Louisville vs. NC State Prediction: Picks & Start Time – November 19, 2022

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ACC opponents will do battle when the Louisville Cardinals (6-4) meet the NC State Wolf Pack (7-3) at Cardinal Stadium in Louisville, Kentucky.

Louisville vs. NC State Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 4 points, with oddsmakers listing Louisville as the favorites.


As for the moneyline, Louisville has -191 odds to pick up the win, while NC State is listed at +154 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 43.5 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch Louisville vs. NC State Live?

  • Game Day: Saturday, November 19, 2022
  • Game Time: 3:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: RSN
  • Location: Louisville, Kentucky
  • Stadium: Cardinal Stadium

Betting Preview


On offense, Louisville ranks 42nd in the FBS with 420.6 yards per game. Meanwhile, its defense ranks 40th in total defense (353.4 yards allowed per contest). Offensively, Louisville ranks 64th in the FBS with 28.8 points per game. Meanwhile, the team’s defense ranks 26th in points allowed (353.4 points allowed per contest). Louisville is averaging 223.6 passing yards per game on offense (78th in the FBS), and ranks 41st on the other side of the ball with 207.7 passing yards allowed per game. On offense, Louisville ranks 27th in the FBS with 197.0 rushing yards per game. Meanwhile, the defensive unit ranks 64th in rushing yards allowed per contest (145.7). Louisville is putting up a 36.3% third-down percentage offensively this year (93rd in the FBS), and is surrendering a 33.8% third-down conversion rate (31st) on the other side of the ball. With 27 forced turnovers (second in the FBS) against 16 turnovers committed (83rd in the FBS), Louisville’s +11 turnover margin is the fourth-best in college football.

NC State

NC State’s defense has been leading the way for the team, as it ranks 19th-best in the FBS with 321.2 total yards ceded per game. In terms of offense, it is putting up 350.1 total yards per game, which ranks 98th. NC State’s defense has been leading the way for the team, as it ranks 13th-best in the FBS with 18.1 points surrendered per game. In terms of offense, it is accumulating 26.4 points per game, which ranks 81st. From an offensive perspective, NC State is generating 218.5 passing yards per contest (86th-ranked). It ranks 71st in the FBS defensively (228.9 passing yards given up per game). NC State ranks 89th in the FBS with 131.6 rushing yards per game, but it has been lifted up by its defense, which ranks ninth-best by surrendering only 92.3 rushing yards per contest. NC State’s third-down defense has been leading the way for the team, as it ranks 18th-best in the FBS with a 31.3% third-down conversion percentage allowed. In terms of offense, it is compiling a 37.9% third-down rate, which ranks 74th. NC State has thrived in terms of turnovers, as its turnover margin of +7 ranks 16th-best in the FBS, with 19 forced turnovers (18th in the nation) and 12 turnovers committed (34th in the nation).

Louisville vs. NC State Betting Analysis

Louisville Betting Insights

Louisville has covered the spread six times this season (6-4-0). In games it has played as 4-point favorites or more, Louisville has an ATS record of 2-2. Louisville games have gone over the total four times this season. The Cardinals have been favored on the moneyline five total times this season. They’ve finished 3-2 in those games. The Cardinals are 0-2 (winning 50% of their games) when they have played as a moneyline favorite of -191 or shorter.

Wolf Pack Betting Insights

NC State is 3-7-0 against the spread this year. NC State has yet to cover a spread (0-1) when it is at least 4-point underdogs. Games involving NC State have hit the over on four occasions this season. This season, the Wolf Pack have been the underdog three times and won one of those games. This season, the Wolf Pack have won two of their three games when they’re the underdog by at least +154 on the moneyline.

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Louisville vs. NC State Against The Spread & Betting Records


Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 56.1 58.8 53.3
Implied Total AVG 31.3 32.4 30.2
ATS Record 6-4-0 4-1-0 2-3-0
Over/Under Record 4-6-0 2-3-0 2-3-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 3-2 3-0 0-2
Moneyline Underdog Record 3-2 1-1 2-1

Wolf Pack

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 48.4 49.1 46.5
Implied Total AVG 31.9 34.0 27.0
ATS Record 3-7-0 3-4-0 0-3-0
Over/Under Record 4-5-1 3-3-1 1-2-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 4-1 3-1 1-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-2 1-0 0-2

Players to Watch


  • As part of the Cardinals’ defense, Yasir Abdullah has recorded 33 tackles, 6.0 TFL, 5.5 sacks, and two interceptions in 10 games.
  • MoMo Sanogo has played 10 games, registering 53 tackles, 6.0 TFL, and 3.5 sacks for the Cardinals.
  • With 32 tackles, 3.0 TFL, four sacks, and two interceptions in 10 games, Monty Montgomery has been an important part of the Cardinals’ defensive unit in 2022.
  • YaYa Diaby has been an important piece of the Cardinals’ defense in 2022, with 24 tackles, 7.0 TFL, and 5.5 sacks in 10 games.

Wolf Pack

  • In 10 games for the Wolf Pack, Drake Thomas has compiled 5.0 sacks to go with 10.0 TFL and 55 tackles.
  • In 10 games for the Wolf Pack, Isaiah Moore has compiled 36 tackles, 7.0 TFL, and three sacks.
  • In 10 games for the Wolf Pack, Payton Wilson has collected 37 tackles, 2.0 TFL, 2.5 sacks, and one interception.
  • The Wolf Pack’s Aydan White has registered 20 tackles, 2.0 TFL, one sack, and four interceptions in 10 games.

Louisville vs. NC State Predictions and Pick

Louisville vs. NC State betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Cardinals (-4)

    Pick OU:

    Over (43.5)

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How to Bet on Louisville vs. NC State

You can bet on Louisville vs. NC State at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Louisville vs. NC State picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our pick to win this game is Louisville, and we expect that Louisville will cover the spread (Louisville -4). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 43.5 points.


Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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