Duke vs. Boston College Prediction: Picks & Start Time – November 2022

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The Duke Blue Devils (5-3) have an ACC matchup with the Boston College Eagles (2-6).

Duke vs. Boston College Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 11.5 points, with sportsbooks listing Duke as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Duke has -484 odds to pick up the win, while Boston College is listed at +357 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 47.5 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch Duke vs. Boston College Live?

  • Game Day: Friday, November 4, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN2
  • Location: Boston, Massachusetts
  • Stadium: Alumni Stadium

Betting Preview

Duke

Duke is putting up 422.1 yards per game on offense this year (48th in the FBS), and are giving up 392.8 yards per game (79th) on defense. On offense, Duke ranks 32nd in the FBS with 34.4 points per game. Meanwhile, the team’s defense ranks 40th in points allowed (392.8 points allowed per contest). With 262.9 passing yards allowed per game on defense, which ranks 25th-worst in the FBS, Duke has been forced to lean on their 93rd-ranked passing offense (217 passing yards per contest) to keep them in games. Offensively, Duke has been a top-25 unit in terms of rushing yards, ranking 21st-best in the FBS by putting up 205.1 per game. The Blue Devils rank 50th on defense (129.9 rushing yards allowed per game). In addition to a 45% third-down conversion rate allowed on defense, which ranks 19th-worst in the FBS, Duke has posted the 53rd-ranked third-down conversion rate (41.4%) on offense. With 20 forced turnovers (third in the FBS) against six turnovers committed (seventh in the FBS), Duke’s +14 turnover margin is the second-best in college football.

Boston College

Boston College ranks 15th-worst in total yards per game (311.4), but it has been better on the other side of the ball, ranking 62nd in the FBS with 367.3 total yards ceded per contest. Boston College’s offense has been a bottom-25 unit this season, posting 17.3 points per game, which ranks 10th-worst in the FBS. On defense, it ranks 83rd with 28.8 points surrendered per contest. Boston College ranks 64th in the FBS with 242 passing yards per contest on offense, and it ranks 59th with 225 passing yards surrendered per contest on the defensive side of the ball. Boston College’s running game has not been getting things done, ranking worst in the FBS with 69.4 rushing yards per game. It has been more effective on defense, allowing 142.3 rushing yards per contest (66th-ranked). Boston College’s offense has been sputtering on third down, ranking 13th-worst in the FBS with a 30.4% third-down conversion percentage. It has been more effective on the defensive side of the ball, allowing a 36.5% third-down rate (55th-ranked). Boston College has a -8 turnover margin this season, which ranks 100th in the FBS.

Duke vs. Boston College Betting Analysis

Duke Betting Insights

Duke has covered the spread in a matchup five times this season (5-3-0). Duke has yet to cover the spread when playing as at least 11.5-point favorites (0-1). Duke games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under four times this season. The Blue Devils have been favored on the moneyline three total times this season. They’ve gone 2-1 in those games. The Blue Devils have not yet played as a moneyline favorite of -484 or shorter.

Eagles Betting Insights

Boston College has covered the spread once over eight games with a set spread. In games they have played as 11.5-point underdogs or more, the Eagles have an ATS record of 1-3. This season, Boston College games have hit the over three times. This season, the Eagles have won one out of the five games in which they’ve been the underdog. This season, the Eagles have won two of their five games when they’re the underdog by at least +357 on the moneyline.

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Duke vs. Boston College Against The Spread & Betting Records

Duke

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 58.0 57.5 58.5
Implied Total AVG 34.3 35.3 33.3
ATS Record 5-3-0 3-1-0 2-2-0
Over/Under Record 4-4-0 3-1-0 1-3-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 2-1 2-0 0-1
Moneyline Underdog Record 2-2 0-1 2-1

Eagles

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 49.3 48.8 49.8
Implied Total AVG 32.4 33.8 31.0
ATS Record 1-7-0 1-3-0 0-4-0
Over/Under Record 3-5-0 2-2-0 1-3-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 0-2 0-1 0-1
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-4 1-1 0-3

Players to Watch

Duke

  • With 3.5 sacks to go with three TFL, 21 tackles, and two interceptions in eight games, Brandon Johnson has been an important piece of the Blue Devils’ defense in 2022.
  • The Blue Devils’ defense has been helped by the contributions of DeWayne Carter, who has suited up for eight games and posted 2.5 sacks to go with four TFL and 18 tackles.
  • As part of the Blue Devils’ defensive unit, Jaylen Stinson has compiled two interceptions to go along with 28 tackles, one TFL, one sack, and two passes defended in eight games.
  • With one TFL and 38 tackles, Shaka Heyward has helped propel the Blue Devils’ defense over eight games.

Eagles

  • On defense, Donovan Ezeiruaku has helped set the tone with 24 tackles, three TFL, and four sacks in eight games.
  • Kam Arnold has been doing his part on defense, registering two interceptions to go with 28 tackles, one TFL, one sack, and one pass defended for the Eagles.
  • Vinny DePalma has one sack to go with three TFL and 25 tackles in eight games.
  • On defense, Elijah Jones has piled up 14 tackles, one TFL, one sack, and one interception in eight games.

Duke vs. Boston College Predictions and Pick

Duke vs. Boston College betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Blue Devils (-11.5)

    Pick OU:

    Over (47.5)

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How to Bet on Duke vs. Boston College

You can bet on Duke vs. Boston College at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Duke vs. Boston College picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our pick to win this game is Duke, and we expect that Duke will cover the spread (Duke -11.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 47.5 points.

WRITTEN BY

Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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