Buffalo vs. Bowling Green Prediction: Picks & Start Time – October 2022

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The Buffalo Bulls (2-3) and Bowling Green Falcons (2-3) will face each other in clash of MAC rivals at Doyt L. Perry Stadium in Bowling Green, Ohio.

Buffalo vs. Bowling Green Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 2 points, with sportsbooks listing Buffalo as the favorites.


As for the moneyline, Buffalo has -128 odds to pick up the win, while Bowling Green is listed at +105 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 55 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch Buffalo vs. Bowling Green Live?

  • Game Day: Saturday, October 8, 2022
  • Game Time: 12:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN+
  • Location: Bowling Green, Ohio
  • Stadium: Doyt L. Perry Stadium

Betting Preview


Buffalo is totaling 369.0 yards per game on offense (95th in the FBS), and rank 106th defensively, yielding 418.6 yards allowed per game. Buffalo is averaging 28.2 points per game offensively this season (81st in the FBS), and is allowing 31.4 points per game (104th) on the defensive side of the ball. Buffalo ranks 69th in pass offense (245.6 passing yards per game) and 67th in pass defense (225.4 passing yards allowed per game) this year. Despite sporting a bottom-25 run defense that ranks 19th-worst in the FBS (193.2 rushing yards allowed per game), Buffalo has played better on offense, ranking 104th in the FBS by totaling 123.4 rushing yards per game. Buffalo is putting up a 37.3% third-down percentage on offense this year (76th in the FBS), and is surrendering a 36.7% third-down conversion rate (62nd) on the other side of the ball. With seven forced turnovers (61st in the FBS) against six turnovers committed (46th in the FBS), Buffalo (+1) owns the 51st-ranked turnover margin in college football.

Bowling Green

This season has been rough for Bowling Green on both offense and defense, as it is putting up only 328.4 total yards per game (25th-worst) and ceding 497.6 total yards per game (fourth-worst). Bowling Green has been struggling on defense, ranking fifth-worst with 41.6 points surrendered per game. It has been more productive offensively, generating 30.6 points per contest (71st-ranked). Bowling Green has been struggling to stop the pass, ranking second-worst with 336.2 passing yards allowed per game. It has been more productive on the other side of the ball, compiling 225.4 passing yards per contest (85th-ranked). Bowling Green’s rushing offense has been a bottom-25 unit this season, putting up 103.0 rushing yards per game, which ranks 15th-worst in the FBS. On the defensive side of the ball, it ranks 92nd with 161.4 rushing yards conceded per contest. Bowling Green’s defense has been bottom-25 on third down this season, ceding a 53.8% third-down conversion percentage, which ranks second-worst in the FBS. On the offensive side of the ball, it ranks 84th with a 53.8% third-down rate. Bowling Green sports a top-25 turnover margin this season, ranking 15th-best at +6.

Buffalo vs. Bowling Green Betting Analysis

Buffalo Betting Insights

Buffalo is 4-1-0 against the spread this season. In games it has played as 2-point favorites or more, Buffalo has an ATS record of 1-1. Games involving Buffalo have hit the over three times this season. The Bulls have been listed as the moneyline favorite just two other times so far this season, and they split the two games. The Bulls have played as a moneyline favorite of -128 or shorter in only two games this season, and they split 1-1.

Falcons Betting Insights

Bowling Green has gone 1-3-1 against the spread this year. Bowling Green is 1-1-1 ATS when playing as at least 2-point underdogs. This year, each Bowling Green game has hit the over. This season, the Falcons have been the underdog three times and won one of those games. The Falcons have a record of 0-0 when they’re set as an underdog of +105 or more by bookmakers this season.

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Buffalo vs. Bowling Green Against The Spread & Betting Records


Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 56.9 51.0 60.8
Implied Total AVG 33.8 27.5 38.0
ATS Record 4-1-0 1-1-0 3-0-0
Over/Under Record 3-2-0 1-1-0 2-1-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 1-1 1-1 0-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-2 0-0 1-2


Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 52.8 52.5 53.0
Implied Total AVG 35.4 32.5 37.3
ATS Record 1-3-1 1-1-0 0-2-1
Over/Under Record 5-0-0 2-0-0 3-0-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 1-1 0-1 1-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-2 1-0 0-2

Players to Watch


  • With 1.0 sack to go with 4.0 TFL and 45 tackles in five games, Shaun Dolac has been a big part of the Bulls’ defense in 2022.
  • The Bulls’ defensive unit has been helped by James Patterson, who has suited up for five games and amassed 1.0 sack to go with 3.0 TFL, 26 tackles, and one interception.
  • The Bulls’ defense has been aided by the contributions of Jahmin Muse, who has suited up for five games and delivered one interception to go along with 11 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and one pass defended.
  • The Bulls’ defense has been aided by the contributions of Keyshawn Cobb, who has suited up for five games, recording 1.0 sack to go with 2.0 TFL and 22 tackles.


  • On defense, Karl Brooks has helped lead the charge with eight tackles, 4.0 TFL, and 4.5 sacks in five games.
  • In five games for the Falcons, JB Brown has totaled 12 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and 1.5 sacks.
  • Demetrius Hardamon has 2.5 sacks to go with 3.0 TFL and five tackles in five games.
  • With one interception to go with 12 tackles, 0.5 sacks, and one pass defended in five games, DJ Taylor has been making a big difference on defense for the Falcons.

Buffalo vs. Bowling Green Predictions and Pick

Buffalo vs. Bowling Green betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Falcons (+2)

    Pick OU:

    Over (55)

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How to Bet on Buffalo vs. Bowling Green

You can bet on Buffalo vs. Bowling Green at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Buffalo vs. Bowling Green picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our pick to win this matchup is Bowling Green, and we project that Bowling Green will cover the spread (Buffalo -2). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 55 points.


Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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