Houston vs. Navy Prediction: Picks & Start Time – October 2022

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AAC foes will do battle when the Houston Cougars (3-3) face the Navy Midshipmen (2-4) at Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium in Annapolis, Maryland.

Houston vs. Navy Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 3 points, with oddsmakers listing Houston as the favorites.


As for the moneyline, Houston has -152 odds to pick up the win, while Navy is listed at +122 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 50.5 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch Houston vs. Navy Live?

  • Game Day: Saturday, October 22, 2022
  • Game Time: 12:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPNU
  • Location: Annapolis, Maryland
  • Stadium: Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium

Betting Preview


Offensively, Houston ranks 67th in the FBS with 403.2 yards per game. Meanwhile, its defense ranks 98th in total defense (413.7 yards allowed per contest). With 33.7 points allowed per game on defense, which ranks 17th-worst in the FBS, Houston has been forced to lean on their 57th-ranked offense (31.3 points per contest) to keep them competitive. Despite having a bottom-25 pass defense that ranks 20th-worst in the FBS (275.2 passing yards allowed per game), Houston has played better offensively, ranking 49th in the FBS by totaling 261.2 passing yards per game. From an offensive standpoint, Houston ranks 78th in the FBS with 142.0 rushing yards per game. Meanwhile, the defensive unit ranks 58th in rushing yards allowed per contest (138.5). Offensively, Houston has been a top-25 unit in terms of third-down efficiency, ranking 24th-best in the FBS by putting up a 47.9% third-down percentage. The defense ranks 97th on defense (42.5% third-down conversion rate allowed). Houston ranks 100th in college football with a -1 turnover margin after forcing 7 turnovers (98th in the FBS) and committing eight (40th in the FBS).


With 369.8 total yards per game on offense, Navy ranks 86th in the FBS in 2022. Defensively, it ranks 55th, surrendering 364.0 total yards per contest. Navy ranks 100th in the FBS with 23.3 points per contest on offense, and it ranks 54th with 24.2 points given up per game on defense. Navy has plenty of room to get better in the passing game, as it ranks sixth-worst in passing yards per game (114.7) this season and 21st-worst in passing yards allowed per game (274.5). Things have been going well for Navy on both offense and defense, as it is averaging 255.2 rushing yards per game (fifth-best) and surrendering only 89.5 rushing yards per game (seventh-best). From an offensive standpoint, Navy is generating a 42.2% third-down conversion rate (56th-ranked). It ranks 64th in the FBS defensively (38.4% third-down rate allowed). With nine forced turnovers (69th in the FBS) and 10 turnovers committed (72nd in the FBS) this season, Navy ranks 100th in the FBS with a turnover margin of -1.

Houston vs. Navy Betting Analysis

Houston Betting Insights

Houston is 2-4-0 against the spread this season. Houston has yet to cover the spread (0-4) when they are at least 3-point favorites. Houston games have gone over the total four times this season. The Cougars have won 50% of the games this season when they were favored on the moneyline (2-2). The Cougars have gone 0-1 when they have played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -152 or shorter (50%).

Midshipmen Betting Insights

Navy has covered the spread four times in six games with a set total. In games as an underdog by 3 points or more so far this season, the Midshipmen are 4-1 against the spread. This year, Navy games have hit the over three times. This season, the Midshipmen have won two out of the five games in which they’ve been the underdog. This season, the Midshipmen have won two of their five games when they’re the underdog by at least +122 on the moneyline.

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Houston vs. Navy Against The Spread & Betting Records


Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 57.5 54.2 60.8
Implied Total AVG 32.2 32.3 32.0
ATS Record 2-4-0 0-3-0 2-1-0
Over/Under Record 4-1-1 2-1-0 2-0-1
Moneyline Favorite Record 2-2 1-2 1-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-1 0-0 1-1


Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 47.9 47.5 48.3
Implied Total AVG 29.2 27.0 31.3
ATS Record 4-2-0 1-2-0 3-0-0
Over/Under Record 3-3-0 2-1-0 1-2-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 0-1 0-1 0-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 2-3 1-1 1-2

Players to Watch


  • Derek Parish has played six games, recording 4.5 sacks to go with 6.0 TFL and 19 tackles for the Cougars.
  • As part of the Cougars’ defense, Nelson Ceaser has posted 3.0 sacks to go with 4.0 TFL, 13 tackles, and one interception in six games.
  • Gervarrius Owens has helped lead the Cougars’ defense with one interception to go along with 31 tackles and one pass defended in six games.
  • A significant contributor to the Cougars’ defense, D’Anthony Jones has 20 tackles, 4.0 TFL, and one sack in six games.


  • In six games for the Midshipmen, Jacob Busic has registered 4.0 sacks to go with 2.0 TFL and 13 tackles.
  • The Midshipmen’s John Marshall has totaled 2.0 sacks to go with 4.0 TFL and 27 tackles in six games.
  • In six games for the Midshipmen, Colin Ramos has posted 20 tackles, 2.0 TFL, one sack, and one interception.
  • With 19 tackles and 1.0 TFL in six games, Rayuan Lane has been making a big difference on defense for the Midshipmen.

Houston vs. Navy Predictions and Pick

Houston vs. Navy betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Midshipmen (+3)

    Pick OU:

    Over (50.5)

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How to Bet on Houston vs. Navy

You can bet on Houston vs. Navy at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Houston vs. Navy picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our prediction to win this contest is Houston, and we expect that Navy will cover the spread (Houston -3). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 50.5 points.


Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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