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The No. 14 Illinois Fighting Illini (7-1) and Michigan State Spartans (3-5) will face each other in clash of Big Ten opponents at Memorial Stadium (Champaign, IL) in Champaign, Illinois.
Illinois vs. Michigan State Odds
Point Spread
The spread for this matchup is set at 17 points, with sportsbooks listing Illinois as the favorites.
Moneyline
As for the moneyline, Illinois has -955 odds to pick up the win, while Michigan State is listed at +593 to claim victory.
Over/Under
Finally, the total for the game is set at 40.5 points.
Game Info
How to Watch Illinois vs. Michigan State Live?
- Game Day: Saturday, November 5, 2022
- Game Time: 3:30 PM ET
- TV Channel: BTN
- Location: Champaign, Illinois
- Stadium: Memorial Stadium (Champaign, IL)
Betting Preview
Illinois
Illinois has the 62nd-ranked offense this season (410 yards per game), and has been even more effective on the other side of the ball, ranking best with only 224.5 yards allowed per game. Illinois ranks 86th in points scored this season (26 points per game), but has been thriving on the other side of the ball, ranking best in the FBS with 8.9 points allowed per game. Illinois ranks 97th in passing yards this season (211.8 per game), but has been thriving on the other side of the ball, ranking second-best in the FBS with 148.9 passing yards allowed per game. Defensively, Illinois has been a top-25 unit in terms of rushing yards, ranking second-best by giving up just 75.6 per game. The Fighting Illini rank 26th on offense (198.3 rushing yards per game). On the defensive side of the ball, Illinois has been a top-25 unit in terms of third-down efficiency, ranking third-best by giving up a 26.1% third-down percentage. The team’s offense ranks 73rd (39% third-down conversion rate). Illinois has forced 20 total turnovers (third in the FBS) this season and have turned it over 12 times (70th in the FBS) for a turnover margin of +8, the ninth-best in college football.
Michigan State
This season has been rough for Michigan State on both offense and defense, as it is compiling only 336.9 total yards per game (22nd-worst) and surrendering 424.9 total yards per game (23rd-worst). In terms of points scored Michigan State ranks 94th in the FBS (24.5 points per game), and it is 77th defensively (27.4 points allowed per contest). In terms of passing, Michigan State ranks 69th in the FBS (239.4 passing yards per game) and 98th defensively (256.3 passing yards allowed per game). Michigan State’s rushing offense has been bottom-25 this season, posting 97.5 rushing yards per game, which ranks 14th-worst in the FBS. On the defensive side of the ball, it ranks 97th with 168.6 rushing yards allowed per contest. Michigan State ranks 63rd in third-down conversion percentage (39.8%) on offense, but it has been less productive on the other side of the ball, ranking 18th-worst in the FBS with a 45.3% third-down percentage allowed. After forcing 11 turnovers (74th in the FBS) and turning the ball over 11 times (59th in the FBS) this season, Michigan State has the 100th-ranked turnover margin of 0.
Illinois vs. Michigan State Betting Analysis
Illinois Betting Insights
Illinois is 6-2-0 against the spread this season. In games they have played as 17-point favorites or more, Illinois has a perfect ATS record of 1-0. Illinois games have gone over the total three times this season. The Fighting Illini have been the moneyline favorite a total of five times this season, and they’ve won each of those games. The Fighting Illini have played as a moneyline favorite of -955 or shorter in only one game this season, which they won.
Spartans Betting Insights
Michigan State has covered the spread four times in eight games with a set total. In games they have played as 17-point underdogs or more, the Spartans have an ATS record of 1-1. Games involving Michigan State have hit the over on three occasions this year. The Spartans have won one of the six games they’ve played as underdogs this season. The Spartans have not won as an underdog of +593 or more on the moneyline this season in two such games.
Illinois vs. Michigan State Against The Spread & Betting Records
Illinois
| Overall | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Point Total AVG | 44.9 | 43.6 | 47.2 |
| Implied Total AVG | 26.4 | 26.6 | 26.0 |
| ATS Record | 6-2-0 | 4-1-0 | 2-1-0 |
| Over/Under Record | 3-5-0 | 2-3-0 | 1-2-0 |
| Moneyline Favorite Record | 5-0 | 4-0 | 1-0 |
| Moneyline Underdog Record | 2-1 | 1-0 | 1-1 |
Spartans
| Overall | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Point Total AVG | 55.6 | 55.0 | 56.7 |
| Implied Total AVG | 35.9 | 37.0 | 34.0 |
| ATS Record | 4-4-0 | 3-2-0 | 1-2-0 |
| Over/Under Record | 3-5-0 | 2-3-0 | 1-2-0 |
| Moneyline Favorite Record | 2-0 | 2-0 | 0-0 |
| Moneyline Underdog Record | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-3 |
Players to Watch
Illinois
- With 4.5 sacks to go with seven TFL and 32 tackles in eight games, Jer’Zhan Newton has been a significant contributor to the Fighting Illini’s defense in 2022.
- The Fighting Illini’s defense has been helped by the contributions of Jartavius Martin, who has played eight games and totaled one sack to go with two TFL, 32 tackles, and three interceptions.
- Sydney Brown has helped carry the Fighting Illini’s defense with three interceptions to go along with 31 tackles, three TFL, one sack, and four passes defended in eight games.
- Keith Randolph Jr., as part of the Fighting Illini’s defense, has delivered three sacks to go with eight TFL, 28 tackles, and one interception in eight games.
Spartans
- Jacoby Windmon has delivered one interception to go with 48 tackles, three TFL, 5.5 sacks, and one pass defended in eight games for the Spartans.
- Kendell Brooks has registered 66 tackles and three TFL in eight games for the Spartans.
- The Spartans’ Cal Haladay has amassed 66 tackles, three TFL, and one sack in eight games.
- Angelo Grose has recorded 53 tackles and two TFL In eight games for the Spartans.
Illinois vs. Michigan State Predictions and Pick
Illinois vs. Michigan State betting card
- Pick ATS:
Fighting Illini (-17)
Pick OU:
Over (40.5)
How to Bet on Illinois vs. Michigan State
You can bet on Illinois vs. Michigan State at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.
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Our pick to win this game is Illinois, and we project that Illinois will cover the spread (Illinois -17). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 40.5 points.