Louisville vs. Cincinnati Wasabi Fenway Bowl Prediction: Picks & Start Time – December 17, 2022

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The Wasabi Fenway Bowl will feature a matchup between the Louisville Cardinals and the Cincinnati Bearcats.

Louisville vs. Cincinnati Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 1.5 points, with sportsbooks listing Louisville as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Louisville has -128 odds to pick up the win, while Cincinnati is listed at +105 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the total for the game is set at 39.5 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch Louisville vs. Cincinnati Live?

  • Game Day: Saturday, December 17, 2022
  • Game Time: 11:00 AM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN
  • Location: Boston, Massachusetts
  • Stadium: Fenway Park

Betting Preview

Louisville

Louisville is averaging 405.5 yards per game on offense (52nd in the FBS), and rank 38th defensively, yielding 347.1 yards allowed per game. On the defensive side of the ball, Louisville has been a top-25 unit, ranking 19th-best by surrendering just 20.2 points per game. The offense ranks 76th (27.2 points per game). Louisville is averaging 211.7 passing yards per game on offense this year (89th in the FBS), and is allowing 206.5 passing yards per game (37th) on the defensive side of the ball. Louisville is compiling 193.8 rushing yards per game on offense, which ranks them 35th in the FBS. The team’s defensive unit ranks 48th, giving up 140.6 rushing yards per game. Louisville is averaging a 36.8% third-down percentage on offense (88th in the FBS), and ranks 35th on defense with a 34.6% third-down conversion rate allowed. With 27 forced turnovers (third in the FBS) against 17 turnovers committed (73rd in the FBS), Louisville’s +10 turnover margin is the seventh-best in college football.

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Cincinnati

Cincinnati ranks 64th in the FBS with 389.7 total yards per contest, but it has been lifted up by its defense, which ranks 17th-best by surrendering only 313.3 total yards per contest. Cincinnati ranks 46th in the FBS with 31.1 points per contest, but it has been carried by its defense, which ranks 21st-best by surrendering just 20.3 points per game. Cincinnati ranks 43rd in the FBS with 255.8 passing yards per game, but it has been carried by its defense, which ranks 11th-best by surrendering only 176.8 passing yards per contest. In terms of rushing, Cincinnati ranks 89th in the FBS on offense (133.8 rushing yards per game) and 44th on the other side of the ball (136.5 rushing yards allowed per contest). From an offensive standpoint, Cincinnati is posting a 38.0% third-down conversion rate (80th-ranked). It ranks 64th in the FBS defensively (37.9% third-down rate allowed). Cincinnati has produced 16 forced turnovers this season and have turned the ball over 10 times, resulting in a +6 turnover margin, which ranks 24th-best in the FBS.

Louisville vs. Cincinnati Betting Analysis

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Louisville Betting Insights

Louisville has covered the spread seven times in 12 games with a set spread. In games it is played as 1.5-point favorites or more, Louisville has an ATS record of 4-2. This season, Louisville games have hit the over four times. The Cardinals are 4-2 in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 66.7% of those games). The Cardinals have a 1-2 record (winning 60% of their games) when playing as a moneyline favorite of -128 or shorter.

Bearcats Betting Insights

Cincinnati has covered the spread three times in 12 games with a set total. Cincinnati has not covered a spread when playing as at least 1.5-point underdogs (0-2). Games involving Cincinnati have hit the over on six occasions this season. This season, the Bearcats have been listed as the underdog in three games and failed to win any of those contests. The Bearcats have played as an underdog of +105 or more once this season and lost that game.

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Louisville vs. Cincinnati Against The Spread & Betting Records

Louisville

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 53.9 56.3 51.5
Implied Total AVG 30.0 31.0 29.0
ATS Record 7-5-0 5-1-0 2-4-0
Over/Under Record 4-8-0 2-4-0 2-4-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 4-2 4-0 0-2
Moneyline Underdog Record 3-3 1-1 2-2

Bearcats

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 52.8 51.0 54.7
Implied Total AVG 33.1 33.3 32.8
ATS Record 3-8-1 2-4-0 1-4-1
Over/Under Record 6-6-0 4-2-0 2-4-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 9-0 5-0 4-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-3 0-1 0-2

Players to Watch

Louisville

  • With seven sacks to go with 11 TFL, 52 tackles, and two interceptions in 12 games, Yasir Abdullah has been a key contributor to the Cardinals’ defense in 2022.
  • The Cardinals’ defense has been aided by the play of Mohamed Sanogo, who has suited up for 11 games and recorded three sacks to go with six TFL and 80 tackles.
  • The Cardinals’ defense has been aided by Jarvis Brownlee, who has suited up for 11 games and totaled two interceptions to go along with 59 tackles, two TFL, and 11 passes defended.
  • Monty Montgomery has been a significant contributor to the Cardinals’ defensive unit in 2022, with two interceptions to go with 56 tackles, eight TFL, four sacks, and two passes defended in 11 games.

Bearcats

  • Ivan Pace Jr. has amassed 112 tackles, 15 TFL, seven sacks, and four passes defended in 11 games for the Bearcats.
  • Ty Van Fossen has amassed 90 tackles and two TFL in 11 games for the Bearcats.
  • Ja’von Hicks has recorded one TFL, 68 tackles, and two interceptions in 11 games for the Bearcats.
  • Wilson Huber has compiled one sack to go with four TFL and 65 tackles in 11 games for the Bearcats.

Louisville vs. Cincinnati Predictions and Pick

Louisville vs. Cincinnati betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Cardinals (-1.5)

    Pick OU:

    Over (39.5)

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How to Bet on Louisville vs. Cincinnati

You can bet on Louisville vs. Cincinnati at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Louisville vs. Cincinnati picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our prediction to win this game is Louisville, and we expect that Louisville will cover the spread (Louisville -1.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 39.5 points.

WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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