Liberty vs. New Mexico State Prediction: Picks & Start Time – November 26, 2022

httpscdn.dataskrive.comapiassetiC9XSfF Betsperts Media & Technology

FBS Independent opponents will clash when the Liberty Flames (8-3) meet the New Mexico State Aggies (4-6).

Liberty vs. New Mexico State Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 24 points, with bookmakers listing Liberty as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Liberty has -4243 odds to pick up the win, while New Mexico State is listed at +1347 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 50.5 points.

BetMGM CFB Promo
Bet $10 on this game, Get this $200 NCAAF offer

Game Info

How to Watch Liberty vs. New Mexico State Live?

  • Game Day: Saturday, November 26, 2022
  • Game Time: 12:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN+
  • Location: Lynchburg, Virginia
  • Stadium: Williams Stadium

Betting Preview

Liberty

Liberty is totaling 408.5 yards per game on offense (52nd in the FBS), and rank 31st defensively, yielding 338.0 yards allowed per game. Liberty is totaling 29.5 points per game on offense, which ranks them 60th in the FBS. On defense, the defense ranks 39th, giving up 22.7 points per contest. Liberty is putting up 223.4 passing yards per game on offense this year (75th in the FBS), and is surrendering 200.0 passing yards per game (34th) on the other side of the ball. Liberty is compiling 185.1 rushing yards per game on offense (43rd in the FBS), and ranks 50th on the other side of the ball with 138.0 rushing yards allowed per game. Liberty has the 90th-ranked offense this season in terms of third-down efficiency (36.6% percentage), and has been better defensively, ranking 14th-best with a 30.7% third-down percentage allowed. Liberty has forced 22 total turnovers (11th in the FBS) this season and have turned it over 23 times (123rd in the FBS) for -1a turnover margin of -1, 100th-ranked in college football.

FanDuel CFB Promo
Up to $1,000 No Sweat First Bet on this game

New Mexico State

New Mexico State’s offense has been a bottom-25 unit in total offense this season, putting up 284.4 total yards per game, which ranks fourth-worst in the FBS. On defense, it ranks 47th with 357.4 total yards ceded per contest. New Mexico State ranks 15th-worst in points per game (19.3), but it has been more productive on the defensive side of the ball, ranking 81st in the FBS with 27.5 points surrendered per contest. Offensively, New Mexico State is a bottom-25 passing attack, generating only 142.9 passing yards per game (eighth-worst). On the bright side, it is dominating on the defensive side of the ball, giving up just 185.0 passing yards per contest (15th-best). In terms of rushing, New Mexico State ranks 82nd in the FBS on offense (141.5 rushing yards per game) and 94th on the other side of the ball (172.4 rushing yards allowed per game). New Mexico State ranks 19th-worst in third-down conversion rate (32.8%), but it has been more productive on the other side of the ball, ranking 75th in the FBS with a 39.7% third-down rate allowed. After forcing nine turnovers (124th in the FBS) and turning the ball over 15 times (57th in the FBS) this season, New Mexico State has the 100th-ranked turnover margin of -6.

Liberty vs. New Mexico State Betting Analysis

DraftKings CFB Promo
Bet $5, Win $200 on this games moneyline

Liberty Betting Insights

Liberty has covered the spread in a game five times this season (5-6-0). Liberty has yet to cover a spread when they are at least 24-point favorites (0-2). Games involving Liberty have hit the over five times this season. The Flames have put together a 5-2 record in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 71.4% of those games). The Flames have played as a moneyline favorite of -4243 or shorter in just two games this season, and they won both.

Aggies Betting Insights

New Mexico State has covered the spread in a matchup five times this season (5-5-0). New Mexico State has yet to cover the spread (0-3) when it is at least 24-point underdogs. Games involving New Mexico State have hit the over on four occasions this year. This season, the Aggies have won one out of the five games in which they’ve been the underdog. The Aggies have been at least a +1347 moneyline underdog three times this season, but lost all of those games.

Caesars CFB Promo
$1,250 risk free first bet on this game + reward credits

Liberty vs. New Mexico State Against The Spread & Betting Records

Liberty

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 52.5 52.7 52.4
Implied Total AVG 33.1 33.8 32.5
ATS Record 5-6-0 2-3-0 3-3-0
Over/Under Record 5-6-0 0-5-0 5-1-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 5-2 2-1 3-1
Moneyline Underdog Record 3-1 2-0 1-1

Aggies

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 47.2 48.4 45.9
Implied Total AVG 32.8 30.2 35.4
ATS Record 5-5-0 3-2-0 2-3-0
Over/Under Record 4-6-0 2-3-0 2-3-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 3-1 2-1 1-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-4 1-1 0-3

Players to Watch

Liberty

  • Durrell Johnson has suited up for 11 games, posting 8.0 sacks to go with 13.0 TFL, 33 tackles, and one interception for the Flames.
  • With one interception to go with 41 tackles, 8.0 TFL, four sacks, and one pass defended in 11 games, Ahmad Walker has been a key part of the Flames’ defensive unit in 2022.
  • The Flames’ defense has been aided by the play of Kendy Charles, who has played 11 games and amassed 36 tackles, 3.0 TFL, and 4.5 sacks.
  • Javon Scruggs has been an important piece of the Flames’ defensive unit in 2022, with one interception to go with 39 tackles, 5.0 TFL, two sacks, and one pass defended in 11 games.

Aggies

  • On defense, Chris Ojoh has helped set the tone with 49 tackles, 7.0 TFL, and 5.5 sacks in 10 games.
  • Lazarus Williams has been causing chaos on defense, recording 13 tackles, 4.0 TFL, and three sacks for the Aggies.
  • In 10 games for the Aggies, Trevor Brohard has recorded 24 tackles, 3.0 TFL, and one sack.
  • With two interceptions to go with 14 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and two passes defended in 10 games, Syrus Dumas has been wreaking havoc on defense for the Aggies.

Liberty vs. New Mexico State Predictions and Pick

Liberty vs. New Mexico State betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Flames (-24)

    Pick OU:

    Under (50.5)

DraftKings CFB Promo
Bet $5, Win $200 on this games moneyline
FanDuel CFB Promo
Up to $1,000 No Sweat First Bet on this game
BetMGM CFB Promo
Bet $10 on this game, Get this $200 NCAAF offer
Caesars CFB Promo
$1,250 risk free first bet on this game + reward credits

How to Bet on Liberty vs. New Mexico State

You can bet on Liberty vs. New Mexico State at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Liberty vs. New Mexico State picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our prediction to win this matchup is Liberty, and we project that Liberty will cover the spread (Liberty -24). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 50.5 points.

WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

Deals of the Day

See All