Marshall vs. Troy Prediction: Picks & Start Time – September 2022

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Sun Belt foes will meet when the Marshall Thundering Herd (2-1) meet the Troy Trojans (1-2).

Marshall vs. Troy Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 3.5 points, with sportsbooks listing Marshall as the favorites.


As for the moneyline, Marshall has -171 odds to pick up the win, while Troy is listed at +137 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 51.5 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch Marshall vs. Troy Live?

  • Game Day: Saturday, September 24, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: NFL Network
  • Location: Jackson, Mississippi
  • Stadium: Veterans Memorial Stadium

Betting Preview


Marshall has been a tough matchup for opposing teams, ranking top-25 in both total offense (14th-best with 507.7 yards per game) and total defense (23rd-best with 280.7 yards allowed per game) this season. Marshall is putting up 37.3 points per game on offense (42nd in the FBS), and ranks 41st defensively with 19.3 points allowed per game. Marshall is compiling 244.3 passing yards per game on offense (71st in the FBS), and ranks 54th on the other side of the ball with 201.7 passing yards allowed per game. Marshall has been finding success on both offense and defense in the running game, ranking sixth-best in rushing offense (263.3 rushing yards per game) and 15th-best in rushing defense (79.0 rushing yards allowed per game). Marshall is averaging a 45.0% third-down conversion rate on offense (47th in the FBS), and ranks 29th defensively with a 29.3% third-down conversion rate allowed. Marshall has forced five total turnovers (49th in the FBS) this season and have turned it over four times (48th in the FBS) for +1a turnover margin of +1, 45th-ranked in college football.


From an offensive standpoint, Troy is putting up 409.0 total yards per game (73rd-ranked). It ranks 102nd in the FBS defensively (415.0 total yards given up per game). Troy ranks 94th in the FBS with 25.3 points per contest on offense, and it ranks 71st with 25.7 points ceded per game on defense. Troy’s pass offense has been consistently moving the chains, racking up 350.7 passing yards per game (eighth-best) this season. On defense, it ranks 91st by giving up 251.3 passing yards per game. Troy’s running game has not been getting things done, ranking fifth-worst in the FBS with 58.3 rushing yards per game. It has been more effective on the defensive side of the ball, surrendering 163.7 rushing yards per contest (89th-ranked). Troy’s defense has been bottom-25 on third down this season, ceding a 46.8% third-down conversion rate, which ranks 19th-worst in the FBS. Offensively, it ranks 50th with a 46.8% third-down rate. With five forced turnovers (49th in the FBS) and six turnovers committed (95th in the FBS) this season, Troy ranks 100th in the FBS with a turnover margin of -1.

Marshall vs. Troy Betting Analysis

Marshall Betting Insights

Marshall has covered the spread in a matchup two times this season (2-1-0). Marshall has an ATS record of 1-1 when playing as at least 3.5-point favorites. Games involving Marshall have hit the over once this season. The Thundering Herd have been listed as the moneyline favorite only one other time so far this season, a game they lost. The Thundering Herd have played as a moneyline favorite of -171 or shorter in just one game this season, which they lost.

Trojans Betting Insights

Troy has covered the spread two times this season (2-1-0). Troy is a perfect 2-0 ATS when playing as at least 3.5-point underdogs. Troy games have gone over the total twice this year. The Trojans have lost both games they’ve played as underdogs this season. The Trojans are 0-1 this season when entering a game as the underdog by +137 or more on the moneyline.

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Marshall vs. Troy Against The Spread & Betting Records


Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 53.0 60.5 49.3
Implied Total AVG 39.3 50.0 34.0
ATS Record 2-1-0 1-0-0 1-1-0
Over/Under Record 1-2-0 0-1-0 1-1-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 0-1 0-0 0-1
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-0 0-0 1-0


Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 54.5 54.0 54.8
Implied Total AVG 39.3 46.0 36.0
ATS Record 2-1-0 0-1-0 2-0-0
Over/Under Record 2-1-0 1-0-0 1-1-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 0-0 0-0 0-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-2 0-0 0-2

Players to Watch


  • With 1.0 sack to go with 1.0 TFL, three tackles, and one interception in three games, Owen Porter has been a big piece of the Thundering Herd’s defensive unit in 2022.
  • The Thundering Herd’s defense has been aided by Micah Abraham, who has suited up for three games and collected 0.5 sacks to go with three tackles and two interceptions.
  • Koby Cumberlander has hit the gridiron for three games, totaling four tackles, 1.0 TFL, and one sack for the Thundering Herd.
  • A significant part of the Thundering Herd’s defensive unit, Eli Neal has 10 tackles in three games.


  • On defense, T.J. Jackson has helped lead the charge with 11 tackles, 3.0 TFL, and two sacks in three games.
  • In three games for the Trojans, Craig Slocum has compiled 21 tackles.
  • In three games for the Trojans, Will Choloh Jr. has registered nine tackles, 2.0 TFL, and one sack.
  • The Trojans’ Reddy Steward has posted 14 tackles in three games.

Marshall vs. Troy Predictions and Pick

Marshall vs. Troy betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Thundering Herd (-3.5)

    Pick OU:

    Over (51.5)

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How to Bet on Marshall vs. Troy

You can bet on Marshall vs. Troy at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Marshall vs. Troy picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our prediction to win this game is Marshall, and we expect that Marshall will cover the spread (Marshall -3.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 51.5 points.


Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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