East Carolina vs. South Florida Prediction: Picks & Start Time – October 2022

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AAC rivals will clash when the East Carolina Pirates (2-2) meet the South Florida Bulls (1-3).

East Carolina vs. South Florida Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 9.5 points, with bookmakers listing East Carolina as the favorites.


As for the moneyline, East Carolina has -358 odds to pick up the win, while South Florida is listed at +271 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 57 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch East Carolina vs. South Florida Live?

  • Game Day: Saturday, October 1, 2022
  • Game Time: 2:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN+
  • Location: Tampa, Florida
  • Stadium: Raymond James Stadium

Betting Preview

East Carolina

East Carolina is totaling 464.0 yards per game offensively this season (34th in the FBS), and are giving up 345.0 yards per game (47th) on the defensive side of the ball. East Carolina is totaling 32.0 points per game on offense (62nd in the FBS), and ranks 32nd defensively with 18.8 points allowed per game. East Carolina is putting up 276.5 passing yards per game on offense, which ranks them 41st in the FBS. The defense ranks 77th, surrendering 234.5 passing yards per contest. East Carolina ranks 41st in run offense (187.5 rushing yards per game) and 36th in run defense (110.5 rushing yards allowed per game) this season. Offensively, East Carolina has been a top-25 unit in terms of third-down efficiency, ranking 13th-best in the FBS by averaging a 51.6% third-down conversion rate. The defense ranks 43rd on defense (33.3% third-down conversion rate allowed). East Carolina owns the 41st-ranked turnover margin in college football at +2, forcing six turnovers (56th in the FBS) while turning it over four times (30th in the FBS).

South Florida

This season has been difficult for South Florida on both sides of the ball, as it is posting just 319.3 total yards per game (24th-worst) and allowing 466.0 total yards per game (11th-worst). South Florida has been sputtering on defense, ranking 18th-worst with 35.5 points surrendered per game. It has been better on the other side of the ball, posting 23.5 points per contest (102nd-ranked). South Florida’s passing offense has been a bottom-25 unit this season, generating 154.3 passing yards per game, which ranks 14th-worst in the FBS. On defense, it ranks 65th with 220.5 passing yards surrendered per contest. South Florida’s defense has been bottom-25 in run defense this season, ceding 245.5 rushing yards per game, which ranks fourth-worst in the FBS. On offense, it ranks 63rd with 165.0 rushing yards per contest. South Florida ranks 93rd in the FBS with a 35.3% third-down conversion percentage on offense, and 105th with a 43.1% third-down percentage allowed on the defensive side of the ball. After forcing seven turnovers (32nd in the FBS) and turning the ball over eight times (100th in the FBS) this season, South Florida owns the 100th-ranked turnover margin of -1.

East Carolina vs. South Florida Betting Analysis

East Carolina Betting Insights

East Carolina has gone 3-1-0 against the spread this season. In games it has played as 9.5-point favorites or more, East Carolina has an ATS record of 2-1. East Carolina games have gone over the total twice this season. The Pirates have been the moneyline favorite just two other times so far this season, and they split the two games. The Pirates have played as a moneyline favorite of -358 or shorter in just two games this season, and they split 1-1.

Bulls Betting Insights

South Florida has covered the spread one time over four games with a set spread. In games they have played as 9.5-point underdogs or more, the Bulls have an ATS record of 1-2. South Florida games have gone over the total three times this season. The Bulls have been the underdog in three games this season, and they have failed to win any of those contests. The Bulls are 0-0 this season when entering a game as the underdog by +271 or more on the moneyline.

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East Carolina vs. South Florida Against The Spread & Betting Records

East Carolina

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 52.3 52.3
Implied Total AVG 35.5 35.5
ATS Record 3-1-0 3-1-0 0-0-0
Over/Under Record 2-2-0 2-2-0 0-0-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 1-1 1-1 0-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-1 0-1 0-0


Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 59.9 59.0 60.8
Implied Total AVG 41.0 42.0 40.0
ATS Record 1-3-0 0-2-0 1-1-0
Over/Under Record 3-1-0 2-0-0 1-1-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 0-0 0-0 0-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-3 0-1 0-2

Players to Watch

East Carolina

  • With 1.0 TFL and 18 tackles in four games, Teagan Wilk has been an important contributor to the Pirates’ defensive unit in 2022.
  • With 12 tackles and 0.5 sacks in four games, Myles Berry has been a big piece of the Pirates’ defense in 2022.
  • Shaundre Mims has helped lead the Pirates’ defense with five tackles, 1.0 TFL, and 1.5 sacks in four games.
  • With 1.0 sack to go along with 1.0 TFL and seven tackles, Xavier Smith has helped lead the Pirates’ defense over four games.


  • In four games for the Bulls, Jatorian Hansford has delivered 1.5 sacks to go with 2.0 TFL and eight tackles.
  • Mekhi LaPointe has collected 10 tackles, 1.0 TFL, one sack, and one interception in four games for the Bulls.
  • Dwayne Boyles has totaled 2.0 TFL, nine tackles, and one interception in four games for the Bulls.
  • James Gordon IV has delivered 10 tackles and 1.0 TFL In four games for the Bulls.

East Carolina vs. South Florida Predictions and Pick

East Carolina vs. South Florida betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Pirates (-9.5)

    Pick OU:

    Under (57)

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How to Bet on East Carolina vs. South Florida

You can bet on East Carolina vs. South Florida at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s East Carolina vs. South Florida picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our prediction to win this contest is East Carolina, and we predict that East Carolina will cover the spread (East Carolina -9.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 57 points.


Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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