Liberty vs. UConn Prediction: Picks & Start Time – November 2022

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The No. 19 Liberty Flames (8-1) and UConn Huskies (5-5) will face each other in clash of FBS Independent foes at Pratt and Whitney Stadium at Rentschler Field in East Hartford, Connecticut.

Liberty vs. UConn Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 13.5 points, with sportsbooks listing Liberty as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Liberty has -603 odds to pick up the win, while UConn is listed at +428 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 45 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch Liberty vs. UConn Live?

  • Game Day: Saturday, November 12, 2022
  • Game Time: 12:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: CBS Sports Network
  • Location: East Hartford, Connecticut
  • Stadium: Pratt and Whitney Stadium at Rentschler Field

Betting Preview

Liberty

Liberty ranks 54th in total offense (409.7 yards per game) and 31st in total defense (341.8 yards allowed per game) this season. From an offensive standpoint, Liberty ranks 57th in the FBS with 30.0 points per game. Meanwhile, the team’s defense ranks 27th in points allowed (341.8 points allowed per contest). Liberty is putting up 225.9 passing yards per game on offense, which ranks them 80th in the FBS. The defense ranks 48th, allowing 215.8 passing yards per game. Liberty is averaging 183.8 rushing yards per game on offense this year (40th in the FBS), and is giving up 126.0 rushing yards per game (38th) on the defensive side of the ball. Liberty ranks 94th in third-down conversion rate this season (36.5%), but has been shining on defense, ranking 11th-best in the FBS with a 29.5% third-down percentage allowed. Liberty has the 62nd-ranked turnover margin in college football at +1, forcing 20 turnovers (eighth in the FBS) while turning it over 19 times (118th in the FBS).

UConn

UConn’s offense has been a bottom-25 unit in total offense this season, registering 293.4 total yards per game, which ranks eighth-worst in the FBS. On the defensive side of the ball, it ranks 77th with 384.4 total yards ceded per contest. UConn’s offense has been bottom-25 this season, registering 18.5 points per game, which ranks 11th-worst in the FBS. Defensively, it ranks 52nd with 24.6 points allowed per contest. UConn’s passing offense has been a bottom-25 unit this season, posting 105.8 passing yards per game, which ranks fifth-worst in the FBS. On the defensive side of the ball, it ranks 91st with 243.5 passing yards ceded per contest. UConn is posting 187.6 rushing yards per contest on offense this season (39th-ranked). Meanwhile, it is allowing 140.9 rushing yards per contest (58th-ranked) on defense. From an offensive perspective, UConn is posting a 37.8% third-down conversion percentage (83rd-ranked). It ranks 97th in the FBS on defense (42.0% third-down rate allowed). With 18 forced turnovers (17th in the FBS) and 13 turnovers committed (61st in the FBS) this season, UConn ranks 31st in the FBS with a turnover margin of +5.

Liberty vs. UConn Betting Analysis

Liberty Betting Insights

Liberty has covered the spread five times in nine games with a set spread. Liberty has not covered a spread (0-3) when they are at least 13.5-point favorites. Games involving Liberty have hit the over four times this season. The Flames have not yet lost when playing as the moneyline favorite this season, going 5-0. The Flames have played three times as a moneyline favorite with odds of -603 or shorter, and won in each game.

Huskies Betting Insights

UConn has covered the spread eight times over 10 games with a set total. UConn is 3-2 ATS when playing as at least 13.5-point underdogs. UConn games have gone over the total twice this season. The Huskies have entered the game as underdogs six times this season and won twice. The Huskies have a record of 0-0 in games where bookmakers have them as underdogs of at least +428 on the moneyline.

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Liberty vs. UConn Against The Spread & Betting Records

Liberty

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 54.1 54.3 53.9
Implied Total AVG 34.1 35.3 33.2
ATS Record 5-4-0 2-2-0 3-2-0
Over/Under Record 4-5-0 0-4-0 4-1-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 5-0 2-0 3-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 3-1 2-0 1-1

Huskies

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 49.8 47.4 52.1
Implied Total AVG 35.7 32.8 38.6
ATS Record 8-2-0 4-1-0 4-1-0
Over/Under Record 2-7-1 1-4-0 1-3-1
Moneyline Favorite Record 3-0 2-0 1-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 2-4 2-1 0-3

Players to Watch

Liberty

  • Durrell Johnson has helped lead the Flames’ defense with 27 tackles, 9.0 TFL, seven sacks, and one interception in nine games.
  • The Flames’ defense has been helped by the contributions of Ahmad Walker, who has played nine games and compiled 3.0 sacks to go with 7.0 TFL and 35 tackles.
  • With 27 tackles and five interceptions in nine games, Robert Rahimi has been an important contributor to the Flames’ defensive unit in 2022.
  • Kendy Charles has been a big piece of the Flames’ defensive unit in 2022, with 31 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and three sacks in nine games.

Huskies

  • On defense, Jackson Mitchell has helped lead the charge with one interception to go with 68 tackles, 5.0 TFL, four sacks, and one pass defended in 10 games.
  • Brandon Bouyer-Randle has been providing a big boost on defense, registering two interceptions to go with 46 tackles, 5.0 TFL, one sack, and three passes defended for the Huskies.
  • Durante Jones has been causing chaos on defense, amassing 1.0 TFL, 49 tackles, and one interception for the Huskies.
  • Ian Swenson has compiled one interception to go with 45 tackles, 2.0 TFL, 0.5 sacks, and one pass defended In 10 games for the Huskies.

Liberty vs. UConn Predictions and Pick

Liberty vs. UConn betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Huskies (+13.5)

    Pick OU:

    Over (45)

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How to Bet on Liberty vs. UConn

You can bet on Liberty vs. UConn at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Liberty vs. UConn picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our prediction to win this contest is Liberty, and we project that UConn will cover the spread (Liberty -13.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 45 points.

WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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