UCF vs. Cincinnati Prediction: Picks & Start Time – October 2022

httpscdn.dataskrive.comapiassetK2Qh8GGcincinnati bearcats vs ucf knights Betsperts Media & Technology

AAC rivals will clash when the UCF Knights (5-2) battle the No. 20 Cincinnati Bearcats (6-1).

UCF vs. Cincinnati Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 1 point, with bookmakers listing UCF as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, UCF has -118 odds to pick up the win, while Cincinnati is listed at -104 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the total for the game is set at 55.5 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch UCF vs. Cincinnati Live?

  • Game Day: Saturday, October 29, 2022
  • Game Time: 3:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN
  • Location: Orlando, Florida
  • Stadium: FBC Mortgage Stadium

Betting Preview

UCF

UCF ranks 46th in total defense this season (355.3 yards allowed per game), but has been shining on the offensive side of the ball, ranking sixth-best in the FBS with 510.3 total yards per game. UCF has been a handful for opposing teams, as they rank top-25 in both scoring offense (20th-best with 37.3 points per game) and scoring defense (14th-best with 17.1 points allowed per game) this year. UCF is totaling 268.6 passing yards per game on offense (38th in the FBS), and ranks 65th defensively with 225.9 passing yards allowed per game. UCF has the 48th-ranked defense this year in terms of rushing yards (129.4 rushing yards allowed per game), and has been more effective offensively, ranking sixth-best with 241.7 rushing yards per game. UCF ranks 37th in third-down defense this year (34.0% third-down percentage allowed), but has been playing really well on the offensive side of the ball, ranking 19th-best in the FBS with a 49.0% third-down percentage. With six forced turnovers (119th in the FBS) against 10 turnovers committed (50th in the FBS), UCF (-4) owns the 100th-ranked turnover margin in college football.

Cincinnati

Cincinnati’s defensive unit has been leading the way for the team, as it ranks 17th-best in the FBS with 305.4 total yards surrendered per game. In terms of offense, it is generating 424.4 total yards per game, which ranks 47th. Cincinnati’s defense ranks 38th in the FBS with 22.0 points given up per game, but it has been carried by its offense, which ranks 23rd-best by racking up 36.9 points per game. Cincinnati ranks 41st in the FBS with 266.9 passing yards per game, but it has been led by its defense, which ranks 18th-best by allowing just 185.3 passing yards per game. Cincinnati ranks 64th in the FBS with 157.6 rushing yards per game on offense, and it ranks 30th with 120.1 rushing yards allowed per game on the defensive side of the ball. In terms of third-down efficiency, Cincinnati ranks 65th in the FBS (40.2% third-down conversion percentage) and 81st on the other side of the ball (40.5% third-down rate allowed). After forcing 10 turnovers (74th in the FBS) and turning the ball over 10 times (50th in the FBS) this season, Cincinnati owns the 100th-ranked turnover margin of 0.

UCF vs. Cincinnati Betting Analysis

UCF Betting Insights

UCF has covered the spread four times this season (4-3-0). In games they were favored in by 1 point or more so far this season, the UCF has gone 4-3 against the spread. UCF games have gone over the total twice this season. The Knights have been favored on the moneyline six total times this season. They’ve finished 4-2 in those games. When they have played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -118 or shorter, the Knights have a 2-1 record (winning 66.7% of their games).

Bearcats Betting Insights

Cincinnati has covered the spread two times this season (2-4-1). Cincinnati is winless against the spread when it has played as 1-point underdogs or more (0-1). Cincinnati games have gone over the total four times this year. The Bearcats lost the only game they’ve played as the underdog this season. The Bearcats have played as an underdog of -104 or more once this season and lost that game.

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UCF vs. Cincinnati Against The Spread & Betting Records

UCF

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 59.1 57.7 62.5
Implied Total AVG 37.6 38.6 35.0
ATS Record 4-3-0 3-2-0 1-1-0
Over/Under Record 2-5-0 2-3-0 0-2-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 4-2 3-1 1-1
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-0 0-0 0-0

Bearcats

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 55.7 55.7 55.8
Implied Total AVG 36.4 40.0 33.8
ATS Record 2-4-1 2-1-0 0-3-1
Over/Under Record 4-3-0 2-1-0 2-2-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 6-0 3-0 3-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-1 0-0 0-1

Players to Watch

UCF

  • With 1.0 TFL and 55 tackles in seven games, Jason Johnson has been a key contributor to the Knights’ defense in 2022.
  • The Knights’ defense has been helped by the contributions of Tre’mon Morris-Brash, who has played seven games and collected 4.0 sacks to go with 5.0 TFL and 27 tackles.
  • The Knights’ defense has been helped by Jeremiah Jean-Baptiste, who has played seven games and recorded 26 tackles, 3.0 TFL, and one sack.
  • An important part of the Knights’ defense, Divaad Wilson has two interceptions to go with 21 tackles and two passes defended in seven games.

Bearcats

  • Ivan Pace Jr. has delivered 54 tackles, 11.0 TFL, and eight sacks in seven games for the Bearcats.
  • Jowon Briggs has been wreaking havoc on defense, amassing 29 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and three sacks for the Bearcats.
  • Dontay Corleone has been providing a big boost on defense, recording 3.0 sacks to go with 3.0 TFL and 20 tackles for the Bearcats.
  • On defense, Jabari Taylor has racked up 17 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and 2.5 sacks in seven games.

UCF vs. Cincinnati Predictions and Pick

UCF vs. Cincinnati betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Knights (-1)

    Pick OU:

    Under (55.5)

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How to Bet on UCF vs. Cincinnati

You can bet on UCF vs. Cincinnati at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s UCF vs. Cincinnati picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our pick to win this game is UCF, and we project that UCF will cover the spread (UCF -1). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 55.5 points.

WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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