Fresno State vs. San Diego State Prediction: Picks & Start Time – October 2022

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MWC opponents will clash when the Fresno State Bulldogs (3-4) meet the San Diego State Aztecs (4-3).

Fresno State vs. San Diego State Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 10 points, with sportsbooks listing Fresno State as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Fresno State has -407 odds to pick up the win, while San Diego State is listed at +310 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the total for the game is set at 43.5 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch Fresno State vs. San Diego State Live?

  • Game Day: Saturday, October 29, 2022
  • Game Time: 10:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: Fox Sports 1
  • Location: Fresno, California
  • Stadium: Bulldog Stadium at Jim Sweeney Field

Betting Preview

Fresno State

Fresno State is totaling 389.4 yards per game offensively this season (74th in the FBS), and are giving up 350.9 yards per game (41st) on the other side of the ball. Fresno State is averaging 25.1 points per game on offense (92nd in the FBS), and ranks 52nd defensively with 23.6 points allowed per game. Fresno State ranks 60th in passing yards this season (248.6 per game), but has been shining on the defensive side of the ball, ranking 20th-best in the FBS with 188.0 passing yards allowed per game. Fresno State is putting up 140.9 rushing yards per game on offense, which ranks them 80th in the FBS. The team’s defensive unit ranks 91st, giving up 162.9 rushing yards per game. Fresno State is averaging a 41.7% third-down percentage offensively this year (55th in the FBS), and is allowing a 36.1% third-down percentage (50th) on defense. Fresno State ranks 100th in college football with a -7 turnover margin after forcing 4 turnovers (129th in the FBS) and committing 11 (70th in the FBS).

San Diego State

San Diego State has been sputtering offensively, ranking ninth-worst with 289.0 total yards per game. It has been better on defense, surrendering 370.3 total yards per contest (59th-ranked). San Diego State ranks 15th-worst in points per game (19.1), but it has been more productive on the defensive side of the ball, ranking 32nd in the FBS with 21.4 points allowed per contest. San Diego State ranks fifth-worst in passing yards per game (115.1), but it has been better on the other side of the ball, ranking 60th in the FBS with 222.4 passing yards ceded per contest. San Diego State is posting 173.9 rushing yards per contest on offense this season (51st-ranked). Meanwhile, it is giving up 147.9 rushing yards per game (74th-ranked) on defense. San Diego State’s third-down offense has been a bottom-25 unit this season, putting up a 25.5% third-down percentage, which ranks third-worst in the FBS. On defense, it ranks 72nd with a 38.8% third-down rate allowed. San Diego State sports a +2 turnover margin this season, which ranks 51st in the FBS.

Fresno State vs. San Diego State Betting Analysis

Fresno State Betting Insights

Fresno State has covered the spread in a game two times this season (2-5-0). Fresno State is winless against the spread when it has played as 10-point or greater favorites (0-2). Fresno State games have gone over the total three times this season. The Bulldogs have been listed as the moneyline favorite only two other times so far this season, and they split the two games. The Bulldogs have played as a moneyline favorite of -407 or shorter in just one game this season, which they lost.

Aztecs Betting Insights

San Diego State has covered the spread two times this season (2-5-0). San Diego State has not covered a spread when playing as at least 10-point underdogs (0-1). San Diego State games have gone over the total twice this season. The Aztecs have been underdogs in three games this season and won one (33.3%) of those contests. The Aztecs have played as an underdog of +310 or more once this season and lost that game.

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Fresno State vs. San Diego State Against The Spread & Betting Records

Fresno State

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 53.8 56.0 52.1
Implied Total AVG 34.6 36.7 33.0
ATS Record 2-5-0 1-2-0 1-3-0
Over/Under Record 3-4-0 1-2-0 2-2-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 1-1 0-0 1-1
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-3 1-1 0-2

Aztecs

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 44.5 47.0 41.2
Implied Total AVG 29.9 32.0 27.0
ATS Record 2-5-0 1-3-0 1-2-0
Over/Under Record 2-5-0 1-3-0 1-2-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 3-1 2-1 1-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-2 1-0 0-2

Players to Watch

Fresno State

  • As part of the Bulldogs’ defensive unit, David Perales has totaled 20 tackles, 7.0 TFL, and 6.5 sacks in seven games.
  • As part of the Bulldogs’ defensive unit, Bralyn Lux has delivered 2.0 sacks to go with 2.0 TFL, 20 tackles, and one interception in seven games.
  • Levelle Bailey has helped spur the Bulldogs’ defense with 27 tackles and 3.0 TFL in seven games.
  • Elijah Gates has been an important piece of the Bulldogs’ defense in 2022, with 18 tackles, 1.0 TFL, one sack, and one pass defended in seven games.

Aztecs

  • As a key defensive contributor, the Aztecs’ Michael Shawcroft has totaled 33 tackles, 4.0 TFL, and three sacks in seven games.
  • On defense, Garret Fountain has helped keep opposing offenses in check with 23 tackles, 4.0 TFL, and two sacks in seven games.
  • Jonah Tavai has compiled 3.0 sacks to go with 4.0 TFL and 14 tackles in seven games for the Aztecs.
  • With 24 tackles, 3.0 TFL, and one pass defended in seven games, Caden McDonald has been wreaking havoc on defense for the Aztecs.

Fresno State vs. San Diego State Predictions and Pick

Fresno State vs. San Diego State betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Aztecs (+10)

    Pick OU:

    Over (43.5)

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How to Bet on Fresno State vs. San Diego State

You can bet on Fresno State vs. San Diego State at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Fresno State vs. San Diego State picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our pick to win this contest is Fresno State, and we expect that San Diego State will cover the spread (Fresno State -10). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 43.5 points.

WRITTEN BY

Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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