Buffalo vs. UMass Prediction: Picks & Start Time – October 2022

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The Buffalo Bulls (3-3) and UMass Minutemen (1-5) will battle at Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium in Amherst, Massachusetts.

Buffalo vs. UMass Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 17 points, with sportsbooks listing Buffalo as the favorites.


As for the moneyline, Buffalo has -843 odds to pick up the win, while UMass is listed at +560 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 47 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch Buffalo vs. UMass Live?

  • Game Day: Saturday, October 15, 2022
  • Game Time: 1:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN3
  • Location: Amherst, Massachusetts
  • Stadium: Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium

Betting Preview


Buffalo is averaging 385.2 yards per game on offense, which ranks 80th in the FBS. On the other side of the ball, the Bulls rank 98th, allowing 412.2 yards per contest. Buffalo is compiling 29.8 points per game on offense, which ranks them 70th in the FBS. On the other side of the ball, the defense ranks 78th, allowing 27.3 points per contest. On offense, Buffalo ranks 76th in the FBS with 235.7 passing yards per game. Meanwhile, the defense ranks 74th in passing yards allowed per contest (234.7). From an offensive standpoint, Buffalo ranks 72nd in the FBS with 149.5 rushing yards per game. Meanwhile, the defensive unit ranks 104th in rushing yards allowed per contest (177.5). Offensively, Buffalo ranks 90th in the FBS with a 37.1% third-down conversion rate. Meanwhile, the team’s defense ranks 44th in third-down conversion rate allowed (177.5). Buffalo has the 24th-best turnover margin in college football at +4, forcing 11 turnovers (25th in the FBS) while turning it over seven times (43rd in the FBS).


UMass’ offense has been bottom-25 in total offense this season, putting up 246.8 total yards per game, which ranks third-worst in the FBS. On the defensive side of the ball, it ranks 63rd with 369.7 total yards allowed per contest. UMass ranks second-worst in points per game (12.8), but it has been more productive on the defensive side of the ball, ranking 104th in the FBS with 31.7 points ceded per contest. UMass ranks worst in passing yards per game (70.8), but it has been more effective defensively, ranking 26th in the FBS with 190.5 passing yards surrendered per contest. With 176.0 rushing yards per game on offense, UMass ranks 49th in the FBS. On defense it ranks 105th, surrendering 179.2 rushing yards per contest. UMass’ third-down offense has been a bottom-25 unit this season, compiling a 28.7% third-down rate, which ranks seventh-worst in the FBS. Defensively, it ranks 35th with a 32.4% third-down rate ceded. With 11 forced turnovers (25th in the FBS) and nine turnovers committed (76th in the FBS) this season, UMass ranks 46th in the FBS with a turnover margin of +2.

Buffalo vs. UMass Betting Analysis

Buffalo Betting Insights

Buffalo has gone 5-1-0 against the spread this season. Buffalo games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under three times this season. The Bulls have won two of the three games they were listed as the moneyline favorite this season (66.7%). The Bulls have not yet played a game with moneyline odds of -843 or shorter.

Minutemen Betting Insights

UMass has covered the spread in a matchup three times this year (3-3-0). UMass has a record of 2-2 ATS when playing as at least 17-point underdogs. Games involving UMass have hit the over twice this year. The Minutemen have been listed as the underdog five times this season and have failed to win any of those games. The Minutemen have not won as an underdog of +560 or more on the moneyline this season in four such games.

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Buffalo vs. UMass Against The Spread & Betting Records


Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 56.8 51.0 59.8
Implied Total AVG 33.0 27.5 35.8
ATS Record 5-1-0 1-1-0 4-0-0
Over/Under Record 3-3-0 1-1-0 2-2-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 2-1 1-1 1-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-2 0-0 1-2


Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 49.2 45.3 51.1
Implied Total AVG 34.2 29.0 36.8
ATS Record 3-3-0 2-0-0 1-3-0
Over/Under Record 2-4-0 1-1-0 1-3-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 1-0 1-0 0-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-5 0-1 0-4

Players to Watch


  • Shaun Dolac has helped spur the Bulls’ defense with 57 tackles, 5.0 TFL, and one sack in six games.
  • James Patterson has helped spur the Bulls’ defense with 1.0 sack to go along with 3.0 TFL, 31 tackles, and one interception in six games.
  • Jahmin Muse has played six games, totaling 15 tackles, 1.0 TFL, 0.5 sacks, and one interception for the Bulls.
  • The Bulls’ defense has been helped by Marcus Fuqua, who has played six games, amassing 23 tackles and two interceptions.


  • Jalen Mackie has been causing chaos on defense, delivering one interception to go with 20 tackles, 4.0 TFL, 2.5 sacks, and one pass defended for the Minutemen.
  • Jordan Mahoney has been doing his part on defense, collecting two interceptions to go with five tackles and two passes defended for the Minutemen.
  • In six games for the Minutemen, Marcus Cushnie has registered 12 tackles, 6.0 TFL, and two sacks.
  • Josh Wallace has totaled one interception to go with 13 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and one pass defended In six games for the Minutemen.

Buffalo vs. UMass Predictions and Pick

Buffalo vs. UMass betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Bulls (-17)

    Pick OU:

    Over (47)

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How to Bet on Buffalo vs. UMass

You can bet on Buffalo vs. UMass at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Buffalo vs. UMass picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our pick to win this matchup is Buffalo, and we expect that Buffalo will cover the spread (Buffalo -17). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 47 points.


Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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