BYU Cougars vs. Baylor Bears Picks and Prediction – September 10

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The No. 21 BYU Cougars (1-0) will clash with the No. 9 Baylor Bears (1-0) at LaVell Edwards Stadium in Provo, Utah.

BYU vs. Baylor Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 2.5 points, with sportsbooks listing BYU as the favorites.


As for the moneyline, BYU has -137 odds to pick up the win, while Baylor is listed at +112 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 54.5 points.


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Game Info

How to Watch BYU vs. Baylor Live?

  • Game Day: Saturday, September 10, 2022
  • Game Time: 10:15 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN
  • Location: Provo, Utah
  • Stadium: LaVell Edwards Stadium

Betting Preview


  • Last year, BYU scored 14.8 more points per game (33.1) than Baylor gave up (18.3).
  • The Cougars were 5-6 against the spread and 10-1 overall last season when the team recorded more than 18.3 points.
  • BYU averaged 104.4 more yards per game (451.8) than Baylor allowed per outing (347.4) last year.
  • In games that the Cougars churned out more than 347.4 yards last season, the team was 5-7 against the spread and 10-2 overall.
  • Last season BYU piled up 187.7 yards per game on the ground, 68.1 more than Baylor allowed per contest (119.6).
  • The Cougars had a 5-5 ATS record and a 10-0 overall record when the team rushed for over 119.6 yards last season.


  • Baylor put up 6.8 more points per game (31.6) than BYU surrendered (24.8) last year.
  • The Bears were 7-3 against the spread and 9-1 overall in games when they put up more than 24.8 points last year.
  • Baylor collected 33.5 more yards per game (422.3) than BYU allowed per outing (388.8) last season.
  • When the Bears amassed more than 388.8 yards last season, the team was 6-2 against the spread and 7-1 overall.
  • Last year Baylor ran for 59.7 more yards per game (216.6) than BYU allowed per contest (156.9).
  • The Bears had a 7-3 ATS record and a 9-1 overall record when the team rushed for more than 156.9 yards last season.

BYU vs. Baylor Betting Analysis

BYU Betting Insights

  • BYU beat the spread five times in 13 games last season.
  • As 2.5-point or greater favorites last season, BYU went 3-7.
  • The Cougars put together a 7-2 record in games they were favored on the moneyline last season (winning 77.8% of those games).
  • When playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -137 or shorter, the Cougars had a 0-0 record (winning 75% of their games).
  • Last season, six of BYU’s 13 games went over the point total.

Bears Betting Insights

  • Baylor had 10 wins in 14 games against the spread last season.
  • Against the spread, as underdogs of 2.5 points or greater, Baylor went 3-1 last year.
  • The Bears were underdogs in six games last season and won five (83.3%) of those contests.
  • The Bears entered five games last season as the underdog by +112 or more and were 3-1 in those contests.
  • Out of 14 Baylor games last season, five hit the over.

BYU vs. Baylor Against The Spread & Betting Records


Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 56.8 55.4 58.4
Implied Total AVG 34.3 34.1 34.5
ATS Record 5-8-0 4-3-0 1-5-0
Over/Under Record 6-7-0 4-3-0 2-4-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 7-2 2-2 5-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 2-1 2-0 0-1


Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 52.4 53.0 51.7
Implied Total AVG 30.9 32.4 29.4
ATS Record 10-4-0 6-1-0 4-3-0
Over/Under Record 5-8-1 4-3-0 1-5-1
Moneyline Favorite Record 6-1 4-0 2-1
Moneyline Underdog Record 5-1 2-0 3-1

Last Season’s Leaders


  • Ben Bywater compiled 98 tackles, 8.0 TFL, and one sack in 13 games last year.
  • Max Tooley registered 61 tackles, 4.0 TFL, one sack, and one interception in 13 games.
  • Payton Wilgar registered 1.5 sacks to go with 3.0 TFL, 50 tackles, and two interceptions in 13 games played a season ago.
  • In 2021, Tyler Batty had 39 tackles, 4.0 TFL, and 3.5 sacks.


  • Terrel Bernard hit the gridiron for 14 games, amassing 7.5 sacks to go with 9.0 TFL and 78 tackles.
  • Jalen Pitre played in 14 games, collecting two interceptions to go along with 54 tackles, 9.0 TFL, 3.5 sacks, and two passes defended.
  • With 41 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and six interceptions, JT Woods was a significant player last year on defense.
  • With 1.0 sack to go along with 4.0 TFL, 55 tackles, and one interception, Dillon Doyle made a big difference on D.

BYU vs. Baylor Predictions and Pick

Our pick to win this matchup is Baylor, and we project that Baylor will cover the spread (BYU -2.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 54.5 points.

BYU vs. Baylor betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Bears (+2.5)

    Pick OU:

    Under (54.5)

How to Bet on BYU vs. Baylor

You can bet on BYU vs. Baylor at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s BYU vs. Baylor picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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