The Boise State Broncos (3-2) face an MWC matchup versus the Fresno State Bulldogs (1-3).
Boise State vs. Fresno State Odds
The spread for this matchup is set at 7.5 points, with bookmakers listing Boise State as the favorites.
As for the moneyline, Boise State has -320 odds to pick up the win, while Fresno State is listed at +247 to claim victory.
Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 45.5 points.
How to Watch Boise State vs. Fresno State Live?
- Game Day: Saturday, October 8, 2022
- Game Time: 9:45 PM ET
- TV Channel: Fox Sports 1
- Location: Boise, Idaho
- Stadium: Albertsons Stadium
While Boise State ranks 19th-worst in the FBS in total offense with 316.6 yards per game, it’s been a different situation on the other side of the ball, as the defense ranks fourth-best (236.2 yards per game allowed). Boise State ranks 98th in scoring offense (24.6 points per game) and 28th in scoring defense (19.0 points allowed per game) this year. While Boise State ranks 13th-worst in the FBS in passing offense with 157.2 passing yards per game, it’s been a different story with the defense, which ranks second-best (134.4 passing yards per game allowed). Boise State owns the 64th-ranked offense this year in terms of rushing yards (159.4 per game), and has been better on the other side of the ball, ranking 25th-best with only 101.8 rushing yards allowed per game. Boise State ranks 80th in third-down conversion rate this year (37.1%), but has been thriving on defense, ranking third-best in the FBS with a 22.4% third-down conversion rate allowed. With five forced turnovers (98th in the FBS) against eight turnovers committed (75th in the FBS), Boise State (-3) owns the 100th-ranked turnover margin in college football.
In terms of total offense, Fresno State ranks 64th in the FBS (412.3 total yards per game) and 80th on defense (386.0 total yards allowed per contest). Fresno State is compiling 24.5 points per game on offense this season (99th-ranked). Meanwhile, it is allowing 26.5 points per game (73rd-ranked) on defense. Fresno State is putting up 287.8 passing yards per contest on offense this season (27th-ranked). Meanwhile, it is giving up 211.0 passing yards per contest (51st-ranked) on defense. Fresno State is accumulating 124.5 rushing yards per contest on offense this season (103rd-ranked). Meanwhile, it is surrendering 175.0 rushing yards per contest (101st-ranked) on defense. Fresno State ranks 104th in the FBS with a 34.1% third-down conversion percentage on offense, and 70th with a 37.7% third-down percentage allowed on defense. Fresno State sports a -3 turnover margin this season, which ranks 100th in the FBS.
Boise State vs. Fresno State Betting Analysis
Boise State Betting Insights
Boise State has covered the spread in a game one time this season (1-3-1). Boise State has not covered the spread when playing as at least 7.5-point favorites (0-2-1). Games involving the Boise State have hit the over twice this season. The Broncos are 3-1 in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 75% of those games). The Broncos have a 1-0 record (winning 66.7% of their games) when playing as a moneyline favorite of -320 or shorter.
Bulldogs Betting Insights
Fresno State has not covered the spread this season (0-4-0). Fresno State is winless against the spread when it’s 7.5-point underdogs or more (0-1). Fresno State games have gone over the total once this season. The Bulldogs have lost both games they’ve played as underdogs this season. This season, the Bulldogs have won one of their two games when they’re the underdog by at least +247 on the moneyline.
Boise State vs. Fresno State Against The Spread & Betting Records
|Point Total AVG||47.1||45.8||48.0|
|Implied Total AVG||30.2||30.5||30.0|
|Moneyline Favorite Record||3-1||2-0||1-1|
|Moneyline Underdog Record||0-1||0-0||0-1|
|Point Total AVG||61.0||60.8||61.3|
|Implied Total AVG||40.5||41.5||39.5|
|Moneyline Favorite Record||0-1||0-0||0-1|
|Moneyline Underdog Record||0-2||0-1||0-1|
Players to Watch
- With 3.0 TFL and 44 tackles in five games, DJ Schramm has been a big part of the Broncos’ defense in 2022.
- As part of the Broncos’ defense, George Tarlas has amassed 3.0 sacks to go with 5.0 TFL and 21 tackles in five games.
- The Broncos’ defense has been helped by the play of Ezekiel Noa, who has suited up for five games and compiled 20 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and 2.5 sacks.
- Demitri Washington, as part of the Broncos’ defensive unit, has compiled 2.0 sacks to go with 2.0 TFL and 21 tackles in five games.
- Bralyn Lux has been doing his part on defense, recording 16 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and one sack for the Bulldogs.
- Levelle Bailey has been doing his part on defense, registering 21 tackles and 1.0 TFL for the Bulldogs.
- David Perales has 2.0 sacks to go with 2.0 TFL and 11 tackles in four games.
- Elijah Gates has registered 13 tackles and one pass defended In four games for the Bulldogs.
Boise State vs. Fresno State Predictions and Pick
Boise State vs. Fresno State betting card
- Pick ATS:
How to Bet on Boise State vs. Fresno State
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Our pick to win this matchup is Boise State, and we predict that Boise State will cover the spread (Boise State -7.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 45.5 points.