Illinois vs. Northwestern Prediction: Picks & Start Time – November 26, 2022

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The Illinois Fighting Illini (7-4) and the Northwestern Wildcats (1-10) meet to try to take home the Land of Lincoln Trophy.

Illinois vs. Northwestern Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 14.5 points, with oddsmakers listing Illinois as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Illinois has -655 odds to pick up the win, while Northwestern is listed at +454 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 38 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch Illinois vs. Northwestern Live?

  • Game Day: Saturday, November 26, 2022
  • Game Time: 3:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: BTN
  • Location: Evanston, Illinois
  • Stadium: Ryan Field

Betting Preview

Illinois

Defensively, Illinois has been a top-25 unit, ranking second-best by surrendering just 258.6 yards per game. The offense ranks 62nd (395.5 yards per game). Illinois has the 92nd-ranked offense this season (24.0 points per game), and has been better defensively, ranking third-best with only 13.1 points allowed per game. Illinois sports the 90th-ranked offense this season in terms of passing yards (214.6 passing yards per game), and has been better on defense, ranking sixth-best with only 165.3 passing yards allowed per game. On the defensive side of the ball, Illinois has been a top-25 unit in terms of rushing yards, ranking seventh-best by giving up only 93.4 per game. The Fighting Illini rank 49th on offense (180.8 rushing yards per game). Illinois has the 77th-ranked offense this year in terms of third-down efficiency (38.6% conversion rate), and has been better on the other side of the ball, ranking eighth-best with a 28.6% third-down conversion rate allowed. With 23 forced turnovers (eighth in the FBS) against 14 turnovers committed (40th in the FBS), Illinois’ +9 turnover margin is the 10th-best in college football.

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Northwestern

Northwestern is compiling 336.7 total yards per contest on offense this season (105th-ranked). Meanwhile, it is surrendering 381.8 total yards per contest (74th-ranked). Northwestern ranks fourth-worst in points per game (14.7), but it has been more productive defensively, ranking 78th in the FBS with 27.2 points surrendered per contest. Northwestern’s pass defense has been leading the charge for the team, as it ranks 20th-best in the FBS with 187.7 passing yards allowed per contest. In terms of offense, it is generating 214.3 passing yards per game, which ranks 91st. Northwestern ranks 101st in rushing yards per game (122.5), but it has been less productive on the other side of the ball, ranking 15th-worst in the FBS with 194.1 rushing yards allowed per contest. In terms of third-down efficiency, Northwestern ranks 85th in the FBS (37.5% third-down conversion rate) and 99th on the other side of the ball (41.9% third-down rate allowed). After forcing 11 turnovers (114th in the FBS) and turning the ball over 24 times (126th in the FBS) this season, Northwestern owns the 100th-ranked turnover margin of -13.

Illinois vs. Northwestern Betting Analysis

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Illinois Betting Insights

Illinois is 7-4-0 against the spread this season. Illinois has 1-1 ATS when playing as at least 14.5-point favorites. Games involving Illinois have hit the over four times this season. The Fighting Illini have won five of the seven games they were favored on the moneyline this season (71.4%). The Fighting Illini have played as a moneyline favorite of -655 or shorter in just two games this season, and they split 1-1.

Wildcats Betting Insights

Northwestern has covered the spread four times in 10 games with a set total. Northwestern is 3-1 ATS when playing as at least 14.5-point underdogs. This year, Northwestern games have hit the over three times. The Wildcats have been listed as the underdog six times this season and have failed to win any of those games. The Wildcats have not won as an underdog of +454 or more on the moneyline this season in four such games.

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Illinois vs. Northwestern Against The Spread & Betting Records

Illinois

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 44.2 43.4 45.8
Implied Total AVG 26.8 26.7 27.0
ATS Record 7-4-0 4-3-0 3-1-0
Over/Under Record 4-7-0 3-4-0 1-3-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 5-2 4-2 1-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 2-2 1-0 1-2

Wildcats

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 48.9 53.0 44.8
Implied Total AVG 32.8 34.6 31.0
ATS Record 4-6-0 1-4-0 3-2-0
Over/Under Record 3-7-0 1-4-0 2-3-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 0-3 0-3 0-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-6 0-1 0-5

Players to Watch

Illinois

  • Jer’Zhan Newton has helped lead the Fighting Illini’s defense with 46 tackles, 10.0 TFL, and five sacks in 11 games.
  • As part of the Fighting Illini’s defense, Sydney Brown has recorded 1.0 sack to go with 3.0 TFL, 50 tackles, and four interceptions in 11 games.
  • The Fighting Illini’s defensive unit has been helped by the play of Jartavius Martin, who has played 11 games and recorded three interceptions to go along with 48 tackles, 3.0 TFL, one sack, and three passes defended.
  • Keith Randolph Jr. has been an important piece of the Fighting Illini’s defense in 2022, with one interception to go with 42 tackles, 11.0 TFL, three sacks, and one pass defended in 11 games.

Wildcats

  • As a key defensive contributor, the Wildcats’ Bryce Gallagher has collected 91 tackles, 5.0 TFL, 1.5 sacks, and one interception in 11 games.
  • Xander Mueller has been causing chaos on defense, collecting two interceptions to go with 70 tackles, 6.0 TFL, two sacks, and two passes defended for the Wildcats.
  • The Wildcats’ Jeremiah Lewis has recorded 59 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and one pass defended in 11 games.
  • On defense, Rod Heard has compiled 55 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and 0.5 sacks in 11 games.

Illinois vs. Northwestern Predictions and Pick

Illinois vs. Northwestern betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Wildcats (+14.5)

    Pick OU:

    Over (38)

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How to Bet on Illinois vs. Northwestern

You can bet on Illinois vs. Northwestern at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Illinois vs. Northwestern picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our prediction to win this game is Illinois, and we predict that Northwestern will cover the spread (Illinois -14.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 38 points.

WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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