Florida State vs. Florida Prediction: Picks & Start Time – November 25, 2022

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The No. 16 Florida State Seminoles (8-3) and Florida Gators (6-5) will face each other in a matchup at Bobby Bowden Field at Doak Campbell Stadium in Tallahassee, Florida.

Florida State vs. Florida Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 9.5 points, with bookmakers listing Florida State as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Florida State has -363 odds to pick up the win, while Florida is listed at +275 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 58 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch Florida State vs. Florida Live?

  • Game Day: Friday, November 25, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ABC
  • Location: Tallahassee, Florida
  • Stadium: Bobby Bowden Field at Doak Campbell Stadium

Betting Preview

Florida State

Florida State has been finding success on both sides of the ball, ranking 16th-best in total offense (473.7 yards per game) and 11th-best in total defense (293.4 yards allowed per game). Florida State has been clicking on all fronts this season, as they rank 23rd-best in scoring offense (35.4 points per game) and 13th-best in scoring defense (18.0 points allowed per game). Florida State ranks 40th in passing yards this season (256.7 per game), but has been shining on the other side of the ball, ranking fourth-best in the FBS with 155.4 passing yards allowed per game. Florida State owns the 52nd-ranked defense this season in terms of rushing yards (138.0 rushing yards allowed per game), and has been more effective on the other side of the ball, ranking 14th-best with 217.0 rushing yards per game. Florida State has been a difficult matchup for opposing teams on third down, ranking top-25 in both third-down offense (sixth-best with a 51.4% third-down percentage) and third-down defense (18th-best with a 32.0% third-down percentage allowed) this season. Florida State has forced 14 total turnovers (83rd in the FBS) this season and have turned it over 12 times (24th in the FBS) for +2a turnover margin of +2, 51st-ranked in college football.

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Florida

From an offensive standpoint, Florida is compiling 439.5 total yards per game (30th-ranked). It ranks 98th in the FBS on the other side of the ball (408.5 total yards given up per game). With 31.2 points per game on the offensive side of the ball, Florida ranks 47th in the FBS. Defensively, it ranks 78th, giving up 27.3 points per game. Florida is accumulating 230.2 passing yards per game on offense this season (66th-ranked). Meanwhile, it is giving up 236.9 passing yards per game (88th-ranked) on defense. Florida’s rushing attack has been leading the charge for the team, as it ranks 15th-best in the FBS with 209.3 rushing yards per contest. In terms of defense, it is allowing 171.5 rushing yards per game, which ranks 92nd. Florida ranks 59th in third-down conversion percentage (39.9%) on offense, but it has been worse on the defensive side of the ball, ranking fifth-worst in the FBS with a 48.3% third-down percentage allowed. Florida owns a top-25 turnover margin this season, ranking 12th-best at +8.

Florida State vs. Florida Betting Analysis

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Florida State Betting Insights

Florida State is 7-3-0 against the spread this season. In games they were favored in by 9.5 points or more so far this season, the Florida State has gone 3-1 against the spread. Games involving Florida State have hit the over five times this season. The Seminoles are 6-1 in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 85.7% of those games). The Seminoles have played in three games as a moneyline favorite with odds of -363 or shorter and won each of them.

Gators Betting Insights

Florida has covered the spread six times in 11 games with a set total. In games it has played as 9.5-point underdogs or more, Florida has a perfect ATS record of 2-0. Florida’s games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under six times this season. The Gators have won two of the four games they’ve played as underdogs this season. The Gators have not won as an underdog of +275 or more on the moneyline this season in two such games.

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Florida State vs. Florida Against The Spread & Betting Records

Florida State

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 53.8 54.3 53.0
Implied Total AVG 33.9 37.2 29.0
ATS Record 7-3-0 3-3-0 4-0-0
Over/Under Record 5-5-0 4-2-0 1-3-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 6-1 3-1 3-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-2 0-1 0-1

Gators

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 57.0 56.8 57.4
Implied Total AVG 34.7 34.6 35.0
ATS Record 6-5-0 3-4-0 3-1-0
Over/Under Record 6-5-0 3-4-0 3-1-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 4-3 4-2 0-1
Moneyline Underdog Record 2-2 1-0 1-2

Players to Watch

Florida State

  • The Seminoles’ defensive unit has been helped by the contributions of Jared Verse, who has suited up for 11 games and recorded 32 tackles, 12.0 TFL, and 7.5 sacks.
  • The Seminoles’ defense has been aided by the play of Tatum Bethune, who has played 11 games and delivered 2.5 sacks to go with 6.0 TFL and 54 tackles.
  • The Seminoles’ defense has been aided by the play of Jammie Robinson, who has suited up for 11 games and recorded one interception to go along with 66 tackles, 3.0 TFL, and two passes defended.
  • With 3.0 sacks to go along with 3.0 TFL and 38 tackles, Kalen DeLoach has helped spur the Seminoles’ defense over 11 games.

Gators

  • In 11 games for the Gators, Amari Burney has totaled 4.0 sacks to go with 5.0 TFL, 47 tackles, and two interceptions.
  • Rashad Torrence has been providing a big boost on defense, totaling 59 tackles for the Gators.
  • In 11 games for the Gators, Ventrell Miller has registered 51 tackles and 4.0 TFL.
  • With 50 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and 0.5 sacks in 11 games, Trey Dean III has been making a big difference on defense for the Gators.

Florida State vs. Florida Predictions and Pick

Florida State vs. Florida betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Seminoles (-9.5)

    Pick OU:

    Under (58)

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How to Bet on Florida State vs. Florida

You can bet on Florida State vs. Florida at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Florida State vs. Florida picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our prediction to win this contest is Florida State, and we expect that Florida State will cover the spread (Florida State -9.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 58 points.

WRITTEN BY

Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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