of MAC foes at Fred C. Yager Stadium in Oxford, Ohio.

Miami (OH) vs. Ball State Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 2.5 points, with bookmakers listing Miami (OH) as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Miami (OH) has -134 odds to pick up the win, while Ball State is listed at +110 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 45 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch Miami (OH) vs. Ball State Live?

  • Game Day: Tuesday, November 22, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN+
  • Location: Oxford, Ohio
  • Stadium: Fred C. Yager Stadium

Betting Preview

Miami (OH)

Miami (OH) ranks 10th-worst in total offense (305.8 yards per game), but has played slightly better on defense, ranking 54th with 366.7 yards allowed per game. While Miami (OH)’s defense ranks 41st with 23.0 points allowed per game, the RedHawks have been a little worse on offense, ranking 21st-worst (20.5 points per game). While Miami (OH)’s pass defense ranks 92nd with 244.1 passing yards allowed per game,the offense has been less successful, ranking 10th-worst (161.2 passing yards per game). Miami (OH) is putting up 144.6 rushing yards per game on offense, which ranks them 74th in the FBS. The team’s defensive unit ranks 31st, giving up 122.6 rushing yards per game. Miami (OH) ranks seventh-worst in third-down conversion rate (29.5%), but has been better on defense, ranking 68th with a 38.8% third-down percentage allowed. Miami (OH) has the 16th-best turnover margin in college football at +7, forcing 17 turnovers (45th in the FBS) while turning it over 10 times (12th in the FBS).

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Ball State

With 384.2 total yards per game on the offensive side of the ball, Ball State ranks 71st in the FBS in 2022. Defensively, it ranks 91st, giving up 403.5 total yards per contest. Ball State is generating 23.8 points per game on offense this season (95th-ranked). Meanwhile, it is allowing 27.7 points per contest (85th-ranked) on defense. Ball State ranks 65th in the FBS with 234.0 passing yards per game on offense, and it ranks 52nd with 216.0 passing yards ceded per contest on defense. Ball State has been struggling to stop the run, ranking 23rd-worst with 187.5 rushing yards surrendered per game. It has been more effective offensively, compiling 150.2 rushing yards per contest (69th-ranked). Ball State ranks 88th in the FBS with a 36.7% third-down conversion rate on offense, and 66th with a 38.7% third-down percentage allowed on the defensive side of the ball. Ball State has accumulated 14 forced turnovers (81st in the FBS) and committed 19 turnovers (101st in the FBS) this season for a -5 turnover margin that ranks 100th in the FBS.

Miami (OH) vs. Ball State Betting Analysis

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Miami (OH) Betting Insights

Miami (OH) has covered the spread in a matchup five times this season (5-6-0). In games it has played as 2.5-point favorites or more, Miami (OH) has an ATS record of 1-3. This season, three Miami (OH) games have gone over the point total. The RedHawks have won 33.3% of the games this season when they were favored on the moneyline (1-2). When they have played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -134 or shorter, the RedHawks have gone 1-2 (33.3%).

Cardinals Betting Insights

Ball State is 5-6-0 against the spread this season. In games as an underdog by 2.5 points or more so far this season, the Cardinals have gone 4-4 against the spread. This year, Ball State games have hit the over three times. The Cardinals have been underdogs in seven games this season and won three (42.9%) of those contests. The Cardinals have a record of 3-3 in games where sportsbooks have them as underdogs of at least +110 on the moneyline.

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Miami (OH) vs. Ball State Against The Spread & Betting Records

Miami (OH)

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 50.2 51.3 49.3
Implied Total AVG 30.2 32.8 28.0
ATS Record 5-6-0 2-3-0 3-3-0
Over/Under Record 3-8-0 2-3-0 1-5-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 1-2 0-1 1-1
Moneyline Underdog Record 3-4 1-2 2-2

Cardinals

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 58.0 54.3 62.4
Implied Total AVG 34.6 31.3 38.6
ATS Record 5-6-0 2-4-0 3-2-0
Over/Under Record 3-8-0 2-4-0 1-4-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 2-1 2-1 0-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 3-4 1-2 2-2

Players to Watch

Miami (OH)

  • Matthew Salopek has helped carry the RedHawks’ defense with 66 tackles, 5.0 TFL, and 3.5 sacks in 11 games.
  • As part of the RedHawks’ defense, Ryan McWood has posted 0.5 sacks to go with 57 tackles and one interception in 11 games.
  • Michael Dowell has hit the gridiron for 11 games, posting 51 tackles, 3.0 TFL, and two sacks for the RedHawks.
  • With 5.0 sacks to go along with 7.0 TFL and 23 tackles, Brian Ugwu has helped propel the RedHawks’ defense over 11 games.

Cardinals

  • In 11 games for the Cardinals, Cole Pearce has delivered 4.5 sacks to go with 9.0 TFL, 55 tackles, and one interception.
  • The Cardinals’ Jaquan Amos has delivered 5.0 TFL, 63 tackles, and one interception in 11 games.
  • Clayton Coll has 2.0 sacks to go with 57 tackles in 11 games.
  • Jordan Riley-Scott has registered 1.0 sack to go with 2.0 TFL and 52 tackles in 11 games for the Cardinals.

Miami (OH) vs. Ball State Predictions and Pick

Miami (OH) vs. Ball State betting card

    Pick ATS:

    RedHawks (-2.5)

    Pick OU:

    Over (45)

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How to Bet on Miami (OH) vs. Ball State

You can bet on Miami (OH) vs. Ball State at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Miami (OH) vs. Ball State picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our prediction to win this contest is Miami (OH), and we expect that Miami (OH) will cover the spread (Miami (OH) -2.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 45 points.

WRITTEN BY

Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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