The Fresno State Bulldogs (2-4) and New Mexico Lobos (2-5) will face each other in clash of MWC foes at University Stadium (NM) in Albuquerque, New Mexico.
Fresno State vs. New Mexico Odds
The spread for this matchup is set at 10 points, with sportsbooks listing Fresno State as the favorites.
As for the moneyline, Fresno State has -396 odds to pick up the win, while New Mexico is listed at +291 to claim victory.
Finally, the total for the game is set at 40 points.
How to Watch Fresno State vs. New Mexico Live?
- Game Day: Saturday, October 22, 2022
- Game Time: 6:30 PM ET
- TV Channel: Fox Sports 2
- Location: Albuquerque, New Mexico
- Stadium: University Stadium (NM)
Fresno State is putting up 369.3 yards per game on offense this year (88th in the FBS), and are surrendering 386.3 yards per game (78th) on the other side of the ball. Fresno State is compiling 22.5 points per game on offense, which ranks them 105th in the FBS. On defense, the defense ranks 65th, allowing 26.0 points per game. Fresno State is putting up 252.5 passing yards per game on offense this year (59th in the FBS), and is allowing 210.8 passing yards per game (42nd) on the defensive side of the ball. Fresno State is totaling 116.8 rushing yards per game on offense, which ranks them 104th in the FBS. The team’s defensive unit ranks 101st, allowing 175.5 rushing yards per game. Fresno State is averaging a 36.8% third-down conversion rate on offense (90th in the FBS), and ranks 67th on defense with a 38.8% third-down percentage allowed. With four forced turnovers (128th in the FBS) against 10 turnovers committed (71st in the FBS), Fresno State (-6) owns the 100th-ranked turnover margin in college football.
New Mexico ranks fourth-worst in total yards per game on offense (258.9), but at least it has been shutting down opposing offenses on the other side of the ball, ranking 21st-best in total yards surrendered per contest (315.3). New Mexico’s offense has been a bottom-25 unit this season, registering 17.9 points per game, which ranks 11th-worst in the FBS. On the defensive side of the ball, it ranks 43rd with 22.6 points ceded per contest. New Mexico ranks eighth-worst in passing yards per game (124.4), but it has been more productive defensively, ranking 34th in the FBS with 200.7 passing yards allowed per contest. In terms of rushing, New Mexico ranks 88th in the FBS on offense (134.4 rushing yards per game) and 28th defensively (114.6 rushing yards allowed per game). While New Mexico’s third-down offense has had trouble moving the chains, ranking second-worst with a 23.1% third-down conversion percentage, its defense ranks 10th-best with a 28.6% third-down rate allowed. At +3, New Mexico owns the 33rd-ranked turnover margin in the FBS, with 13 forced turnovers (15th in the FBS) and 10 turnovers committed (71st in the FBS).
Fresno State vs. New Mexico Betting Analysis
Fresno State Betting Insights
Fresno State has covered the spread one time this season (1-5-0). Fresno State has yet to cover a spread (0-2) when they are at least 10-point favorites. This season, Fresno State games have hit the over twice. The Bulldogs have been the moneyline favorite just one other time so far this season, a game they lost. The Bulldogs have played as a moneyline favorite of -396 or shorter in just one game this season, which they lost.
Lobos Betting Insights
New Mexico have put together a 3-3-1 record against the spread this year. In games they have played as 10-point underdogs or more, the Lobos have an ATS record of 1-1-1. This season, New Mexico games have hit the over three times. The Lobos have won one of the five games they’ve played as underdogs this season. The Lobos have been at least a +291 moneyline underdog three times this season, but lost all of those games.
Fresno State vs. New Mexico Against The Spread & Betting Records
|Point Total AVG||56.1||56.0||56.2|
|Implied Total AVG||36.2||36.7||35.7|
|Moneyline Favorite Record||0-1||0-0||0-1|
|Moneyline Underdog Record||1-3||1-1||0-2|
|Point Total AVG||41.1||40.1||42.3|
|Implied Total AVG||26.3||23.5||30.0|
|Moneyline Favorite Record||1-1||1-0||0-1|
|Moneyline Underdog Record||1-4||1-2||0-2|
Players to Watch
- With 6.5 sacks to go with 6.0 TFL and 16 tackles in six games, David Perales has been a big piece of the Bulldogs’ defensive unit in 2022.
- As part of the Bulldogs’ defense, Bralyn Lux has amassed 2.0 sacks to go with 2.0 TFL, 17 tackles, and one interception in six games.
- With 21 tackles and 1.0 TFL in six games, Levelle Bailey has been a key part of the Bulldogs’ defensive unit in 2022.
- The Bulldogs’ defense has been helped by Elijah Gates, who has suited up for six games, posting 1.0 sack to go with 1.0 TFL and 14 tackles.
- As a tone-setter on defense, the Lobos’ Cody Moon has compiled 22 tackles, 5.0 TFL, and 3.5 sacks in seven games.
- Jerrick Reed II has been doing his part on defense, posting 23 tackles, 3.0 TFL, and one pass defended for the Lobos.
- In seven games for the Lobos, Reco Hannah has registered 12 tackles, 2.0 TFL, 2.5 sacks, and one interception.
- With 11 tackles, 3.0 TFL, and 3.5 sacks in seven games, Justin Harris has been making a big difference on defense for the Lobos.
Fresno State vs. New Mexico Predictions and Pick
Fresno State vs. New Mexico betting card
- Pick ATS:
How to Bet on Fresno State vs. New Mexico
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Our pick to win this game is Fresno State, and we expect that New Mexico will cover the spread (Fresno State -10). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 40 points.