Boise State vs. San Diego State Prediction: Picks & Start Time – September 2022

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MWC rivals will battle when the Boise State Broncos (2-2) meet the San Diego State Aztecs (2-2).

Boise State vs. San Diego State Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 6.5 points, with bookmakers listing Boise State as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Boise State has -267 odds to pick up the win, while San Diego State is listed at +210 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 38 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch Boise State vs. San Diego State Live?

  • Game Day: Friday, September 30, 2022
  • Game Time: 8:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: Fox Sports 1
  • Location: Boise, Idaho
  • Stadium: Albertsons Stadium

Betting Preview

Boise State

Boise State has the 15th-best defense this season in terms of total yards (266.8 yards allowed per game), but ranks 11th-worst offensively (283.3 yards per game). While Boise State’s defense ranks 42nd with 20.5 points allowed per game, the Broncos have been slightly less successful on offense, ranking 25th-worst (22.0 points per game). Boise State owns the 13th-best pass defense this season (159.8 passing yards allowed per game), but ranks 18th-worst on the offensive side of the ball (163.0 passing yards per game). Boise State is totaling 120.3 rushing yards per game offensively this season (106th in the FBS), and is surrendering 107.0 rushing yards per game (31st) on defense. Boise State ranks 88th in third-down conversion rate this year (35.7%), but has been playing really well on the defensive side of the ball, ranking 12th-best in the FBS with a 26.4% third-down percentage allowed. Boise State ranks 100th in college football with a -3 turnover margin after forcing 4 turnovers (97th in the FBS) and committing seven (86th in the FBS).

San Diego State

San Diego State ranks 15th-worst in total yards per game (293.8), but it has been more effective on the defensive side of the ball, ranking 85th in the FBS with 393.3 total yards surrendered per contest. San Diego State ranks 21st-worst in points per game (20.5), but it has been more productive defensively, ranking 63rd in the FBS with 23.5 points allowed per contest. San Diego State’s passing game has been sputtering, ranking second-worst in the FBS with 73.8 passing yards per game. It has been more productive on the defensive side of the ball, giving up 258.8 passing yards per contest (97th-ranked). San Diego State’s run defense ranks 62nd in the FBS with 134.5 rushing yards allowed per contest, but it has been carried by its offense, which ranks 18th-best by racking up 220.0 rushing yards per contest. San Diego State has lots of room to get better on third down, as it ranks third-worst in third-down conversion percentage (21.2%) and are 25th-worst in third-down rate allowed (43.3%). San Diego State has recorded seven forced turnovers (32nd in the FBS) and committed seven turnovers (86th in the FBS) this season for a 0 turnover margin that ranks 100th in the FBS.

Boise State vs. San Diego State Betting Analysis

Boise State Betting Insights

Boise State is winless against the spread this season (0-3-1). Boise State has not covered the spread when they are at least 6.5-point favorites (0-2-1). This season, Boise State games have hit the over once. The Broncos have won 66.7% of the games this season when they were favored on the moneyline (2-1). The Broncos have a 1-0 record (winning 66.7% of their games) when playing as a moneyline favorite of -267 or shorter.

Aztecs Betting Insights

San Diego State has covered the spread in a game one time this year (1-3-0). San Diego State is winless against the spread when it’s 6.5-point underdogs or more (0-1). Games involving San Diego State has hit the over once this year. The Aztecs have split the two games they’ve played as underdogs this season. The Aztecs have played as an underdog of +210 or more once this season and lost that game.

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Boise State vs. San Diego State Against The Spread & Betting Records

Boise State

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 49.4 53.5 48.0
Implied Total AVG 32.3 39.0 30.0
ATS Record 0-3-1 0-1-0 0-2-1
Over/Under Record 1-3-0 0-1-0 1-2-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 2-1 1-0 1-1
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-1 0-0 0-1

Aztecs

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 47.1 46.3 49.5
Implied Total AVG 32.0 30.3 37.0
ATS Record 1-3-0 1-2-0 0-1-0
Over/Under Record 1-3-0 1-2-0 0-1-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 1-1 1-1 0-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-1 1-0 0-1

Players to Watch

Boise State

  • George Tarlas has hit the gridiron for four games, amassing 2.0 sacks to go with 4.0 TFL and 16 tackles for the Broncos.
  • DJ Schramm has played four games, totaling 32 tackles for the Broncos.
  • As part of the Broncos’ defensive unit, JL Skinner has compiled one interception to go along with 23 tackles and one pass defended in four games.
  • Caleb Biggers, as part of the Broncos’ defensive unit, has collected 2.0 TFL, 13 tackles, and one interception in four games.

Aztecs

  • On defense, Michael Shawcroft has helped lead the charge with 25 tackles, 3.0 TFL, and two sacks in four games.
  • The Aztecs’ Garret Fountain has registered 2.0 sacks to go with 3.0 TFL and 16 tackles in four games.
  • Caden McDonald has 3.0 TFL and 19 tackles in four games.
  • The Aztecs’ CJ Baskerville has compiled 23 tackles and 1.0 TFL in four games.

Boise State vs. San Diego State Predictions and Pick

Boise State vs. San Diego State betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Broncos (-6.5)

    Pick OU:

    Over (38)

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How to Bet on Boise State vs. San Diego State

You can bet on Boise State vs. San Diego State at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Boise State vs. San Diego State picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our prediction to win this contest is Boise State, and we project that Boise State will cover the spread (Boise State -6.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 38 points.

WRITTEN BY

Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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