Houston vs. South Florida Prediction: Picks & Start Time – October 2022

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The Houston Cougars (4-3) face an AAC matchup versus the South Florida Bulls (1-6).

Houston vs. South Florida Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 17.5 points, with oddsmakers listing Houston as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Houston has -914 odds to pick up the win, while South Florida is listed at +585 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 60 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch Houston vs. South Florida Live?

  • Game Day: Saturday, October 29, 2022
  • Game Time: 12:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN2
  • Location: Houston, Texas
  • Stadium: John O’Quinn Field at TDECU Stadium

Betting Preview

Houston

Houston is compiling 408.6 yards per game on offense (64th in the FBS), and rank 92nd on defense, yielding 401.1 yards allowed per game. Despite sporting a bottom-25 scoring defense that ranks 22nd-worst in the FBS (31.7 points allowed per game), Houston has had more success on offense, ranking 47th in the FBS by totaling 32.3 points per game. Houston is putting up 261.1 passing yards per game on offense, which ranks them 48th in the FBS. The defense ranks 97th, giving up 253.7 passing yards per game. On offense, Houston ranks 72nd in the FBS with 147.4 rushing yards per game. Meanwhile, the defensive unit ranks 71st in rushing yards allowed per contest (147.4). On offense, Houston has been a top-25 unit in terms of third-down efficiency, ranking 17th-best in the FBS by putting up a 49.1% third-down conversion rate. The defense ranks 106th on defense (43.6% third-down conversion rate allowed). With nine forced turnovers (88th in the FBS) against 11 turnovers committed (70th in the FBS), Houston’s -2-2 turnover margin ranks 100th in college football.

South Florida

South Florida ranks 100th in total yards per game (353.1), but it has been less effective on the defensive side of the ball, ranking fourth-worst in the FBS with 488.1 total yards allowed per contest. South Florida has not been getting things done on defense, ranking sixth-worst with 37.6 points surrendered per game. It has been better on the other side of the ball, putting up 25.3 points per contest (90th-ranked). In terms of passing, this season has been difficult for South Florida on both sides of the ball, as it is compiling just 181.1 passing yards per game (19th-worst) and ceding 267.0 passing yards per game (25th-worst). South Florida’s defense has been a bottom-25 unit in run defense this season, surrendering 221.1 rushing yards per game, which ranks fourth-worst in the FBS. Offensively, it ranks 53rd with 172.0 rushing yards per contest. South Florida is posting a 37.5% third-down conversion rate on offense this season (81st-ranked). Meanwhile, it is allowing a 41.9% third-down rate (94th-ranked) on defense. South Florida has a 0 turnover margin this season, which ranks 100th in the FBS.

Houston vs. South Florida Betting Analysis

Houston Betting Insights

Houston is 3-4-0 against the spread this season. Houston has not covered the spread (0-1) when playing as at least 17.5-point favorites. Games involving Houston have hit the over five times this season. The Cougars have won three of the five games they were the moneyline favorite this season (60%). The Cougars have played as a moneyline favorite of -914 or shorter in only one game this season, which they won.

Bulls Betting Insights

South Florida has covered the spread twice in seven games with a set number. In games it has played as 17.5-point underdogs or more, South Florida has a perfect ATS record of 2-0. This year, South Florida games have hit the over five times. The Bulls have been listed as the underdog six times this season and have failed to win any of those games. The Bulls have a record of 0-1 when they’re set as an underdog of +585 or more by sportsbooks this season.

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Houston vs. South Florida Against The Spread & Betting Records

Houston

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 56.5 54.2 58.3
Implied Total AVG 31.4 32.3 30.8
ATS Record 3-4-0 0-3-0 3-1-0
Over/Under Record 5-1-1 2-1-0 3-0-1
Moneyline Favorite Record 3-2 1-2 2-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-1 0-0 1-1

Bulls

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 58.5 57.4 60.0
Implied Total AVG 39.1 37.8 41.0
ATS Record 2-5-0 0-4-0 2-1-0
Over/Under Record 5-2-0 4-0-0 1-2-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 0-0 0-0 0-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-6 0-3 0-3

Players to Watch

Houston

  • Nelson Ceaser has played seven games, collecting 3.5 sacks to go with 4.0 TFL, 19 tackles, and one interception for the Cougars.
  • The Cougars’ defensive unit has been aided by the play of Derek Parish, who has suited up for seven games and registered 4.5 sacks to go with 6.0 TFL and 19 tackles.
  • Donavan Mutin has helped carry the Cougars’ defense with 43 tackles, 3.0 TFL, and one pass defended in seven games.
  • A key contributor to the Cougars’ defensive unit, Gervarrius Owens has one interception to go with 36 tackles and one pass defended in seven games.

Bulls

  • Dwayne Boyles has been causing chaos on defense, compiling one interception to go with 34 tackles, 4.0 TFL, one sack, and one pass defended for the Bulls.
  • In seven games for the Bulls, Jason Vaughn has compiled 12 tackles, 5.0 TFL, and five sacks.
  • Jatorian Hansford has been doing his part on defense, delivering 2.5 sacks to go with 3.0 TFL and 12 tackles for the Bulls.
  • On defense, Timarcus Simpson has compiled 23 tackles and 1.0 TFL in seven games.

Houston vs. South Florida Predictions and Pick

Houston vs. South Florida betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Cougars (-17.5)

    Pick OU:

    Over (60)

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How to Bet on Houston vs. South Florida

You can bet on Houston vs. South Florida at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Houston vs. South Florida picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our pick to win this contest is Houston, and we project that Houston will cover the spread (Houston -17.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 60 points.

WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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