Houston vs. Louisiana Radiance Technologies Independence Bowl Prediction: Picks & Start Time – December 23, 2022

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The Houston Cougars will play the Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns in the Radiance Technologies Independence Bowl.

Houston vs. Louisiana Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 5.5 points, with oddsmakers listing Houston as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Houston has -239 odds to pick up the win, while Louisiana is listed at +187 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 56.5 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch Houston vs. Louisiana Live?

  • Game Day: Friday, December 23, 2022
  • Game Time: 3:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN
  • Location: Shreveport, Louisiana
  • Stadium: Independence Stadium

Betting Preview

Houston

Houston has the 20th-best offense this season in terms of total yards (463.8 yards per game), but rank 22nd-worst on defense (429.9 yards allowed per game). Houston has struggled defensively, ranking 15th-worst in the FBS (33.5 points allowed per game) this season. However, the defensive unit ranks 12th-best on the offensive side of the ball, putting up 37.2 points per game. While Houston ranks sixth-worst in the FBS in passing defense with 285.7 passing yards allowed per game, it’s been a different story on offense, as the offensive unit ranks sixth-best in the FBS (321.1 passing yards per game). Houston is totaling 142.7 rushing yards per game on offense this season (76th in the FBS), and is giving up 144.3 rushing yards per game (57th) on the defensive side of the ball. Houston has struggled defensively in terms of third-down efficiency, ranking 17th-worst in the FBS (44.3% third-down conversion rate) this season. With the ball, however, the Cougars ranks 13th-best, averaging a 47.5% third-down conversion rate. Houston owns the 100th-ranked turnover margin in college football at -7, forcing 11 turnovers (119th in the FBS) while turning it over 18 times (84th in the FBS).

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Louisiana

Louisiana is generating 367.8 total yards per contest on offense this season (82nd-ranked). Meanwhile, it is allowing 361.6 total yards per contest (50th-ranked). From an offensive standpoint, Louisiana is compiling 27.0 points per game (75th-ranked). It ranks 36th in the FBS on defense (22.8 points allowed per game). Louisiana ranks 76th in the FBS with 222.1 passing yards per contest on offense, and it ranks 59th with 218.9 passing yards given up per contest on the defensive side of the ball. In terms of rushing, Louisiana ranks 70th in the FBS on offense (145.8 rushing yards per game) and 52nd on defense (142.7 rushing yards allowed per contest). With a 39.4% third-down conversion rate on offense, Louisiana ranks 64th in the FBS. Defensively, it ranks 89th, surrendering a 41.0% third-down rate. Louisiana has compiled 23 forced turnovers this season and have turned the ball over 15 times, leading to a +8 turnover margin, which ranks 15th-best in the FBS.

Houston vs. Louisiana Betting Analysis

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Houston Betting Insights

Houston has compiled a 4-8-0 record against the spread this season. Houston has yet to cover a spread when playing as at least 5.5-point favorites (0-6). Games involving Houston have hit the over nine times this season. The Cougars have put together a 5-3 record in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 62.5% of those games). The Cougars are 2-1 (winning 60% of their games) when they have played as a moneyline favorite of -239 or shorter.

Ragin’ Cajuns Betting Insights

Louisiana is 7-5-0 against the spread this year. Louisiana has a record of 2-1 ATS when playing as at least 5.5-point underdogs. Games involving Louisiana have hit the over on six occasions this year. This season, the Ragin’ Cajuns have been the underdog four times and won one of those games. The Ragin’ Cajuns have entered three games this season as the underdog by +187 or more and are 1-1 in those contests.

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Houston vs. Louisiana Against The Spread & Betting Records

Houston

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 59.1 57.3 60.9
Implied Total AVG 33.9 35.5 32.3
ATS Record 4-8-0 0-6-0 4-2-0
Over/Under Record 9-2-1 5-1-0 4-1-1
Moneyline Favorite Record 5-3 3-3 2-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 2-2 0-0 2-2

Ragin’ Cajuns

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 50.8 53.6 48.0
Implied Total AVG 30.2 30.8 29.5
ATS Record 7-5-0 5-1-0 2-4-0
Over/Under Record 6-6-0 2-4-0 4-2-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 5-3 4-0 1-3
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-3 0-2 1-1

Players to Watch

Houston

  • Donavan Mutin has played 10 games, amassing four TFL and 76 tackles for the Cougars.
  • As part of the Cougars’ defensive unit, Gervarrius Owens has collected one TFL, 61 tackles, and one interception in 10 games.
  • Jayce Rogers has played 10 games, totaling 35 tackles, two TFL, and two interceptions for the Cougars.
  • D’Anthony Jones has been a big part of the Cougars’ defense in 2022, with 32 tackles, 10 TFL, and six sacks in 11 games.

Ragin’ Cajuns

  • In 11 games for the Ragin’ Cajuns, Bralen Trahan has delivered 62 tackles and four interceptions.
  • The Ragin’ Cajuns’ Kris Moncrief has delivered two sacks to go with six TFL, 60 tackles, and one interception in 11 games.
  • Kam Pedescleaux has amassed two TFL, 56 tackles, and one interception in 11 games for the Ragin’ Cajuns.
  • With one interception to go with 46 tackles, six TFL, five sacks, and one pass defended in 12 games, Andre Jones has been doing his part on defense for the Ragin’ Cajuns.

Houston vs. Louisiana Predictions and Pick

Houston vs. Louisiana betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Cougars (-5.5)

    Pick OU:

    Over (56.5)

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How to Bet on Houston vs. Louisiana

You can bet on Houston vs. Louisiana at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Houston vs. Louisiana picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our prediction to win this game is Houston, and we project that Houston will cover the spread (Houston -5.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 56.5 points.

WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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