Fresno State vs. Nevada Prediction: Picks & Start Time – November 19, 2022

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MWC opponents will meet when the Fresno State Bulldogs (6-4) meet the Nevada Wolf Pack (2-8).

Fresno State vs. Nevada Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 22.5 points, with sportsbooks listing Fresno State as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Fresno State has -2529 odds to pick up the win, while Nevada is listed at +1078 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the total for the game is set at 54.5 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch Fresno State vs. Nevada Live?

  • Game Day: Saturday, November 19, 2022
  • Game Time: 10:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: CBS Sports Network
  • Location: Reno, Nevada
  • Stadium: Mackay Stadium

Betting Preview

Fresno State

On offense, Fresno State ranks 56th in the FBS with 407.0 yards per game. Meanwhile, its defense ranks 53rd in total defense (365.8 yards allowed per contest). Fresno State ranks 52nd in scoring offense (30.0 points per game) and 44th in scoring defense (23.6 points allowed per game) this season. Fresno State ranks 32nd in pass defense this year (198.3 passing yards allowed per game), but has been playing really well on offense, ranking 25th-best in the FBS with 277.4 passing yards per game. Fresno State is averaging 129.6 rushing yards per game on offense this season (94th in the FBS), and is allowing 167.5 rushing yards per game (91st) on defense. On offense, Fresno State has been a top-25 unit in terms of third-down efficiency, ranking 17th-best in the FBS by averaging a 47.2% third-down conversion rate. The defense ranks 74th on defense (39.6% third-down conversion rate allowed). Fresno State has forced 10 total turnovers (116th in the FBS) this season and have turned it over 14 times (52nd in the FBS) for -4a turnover margin of -4, 100th-ranked in college football.

Nevada

Nevada ranks fourth-worst in total yards per game (280.7), but it has been better on the other side of the ball, ranking 85th in the FBS with 393.5 total yards ceded per contest. Nevada’s offense has been bottom-25 this season, posting 19.0 points per game, which ranks 13th-worst in the FBS. On the defensive side of the ball, it ranks 104th with 30.3 points surrendered per contest. Nevada’s passing game has been struggling, ranking 13th-worst in the FBS with 170.6 passing yards per game. It has been more productive on the defensive side of the ball, giving up 217.6 passing yards per contest (53rd-ranked). Nevada ranks 16th-worst in rushing yards per game (110.1), but it has been better on the defensive side of the ball, ranking 97th in the FBS with 175.9 rushing yards allowed per contest. In terms of third-down efficiency, Nevada ranks 104th in the FBS (34.8% third-down conversion rate) and 104th defensively (42.1% third-down rate allowed). Nevada has generated 17 forced turnovers this season and have turned it over 10 times, resulting in a +7 turnover margin, which ranks 16th-best in the FBS.

Fresno State vs. Nevada Betting Analysis

Fresno State Betting Insights

Fresno State is 3-7-0 against the spread this season. Fresno State has an ATS record of 1-2 when playing as at least 22.5-point favorites. Fresno State games have gone over the total six times this season. The Bulldogs have won 80% of the games this season when they were favored on the moneyline (4-1). The Bulldogs have played as a moneyline favorite of -2529 or shorter in just two games this season, and they split 1-1.

Wolf Pack Betting Insights

Nevada have put together a 3-7-0 record against the spread this season. Nevada has an ATS record of 1-2 when playing as at least 22.5-point underdogs. Games involving Nevada have hit the over on four occasions this year. The Wolf Pack have been underdogs in six games this season and won one (16.7%) of those contests. The Wolf Pack have been at least a +1078 moneyline underdog three times this season, but lost all of those games.

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Fresno State vs. Nevada Against The Spread & Betting Records

Fresno State

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 54.5 54.9 54.1
Implied Total AVG 35.0 36.6 33.4
ATS Record 3-7-0 2-3-0 1-4-0
Over/Under Record 6-4-0 3-2-0 3-2-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 4-1 2-0 2-1
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-3 1-1 0-2

Wolf Pack

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 47.2 48.3 46.1
Implied Total AVG 29.9 28.0 31.8
ATS Record 3-7-0 1-4-0 2-3-0
Over/Under Record 4-6-0 2-3-0 2-3-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 1-3 0-2 1-1
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-5 1-2 0-3

Players to Watch

Fresno State

  • With 9.5 sacks to go with 9.0 TFL and 29 tackles in 10 games, David Perales has been an important contributor to the Bulldogs’ defense in 2022.
  • Levelle Bailey has helped carry the Bulldogs’ defense with 4.0 TFL and 43 tackles in 10 games.
  • Bralyn Lux has suited up for 10 games, totaling 21 tackles, 2.0 TFL, two sacks, and one interception for the Bulldogs.
  • With 1.0 TFL, 35 tackles, and one interception, Malachi Langley has helped propel the Bulldogs’ defense over 10 games.

Wolf Pack

  • As a playmaker on defense, the Wolf Pack’s Bentlee Sanders has totaled 33 tackles, 3.0 TFL, and five interceptions in 10 games.
  • On defense, Dom Peterson has helped lead the charge with 14 tackles, 5.0 TFL, and four sacks in 10 games.
  • Tyson Williams has 1.0 sack to go with 4.0 TFL, 31 tackles, and one interception in 10 games.
  • Drue Watts has delivered 26 tackles, 5.0 TFL, and three sacks In 10 games for the Wolf Pack.

Fresno State vs. Nevada Predictions and Pick

Fresno State vs. Nevada betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Wolf Pack (+22.5)

    Pick OU:

    Under (54.5)

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How to Bet on Fresno State vs. Nevada

You can bet on Fresno State vs. Nevada at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Fresno State vs. Nevada picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our pick to win this contest is Fresno State, and we project that Nevada will cover the spread (Fresno State -22.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 54.5 points.

WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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