Boise State vs. Utah State Prediction: Picks & Start Time – November 25, 2022

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MWC opponents will clash when the Boise State Broncos (8-3) meet the Utah State Aggies (6-5).

Boise State vs. Utah State Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 17 points, with bookmakers listing Boise State as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Boise State has -878 odds to pick up the win, while Utah State is listed at +565 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the total for the game is set at 52 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch Boise State vs. Utah State Live?

  • Game Day: Friday, November 25, 2022
  • Game Time: 12:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: CBS
  • Location: Boise, Idaho
  • Stadium: Albertsons Stadium

Betting Preview

Boise State

On the defensive side of the ball, Boise State has been a top-25 unit, ranking fourth-best by allowing only 267.7 yards per game. The offense ranks 74th (381.3 yards per game). On the defensive side of the ball, Boise State has been a top-25 unit, ranking 12th-best by surrendering just 17.3 points per game. The offense ranks 62nd (29.1 points per game). Boise State sports the best pass defense this season (145.4 passing yards allowed per game), but ranks 23rd-worst on offense (192.5 passing yards per game). Boise State is totaling 188.8 rushing yards per game offensively this season (40th in the FBS), and is surrendering 122.4 rushing yards per game (29th) on the defensive side of the ball. Boise State has the 60th-ranked offense this year in terms of third-down efficiency (39.7% conversion rate), and has been more effective defensively, ranking 10th-best with a 29.1% third-down percentage allowed. Boise State has the 64th-ranked turnover margin in college football at +1, forcing 15 turnovers (71st in the FBS) while turning it over 14 times (46th in the FBS).

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Utah State

In terms of total offense, Utah State ranks 98th in the FBS (352.6 total yards per game) and 83rd defensively (393.7 total yards allowed per game). From an offensive angle, Utah State is posting 23.3 points per game (99th-ranked). It ranks 99th in the FBS defensively (29.5 points allowed per game). Utah State ranks 22nd-worst in passing yards per game (190.5), but it has been better on the other side of the ball, ranking 30th in the FBS with 196.5 passing yards ceded per contest. Utah State’s defense has been a bottom-25 unit in run defense this season, ceding 197.3 rushing yards per game, which ranks 14th-worst in the FBS. Offensively, it ranks 58th with 162.1 rushing yards per contest. Utah State ranks 15th-worst in third-down conversion percentage (32.5%), but it has been more effective on the defensive side of the ball, ranking 73rd in the FBS with a 39.7% third-down rate allowed. After forcing 16 turnovers (57th in the FBS) and turning the ball over 22 times (119th in the FBS) this season, Utah State has the 100th-ranked turnover margin of -6.

Boise State vs. Utah State Betting Analysis

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Boise State Betting Insights

Boise State is 5-5-1 against the spread this season. In games it has played as 17-point favorites or more, Boise State has an ATS record of 2-1-1. This season, five Boise State games have gone over the point total. The Broncos have been favored on the moneyline nine total times this season. They’ve finished 7-2 in those games. The Broncos have won all four games they have played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -878 or shorter.

Aggies Betting Insights

Utah State has put together a record of 4-7-0 against the spread this season. In games they have played as 17-point underdogs or more, the Aggies have an ATS record of 1-1. Utah State games have gone over the total four times this season. This season, the Aggies have won one out of the four games in which they’ve been the underdog. This season, the Aggies have been at least a +565 underdog on the moneyline two times, losing each of those contests.

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Boise State vs. Utah State Against The Spread & Betting Records

Boise State

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 47.0 46.9 47.0
Implied Total AVG 30.2 31.0 29.5
ATS Record 5-5-1 3-2-0 2-3-1
Over/Under Record 5-6-0 4-1-0 1-5-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 7-2 4-1 3-1
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-1 0-0 1-1

Aggies

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 54.0 54.3 53.5
Implied Total AVG 34.5 32.5 36.8
ATS Record 4-7-0 3-3-0 1-4-0
Over/Under Record 4-7-0 2-4-0 2-3-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 5-1 3-1 2-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-3 1-1 0-2

Players to Watch

Boise State

  • Ezekiel Noa has helped lead the Broncos’ defense with 33 tackles, 3.0 TFL, 4.5 sacks, and one interception in 11 games.
  • With 56 tackles, 3.0 TFL, and 0.5 sacks in 11 games, DJ Schramm has been an important part of the Broncos’ defensive unit in 2022.
  • The Broncos’ defensive unit has been helped by the contributions of JL Skinner, who has played 11 games and registered four interceptions to go along with 37 tackles and five passes defended.
  • George Tarlas, as part of the Broncos’ defense, has totaled 3.0 sacks to go with 5.0 TFL and 28 tackles in 11 games.

Aggies

  • On defense, Daniel Grzesiak has helped lead the charge with 29 tackles, 6.0 TFL, 6.5 sacks, and one pass defended in 11 games.
  • On defense, AJ Vongphachanh has helped lead the charge with 61 tackles, 3.0 TFL, and two sacks in 11 games.
  • In 11 games for the Aggies, Hunter Reynolds has collected 53 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and three interceptions.
  • With four interceptions to go with 25 tackles, 3.0 TFL, two sacks, and five passes defended in 11 games, Ike Larsen has been making a big difference on defense for the Aggies.

Boise State vs. Utah State Predictions and Pick

Boise State vs. Utah State betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Aggies (+17)

    Pick OU:

    Under (52)

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How to Bet on Boise State vs. Utah State

You can bet on Boise State vs. Utah State at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Boise State vs. Utah State picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our prediction to win this contest is Boise State, and we expect that Utah State will cover the spread (Boise State -17). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 52 points.

WRITTEN BY

Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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