BYU vs. Utah State Prediction: Picks & Start Time – September 2022

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It’ll be the No. 19 BYU Cougars (2-1) versus the Utah State Aggies (1-2) in college football play at LaVell Edwards Stadium in Provo, Utah.

BYU vs. Utah State Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 24.5 points, with sportsbooks listing BYU as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, BYU has -3839 odds to pick up the win, while Utah State is listed at +1270 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the total for the game is set at 60 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch BYU vs. Utah State Live?

  • Game Day: Thursday, September 29, 2022
  • Game Time: 8:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN
  • Location: Provo, Utah
  • Stadium: LaVell Edwards Stadium

Betting Preview

BYU

From an offensive standpoint, BYU ranks 56th in the FBS with 435.7 yards per game. Meanwhile, its defense ranks 47th in total defense (340.3 yards allowed per contest). On offense, BYU ranks 68th in the FBS with 32.0 points per game. Meanwhile, the team’s defense ranks 81st in points allowed (340.3 points allowed per contest). On offense, BYU ranks 32nd in the FBS with 283.0 passing yards per game. Meanwhile, the defense ranks 28th in passing yards allowed per contest (178.7). BYU ranks 82nd in run offense (152.7 rushing yards per game) and 89th in run defense (161.7 rushing yards allowed per game) this year. BYU is averaging a 42.9% third-down conversion rate on offense (53rd in the FBS), and ranks 75th on defense with a 38.1% third-down percentage allowed. With two forced turnovers (117th in the FBS) against one turnover committed (third in the FBS), BYU (+1) owns the 45th-ranked turnover margin in college football.

Utah State

Utah State ranks 104th in total yards per game (320.3), but it has been less effective defensively, ranking 18th-worst in the FBS with 441.3 total yards surrendered per contest. Utah State has struggled on both offense and defense this season, ranking seventh-worst in points (12.7 per game) and 17th-worst in points allowed (36.7 per game). Utah State’s passing offense has been bottom-25 this season, compiling 165.0 passing yards per game, which ranks 19th-worst in the FBS. On the defensive side of the ball, it ranks 47th with 200.7 passing yards ceded per contest. Utah State has been struggling to stop the run, ranking fifth-worst with 240.7 rushing yards given up per game. It has been more productive on offense, posting 155.3 rushing yards per contest (77th-ranked). Utah State has been unproductive on both sides of the ball on third down this season, ranking sixth-worst in third-down conversion percentage (23.4%) and 10th-worst in third-down rate allowed (50.0%). After forcing seven turnovers (27th in the FBS) and turning the ball over six times (80th in the FBS) this season, Utah State owns the 45th-ranked turnover margin of +1.

BYU vs. Utah State Betting Analysis

BYU Betting Insights

BYU has covered the spread twice in four games with a set spread. This season, BYU games have hit the over three times. The Cougars have been listed as the moneyline favorite a total of three times this season, and they’ve won each of those games. The Cougars have not played a game this season with moneyline odds of -3839 or shorter.

Aggies Betting Insights

Utah State is winless against the spread this year (0-4-0). Utah State has yet to cover a spread when it is at least 24.5-point underdogs (0-1). This season, not one Utah State’s games have hit the over. The Aggies lost the only game they’ve played as the underdog this season. The Aggies have played as an underdog of +1270 or more once this season and lost that game.

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BYU vs. Utah State Against The Spread & Betting Records

BYU

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 55.1 52.0 58.3
Implied Total AVG 32.5 32.0 33.0
ATS Record 2-2-0 1-1-0 1-1-0
Over/Under Record 3-1-0 1-1-0 2-0-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 3-0 2-0 1-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-1 0-0 0-1

Aggies

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 60.5 59.7 63.0
Implied Total AVG 40.0 35.7 53.0
ATS Record 0-4-0 0-3-0 0-1-0
Over/Under Record 0-4-0 0-3-0 0-1-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 1-1 1-1 0-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-1 0-1 0-0

Players to Watch

BYU

  • As part of the Cougars’ defense, John Nelson has recorded five tackles, 2.0 TFL, and two sacks in four games.
  • Ben Bywater has helped lead the Cougars’ defense with 1.0 sack to go along with 1.0 TFL, nine tackles, and one interception in four games.
  • With 10 tackles and one interception in four games, Max Tooley has been a big part of the Cougars’ defense in 2022.
  • With 1.0 sack to go along with 1.0 TFL, Tyler Batty has helped propel the Cougars’ defense over four games.

Aggies

  • AJ Vongphachanh has been providing a big boost on defense, totaling 19 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and one sack for the Aggies.
  • In four games for the Aggies, Hunter Reynolds has amassed two interceptions to go with 17 tackles and two passes defended.
  • The Aggies’ MJ Tafisi has recorded 22 tackles and 3.0 TFL in four games.
  • Ajani Carter has amassed 16 tackles In four games for the Aggies.

BYU vs. Utah State Predictions and Pick

BYU vs. Utah State betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Aggies (+24.5)

    Pick OU:

    Under (60)

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How to Bet on BYU vs. Utah State

You can bet on BYU vs. Utah State at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s BYU vs. Utah State picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our prediction to win this contest is BYU, and we project that Utah State will cover the spread (BYU -24.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 60 points.

WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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