Fresno State vs. UNLV Prediction: Picks & Start Time – November 2022

httpscdn.dataskrive.comapiassetBxWCyZ7fresno state bulldogs vs unlv rebels Betsperts Media & Technology

MWC rivals will do battle when the Fresno State Bulldogs (5-4) meet the UNLV Rebels (4-5) at Allegiant Stadium in Paradise, Nevada.

Fresno State vs. UNLV Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 8.5 points, with bookmakers listing Fresno State as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Fresno State has -361 odds to pick up the win, while UNLV is listed at +272 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 62 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch Fresno State vs. UNLV Live?

  • Game Day: Friday, November 11, 2022
  • Game Time: 10:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: CBS Sports Network
  • Location: Paradise, Nevada
  • Stadium: Allegiant Stadium

Betting Preview

Fresno State

Fresno State ranks 54th in total offense (409.9 yards per game) and 49th in total defense (363.0 yards allowed per game) this season. Fresno State is compiling 29.2 points per game on offense, which ranks them 66th in the FBS. On defense, the defense ranks 42nd, allowing 22.9 points per contest. Fresno State ranks 32nd in pass offense (273.4 passing yards per game) and 32nd in pass defense (201.2 passing yards allowed per game) this season. Fresno State is averaging 136.4 rushing yards per game on offense (85th in the FBS), and ranks 91st on the other side of the ball with 161.8 rushing yards allowed per game. Fresno State ranks 64th in third-down defense this year (38.2% third-down percentage allowed), but has been playing really well on the other side of the ball, ranking 24th-best in the FBS with a 46.8% third-down conversion rate. Fresno State ranks 100th in college football with a -3 turnover margin after forcing 10 turnovers (97th in the FBS) and committing 13 (63rd in the FBS).

UNLV

In terms of total yards, UNLV ranks 101st in the FBS (347.9 total yards per game) and 67th defensively (375.4 total yards allowed per game). In terms of points scored UNLV ranks 82nd in the FBS (26.0 points per game), and it is 83rd defensively (28.0 points allowed per game). UNLV is accumulating 212.3 passing yards per game on offense this season (94th-ranked). Meanwhile, it is giving up 214.1 passing yards per game (44th-ranked) on defense. In terms of rushing, UNLV ranks 88th in the FBS on offense (135.6 rushing yards per game) and 88th on the other side of the ball (161.3 rushing yards allowed per contest). UNLV ranks 16th-worst in third-down conversion percentage (32.1%), but it has been better on the defensive side of the ball, ranking 38th in the FBS with a 35.0% third-down rate allowed. UNLV has produced 15 forced turnovers (36th in the FBS) and committed 12 turnovers (52nd in the FBS) this season for a +3 turnover margin that ranks 42nd in the FBS.

Fresno State vs. UNLV Betting Analysis

Fresno State Betting Insights

Fresno State is 3-6-0 against the spread this season. Fresno State has an ATS record of 2-3 when playing as at least 8.5-point favorites. This season, Fresno State games have hit the over five times. The Bulldogs have a 3-1 record in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 75% of those games). The Bulldogs have a 3-0 record (winning 75% of their games) when playing as a moneyline favorite of -361 or shorter.

Rebels Betting Insights

UNLV is 6-3-0 against the spread this year. In games they have played as 8.5-point or bigger underdogs, UNLV owns an ATS record of 2-1. UNLV’s games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under four times this year. The Rebels have been the underdog in five games this season, and they have failed to win any of those contests. This season, the Rebels have been at least a +272 underdog on the moneyline three times, losing each of those contests.

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Fresno State vs. UNLV Against The Spread & Betting Records

Fresno State

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 53.7 54.9 52.1
Implied Total AVG 35.0 36.6 33.0
ATS Record 3-6-0 2-3-0 1-3-0
Over/Under Record 5-4-0 3-2-0 2-2-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 3-1 2-0 1-1
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-3 1-1 0-2

Rebels

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 51.6 52.1 51.2
Implied Total AVG 31.4 32.3 30.8
ATS Record 6-3-0 2-2-0 4-1-0
Over/Under Record 4-5-0 3-1-0 1-4-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 4-0 3-0 1-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-5 0-1 0-4

Players to Watch

Fresno State

  • As part of the Bulldogs’ defensive unit, David Perales has collected 24 tackles, 8.0 TFL, and 8.5 sacks in nine games.
  • Bralyn Lux has suited up for nine games, registering one interception to go along with 21 tackles, 2.0 TFL, two sacks, and one pass defended for the Bulldogs.
  • Levelle Bailey has helped lead the Bulldogs’ defense with 38 tackles and 4.0 TFL in nine games.
  • Malachi Langley has been a key piece of the Bulldogs’ defense in 2022, with one interception to go with 33 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and one pass defended in nine games.

Rebels

  • Austin Ajiake has collected two interceptions to go with 67 tackles, 7.0 TFL, four sacks, and two passes defended in nine games for the Rebels.
  • On defense, Adam Plant Jr. has helped keep opposing offenses in check with 26 tackles, 6.0 TFL, and five sacks in nine games.
  • Jeffae Williams has 1.0 sack to go with 2.0 TFL, 28 tackles, and two interceptions in nine games.
  • On defense, Nohl Williams has compiled 25 tackles and three interceptions in nine games.

Fresno State vs. UNLV Predictions and Pick

Fresno State vs. UNLV betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Rebels (+8.5)

    Pick OU:

    Under (62)

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How to Bet on Fresno State vs. UNLV

You can bet on Fresno State vs. UNLV at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Fresno State vs. UNLV picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our pick to win this matchup is Fresno State, and we project that UNLV will cover the spread (Fresno State -8.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 62 points.

WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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