Liberty vs. UMass Prediction: Picks & Start Time – October 2022

httpscdn.dataskrive.comapiassetcF4DuRgliberty flames vs umass minutemen Betsperts Media & Technology

The Liberty Flames (4-1) face a FBS Independent matchup versus the UMass Minutemen (1-4).

Liberty vs. UMass Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 24 points, with bookmakers listing Liberty as the favorites.


As for the moneyline, Liberty has -3236 odds to pick up the win, while UMass is listed at +1194 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 47 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch Liberty vs. UMass Live?

  • Game Day: Saturday, October 8, 2022
  • Game Time: 3:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN+
  • Location: Amherst, Massachusetts
  • Stadium: Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium

Betting Preview


Liberty is putting up 411.4 yards per game offensively this season (67th in the FBS), and are allowing 366.4 yards per game (62nd) on defense. Liberty is averaging 29.0 points per game on offense (77th in the FBS), and ranks 55th on the other side of the ball with 22.8 points allowed per game. Liberty is totaling 216.2 passing yards per game on offense, which ranks them 90th in the FBS. The defense ranks 71st, allowing 228.8 passing yards per game. Liberty ranks 30th in run offense (195.2 rushing yards per game) and 63rd in run defense (137.6 rushing yards allowed per game) this year. Liberty ranks 96th in third-down efficiency (35.1%) on offense and 42nd in third-down percentage allowed (33.8%) on defense this year. With 14 forced turnovers (third in the FBS) against 12 turnovers committed (115th in the FBS), Liberty (+2) owns the 40th-ranked turnover margin in college football.


UMass has been struggling on offense, ranking fourth-worst with 249.6 total yards per game. It has been better on the other side of the ball, giving up 353.0 total yards per contest (50th-ranked). UMass has been struggling offensively, ranking worst in the FBS with 10.6 points per game. It has been more effective defensively, allowing 29.6 points per contest (92nd-ranked). UMass ranks second-worst in passing yards per game on offense (67.4), but at least it has been dominating on defense, ranking 20th-best in passing yards allowed per game (176.8). UMass is putting up 182.2 rushing yards per contest on offense this season (44th-ranked). Meanwhile, it is allowing 176.2 rushing yards per game (103rd-ranked) on defense. UMass’ third-down offense has been bottom-25 this season, registering a 32.2% third-down rate, which ranks 17th-worst in the FBS. On defense, it ranks 32nd with a 30.9% third-down rate surrendered. UMass sports a +2 turnover margin this season, which ranks 40th in the FBS.

Liberty vs. UMass Betting Analysis

Liberty Betting Insights

Liberty has put together a record of 3-2-0 against the spread this season. Liberty has not covered the spread (0-1) when playing as at least 24-point favorites. This season, Liberty games have hit the over three times. The Flames have yet to lose when playing as the moneyline favorite this season, going 3-0. The Flames have played as a moneyline favorite of -3236 or shorter in only one game this season, which they won.

Minutemen Betting Insights

UMass has covered the spread two times this season (2-3-0). UMass has yet to cover the spread when it is at least 24-point underdogs (0-2). UMass games have gone over the total once this year. This season, the Minutemen have been listed as the underdog in four games and failed to win any of those contests. The Minutemen have been at least a +1194 moneyline underdog two times this season, but lost all of those games.

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Liberty vs. UMass Against The Spread & Betting Records


Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 53.1 52.0 53.8
Implied Total AVG 32.2 34.0 31.0
ATS Record 3-2-0 1-1-0 2-1-0
Over/Under Record 3-2-0 0-2-0 3-0-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 3-0 1-0 2-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-1 1-0 0-1


Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 49.7 44.0 51.1
Implied Total AVG 34.0 23.0 36.8
ATS Record 2-3-0 1-0-0 1-3-0
Over/Under Record 1-4-0 0-1-0 1-3-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 1-0 1-0 0-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-4 0-0 0-4

Players to Watch


  • Durrell Johnson has hit the gridiron for five games, registering 3.5 sacks to go with 6.0 TFL, 13 tackles, and one interception for the Flames.
  • As part of the Flames’ defense, Ahmad Walker has totaled 2.0 sacks to go with 4.0 TFL and 24 tackles in five games.
  • With 11 tackles, 3.0 TFL, and four sacks in five games, TreShaun Clark has been a key piece of the Flames’ defense in 2022.
  • Robert Rahimi, as part of the Flames’ defense, has delivered 14 tackles and three interceptions in five games.


  • In five games for the Minutemen, Jalen Mackie has collected 1.5 sacks to go with 2.0 TFL, 15 tackles, and one interception.
  • Jordan Mahoney has collected two interceptions in five games for the Minutemen.
  • In five games for the Minutemen, Josh Wallace has collected 10 tackles and one interception.
  • The Minutemen’s Marcus Bradley has posted six tackles, 1.0 TFL, and 1.5 sacks in five games.

Liberty vs. UMass Predictions and Pick

Liberty vs. UMass betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Flames (-24)

    Pick OU:

    Over (47)

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How to Bet on Liberty vs. UMass

You can bet on Liberty vs. UMass at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Liberty vs. UMass picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our pick to win this contest is Liberty, and we project that Liberty will cover the spread (Liberty -24). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 47 points.


Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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