Boise State vs. North Texas Frisco Bowl Prediction: Picks & Start Time – December 17, 2022

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The Frisco Bowl will feature a matchup between the Boise State Broncos and the North Texas Mean Green.

Boise State vs. North Texas Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 12 points, with bookmakers listing Boise State as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Boise State has -487 odds to pick up the win, while North Texas is listed at +349 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 62.5 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch Boise State vs. North Texas Live?

  • Game Day: Saturday, December 17, 2022
  • Game Time: 9:15 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN
  • Location: Frisco, Texas
  • Stadium: Toyota Stadium

Betting Preview

Boise State

Boise State sports the 73rd-ranked offense this season (380.2 yards per game), and has been even more effective on defense, ranking sixth-best with only 281.4 yards allowed per game. Boise State ranks 60th in points scored this year (29.1 points per game), but has been playing really well on the other side of the ball, ranking 11th-best in the FBS with 18.5 points allowed per game. Boise State has struggled in the passing game, ranking 24th-worst in the FBS (193.2 passing yards per game) this season. However, the defense ranks fifth-best on the defensive side of the ball, allowing only 160.7 passing yards per game. Boise State is compiling 187.0 rushing yards per game on offense (39th in the FBS), and ranks 26th on defense with 120.7 rushing yards allowed per game. Boise State sports the 57th-ranked offense this year in terms of third-down efficiency (39.9% percentage), and has been better on the other side of the ball, ranking 10th-best with a 29.7% third-down percentage allowed. Boise State has forced 17 total turnovers (50th in the FBS) this season and have turned it over 15 times (44th in the FBS) for +2a turnover margin of +2, 48th-ranked in college football.

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North Texas

While North Texas’ defense has been stuck in neutral, ranking eighth-worst by giving up 460.8 total yards per game, its offense ranks 21st-best with 463.3 total yards per contest. North Texas’ defense has been bottom-25 in scoring defense this season, conceding 31.5 points per game, which ranks 22nd-worst in the FBS. Offensively, it ranks 29th with 33.9 points per contest. North Texas’ defense has been bottom-25 in pass defense this season, surrendering 272.2 passing yards per game, which ranks 16th-worst in the FBS. On the offensive side of the ball, it ranks 35th with 262.2 passing yards per contest. North Texas ranks 24th-worst in rushing yards allowed per game on defense (188.5), but at least it has been excelling on the offensive side of the ball, ranking 24th-best in rushing yards per contest (201.2). North Texas has been struggling on third down, ranking ninth-worst with a 46.3% third-down conversion rate allowed per game. It has been better offensively, putting up a 42.1% third-down rate (41st-ranked). North Texas has accumulated 15 forced turnovers (71st in the FBS) and committed 18 turnovers (86th in the FBS) this season for a -3 turnover margin that ranks 100th in the FBS.

Boise State vs. North Texas Betting Analysis

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Boise State Betting Insights

Boise State has covered the spread six times over 13 games with a set spread. Boise State is 3-3-1 ATS when playing as at least 12-point favorites. Games involving Boise State have hit the over six times this season. The Broncos have compiled an 8-3 record in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 72.7% of those games). The Broncos have gone 5-0 when playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -487 or shorter (85.7%).

Mean Green Betting Insights

North Texas is 7-6-0 against the spread this year. North Texas has a perfect 1-0 ATS record when playing as at least 12-point underdogs. This season, eight North Texas games have gone over the point total. This season, the Mean Green have won two out of the eight games in which they’ve been the underdog. This season, the Mean Green have won one of their two games when they’re the underdog by at least +349 on the moneyline.

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Boise State vs. North Texas Against The Spread & Betting Records

Boise State

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 47.9 48.7 47.0
Implied Total AVG 30.5 31.3 29.5
ATS Record 6-6-1 4-3-0 2-3-1
Over/Under Record 6-7-0 5-2-0 1-5-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 8-3 5-2 3-1
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-1 0-0 1-1

Mean Green

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 64.8 64.8 64.8
Implied Total AVG 38.0 40.2 36.1
ATS Record 7-6-0 3-3-0 4-3-0
Over/Under Record 8-5-0 4-2-0 4-3-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 4-0 3-0 1-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 2-6 1-1 1-5

Players to Watch

Boise State

  • The Broncos’ defense has been aided by DJ Schramm, who has suited up for 12 games and compiled 95 tackles and nine TFL.
  • JL Skinner has suited up for 11 games, amassing four interceptions to go along with 60 tackles and three passes defended for the Broncos.
  • Ezekiel Noa has played eight games, posting 50 tackles, seven TFL, four sacks, and one interception for the Broncos.
  • A big piece of the Broncos’ defense, Caleb Biggers has one interception to go with 38 tackles, five TFL, one sack, and four passes defended in 12 games.

Mean Green

  • KD Davis has been doing his part on defense, registering one interception to go with 122 tackles, one TFL, and two passes defended for the Mean Green.
  • On defense, Larry Nixon III has helped keep opposing offenses in check with 97 tackles and one TFL in 12 games.
  • Mazin Richards has five sacks to go with 10 TFL and 66 tackles in 11 games.
  • With three interceptions to go with 38 tackles, two TFL, and 15 passes defended in 11 games, Ridge Texada has been making a big difference on defense for the Mean Green.

Boise State vs. North Texas Predictions and Pick

Boise State vs. North Texas betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Mean Green (+12)

    Pick OU:

    Under (62.5)

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How to Bet on Boise State vs. North Texas

You can bet on Boise State vs. North Texas at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Boise State vs. North Texas picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our prediction to win this contest is Boise State, and we predict that North Texas will cover the spread (Boise State -12). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 62.5 points.

WRITTEN BY

Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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