Boise State vs. Nevada Prediction: Picks & Start Time – November 2022

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MWC opponents will do battle when the Boise State Broncos (6-3) battle the Nevada Wolf Pack (2-7) at Mackay Stadium in Reno, Nevada.

Boise State vs. Nevada Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 20.5 points, with bookmakers listing Boise State as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Boise State has -2094 odds to pick up the win, while Nevada is listed at +975 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the total for the game is set at 47.5 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch Boise State vs. Nevada Live?

  • Game Day: Saturday, November 12, 2022
  • Game Time: 10:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: CBS Sports Network
  • Location: Reno, Nevada
  • Stadium: Mackay Stadium

Betting Preview

Boise State

On defense, Boise State has been a top-25 unit, ranking fifth-best by giving up only 265.2 yards per game. The offense ranks 93rd (354.0 yards per game). Boise State ranks 64th in points scored this season (28.8 points per game), but has been playing really well on defense, ranking 14th-best in the FBS with 18.9 points allowed per game. Boise State sports the third-best pass defense this season (160.7 passing yards allowed per game), but ranks 16th-worst on offense (182.8 passing yards per game). Boise State has the 52nd-ranked offense this season in terms of rushing yards (171.2 per game), and has been better on defense, ranking 11th-best with just 104.6 rushing yards allowed per game. Boise State ranks 58th in third-down percentage this season (41.3%), but has been playing really well on the defensive side of the ball, ranking 16th-best in the FBS with a 30.8% third-down conversion rate allowed. Boise State has the 100th-ranked turnover margin in college football at -1, forcing 11 turnovers (96th in the FBS) while turning it over 12 times (41st in the FBS).

Nevada

Nevada’s offense has been bottom-25 in total offense this season, posting 284.1 total yards per game, which ranks sixth-worst in the FBS. Defensively, it ranks 70th with 378.6 total yards surrendered per contest. Nevada ranks 22nd-worst in points per game (20.8), but it has been better defensively, ranking 95th in the FBS with 29.1 points allowed per contest. Nevada’s passing offense has been a bottom-25 unit this season, putting up 175.9 passing yards per game, which ranks 13th-worst in the FBS. Defensively, it ranks 46th with 212.8 passing yards ceded per contest. Nevada’s rushing offense has been bottom-25 this season, generating 108.2 rushing yards per game, which ranks 17th-worst in the FBS. On defense, it ranks 94th with 165.8 rushing yards surrendered per contest. Nevada ranks 98th in third-down conversion percentage (35.7%) on offense, but it has been worse on the other side of the ball, ranking 23rd-worst in the FBS with a 42.9% third-down percentage allowed. Nevada sports a top-25 turnover margin this season, ranking 10th-best at +8.

Boise State vs. Nevada Betting Analysis

Boise State Betting Insights

Boise State has covered the spread in a game four times this season (4-4-1). In games it has played as 20.5-point favorites or more, Boise State has an ATS record of 1-1. Boise State games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under five times this season. The Broncos are 5-2 in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 71.4% of those games). The Broncos have played as a moneyline favorite of -2094 or shorter in just two games this season, and they won both.

Wolf Pack Betting Insights

Nevada has covered the spread three times this season (3-7-0). In games they have played as 20.5-point underdogs or more, the Wolf Pack have an ATS record of 1-2. This season, four Nevada games have gone over the point total. This season, the Wolf Pack have been the underdog five times and won one of those games. This season, the Wolf Pack have been at least a +975 underdog on the moneyline three times, losing each of those contests.

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Boise State vs. Nevada Against The Spread & Betting Records

Boise State

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 47.2 46.9 47.5
Implied Total AVG 29.9 31.0 28.5
ATS Record 4-4-1 3-2-0 1-2-1
Over/Under Record 5-4-0 4-1-0 1-3-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 5-2 4-1 1-1
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-1 0-0 1-1

Wolf Pack

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 47.7 48.5 47.1
Implied Total AVG 29.4 26.5 31.3
ATS Record 3-7-0 1-3-0 2-4-0
Over/Under Record 4-6-0 2-2-0 2-4-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 1-4 0-2 1-2
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-4 1-1 0-3

Players to Watch

Boise State

  • As part of the Broncos’ defensive unit, Ezekiel Noa has totaled 33 tackles, 3.0 TFL, 4.5 sacks, and one interception in nine games.
  • DJ Schramm has suited up for nine games, registering 52 tackles, 3.0 TFL, and 0.5 sacks for the Broncos.
  • With 28 tackles, 5.0 TFL, and three sacks in nine games, George Tarlas has been an important piece of the Broncos’ defensive unit in 2022.
  • The Broncos’ defense has been aided by the contributions of Demitri Washington, who has played nine games, posting 4.5 sacks to go with 4.0 TFL and 27 tackles.

Wolf Pack

  • In nine games for the Wolf Pack, Bentlee Sanders has totaled 3.0 TFL, 33 tackles, and five interceptions.
  • In nine games for the Wolf Pack, Dom Peterson has totaled 14 tackles, 5.0 TFL, and four sacks.
  • The Wolf Pack’s Tyson Williams has collected one interception to go with 31 tackles, 4.0 TFL, one sack, and one pass defended in nine games.
  • On defense, Drue Watts has chipped in with 26 tackles, 5.0 TFL, and three sacks in nine games.

Boise State vs. Nevada Predictions and Pick

Boise State vs. Nevada betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Wolf Pack (+20.5)

    Pick OU:

    Under (47.5)

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How to Bet on Boise State vs. Nevada

You can bet on Boise State vs. Nevada at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Boise State vs. Nevada picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our pick to win this contest is Boise State, and we predict that Nevada will cover the spread (Boise State -20.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 47.5 points.

WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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