Liberty vs. Akron Prediction: Picks & Start Time – September 2022

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The Liberty Flames (2-1) and Akron Zips (1-2) will face each other in a matchup at Williams Stadium in Lynchburg, Virginia.

Liberty vs. Akron Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 26.5 points, with sportsbooks listing Liberty as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Liberty has -7833 odds to pick up the win, while Akron is listed at +1611 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 53.5 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch Liberty vs. Akron Live?

  • Game Day: Saturday, September 24, 2022
  • Game Time: 6:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN+
  • Location: Lynchburg, Virginia
  • Stadium: Williams Stadium

Betting Preview

Liberty

Liberty ranks 63rd in total offense (423.3 yards per game) and 72nd in total defense (365.3 yards allowed per game) this season. Offensively, Liberty ranks 82nd in the FBS with 28.7 points per game. Meanwhile, the team’s defense ranks 75th in points allowed (365.3 points allowed per contest). From an offensive standpoint, Liberty ranks 89th in the FBS with 220.3 passing yards per game. Meanwhile, the defense ranks 39th in passing yards allowed per contest (192.7). Liberty is totaling 203.0 rushing yards per game on offense, which ranks them 42nd in the FBS. The team’s defensive unit ranks 99th, giving up 172.7 rushing yards per game. While Liberty’s third-down defense ranks 45th with a 32.5% third-down conversion rate allowed per game, the offense has been worse, ranking 16th-worst with a 31.2% third-down percentage. Liberty has forced 11 total turnovers (second in the FBS) this season and have turned it over eight times (115th in the FBS) for a turnover margin of +3, the 22nd-best in college football.

Akron

Akron has plenty of room to get better, as it ranks 15th-worst in total yards per game (290.3) and third-worst in total yards allowed per game (536.0). This season has been difficult for Akron on both sides of the ball, as it is compiling only 12.0 points per contest (fifth-worst) and allowing 46.0 points per game (worst). Akron ranks 78th in passing yards per game (239.0), but it has been less effective on the other side of the ball, ranking fifth-worst in the FBS with 307.0 passing yards conceded per contest. Akron has plenty of room to get better in the running game, as it ranks third-worst in rushing yards per game (51.3) and 10th-worst in rushing yards allowed per game (229.0). Akron ranks second-worst in third-down conversion percentage (19.0%), but it has been more effective defensively, ranking 98th in the FBS with a 41.9% third-down rate allowed. After forcing three turnovers (93rd in the FBS) and turning the ball over five times (72nd in the FBS) this season, Akron sports the 100th-ranked turnover margin of -2.

Liberty vs. Akron Betting Analysis

Liberty Betting Insights

Liberty has covered the spread two times this season (2-1-0). Games involving the Liberty have hit the over twice this season. The Flames have been listed as the moneyline favorite just one other time so far this season, a game they won. The Flames have yet to play a game with moneyline odds of -7833 or shorter.

Zips Betting Insights

Akron has yet to win a game against the spread this year (0-3-0). Akron has not covered the spread when it is at least 26.5-point underdogs (0-2). Akron games have gone over the total once this year. The Zips lost the only game they’ve played as the underdog this season. The Zips have been at least a +1611 moneyline underdog two times this season, but lost all of those games.

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Liberty vs. Akron Against The Spread & Betting Records

Liberty

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 54.8 50.5 57.0
Implied Total AVG 31.7 28.0 33.5
ATS Record 2-1-0 1-0-0 1-1-0
Over/Under Record 2-1-0 0-1-0 2-0-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 1-0 0-0 1-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-1 1-0 0-1

Zips

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 59.2 53.5 62.0
Implied Total AVG 46.7 36.0 52.0
ATS Record 0-3-0 0-1-0 0-2-0
Over/Under Record 1-2-0 0-1-0 1-1-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 1-0 1-0 0-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-1 0-0 0-1

Players to Watch

Liberty

  • Ahmad Walker has helped lead the Flames’ defense with eight tackles, 4.0 TFL, and two sacks in three games.
  • With one interception to go with six tackles, 3.0 TFL, one sack, and one pass defended in three games, Durrell Johnson has been an important part of the Flames’ defense in 2022.
  • With six tackles and one interception in three games, Mike Smith Jr. has been an important part of the Flames’ defensive unit in 2022.
  • With five tackles and one interception, Robert Rahimi has helped spur the Flames’ defense over three games.

Zips

  • Bubba Arslanian has been wreaking havoc on defense, compiling 22 tackles and 1.0 TFL for the Zips.
  • Victor Jones has totaled 15 tackles, 4.0 TFL, and one sack in three games for the Zips.
  • In three games for the Zips, Nate Thompson has totaled 18 tackles.
  • The Zips’ Darrian Lewis has compiled 16 tackles in three games.

Liberty vs. Akron Predictions and Pick

Liberty vs. Akron betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Flames (-26.5)

    Pick OU:

    Over (53.5)

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How to Bet on Liberty vs. Akron

You can bet on Liberty vs. Akron at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Liberty vs. Akron picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our prediction to win this game is Liberty, and we project that Liberty will cover the spread (Liberty -26.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 53.5 points.

WRITTEN BY

Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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