Boise State vs. BYU Prediction: Picks & Start Time – November 2022

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The Boise State Broncos (6-2) and BYU Cougars (4-5) will meet in a matchup at Albertsons Stadium in Boise, Idaho.

Boise State vs. BYU Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 8.5 points, with sportsbooks listing Boise State as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Boise State has -317 odds to pick up the win, while BYU is listed at +248 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 54.5 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch Boise State vs. BYU Live?

  • Game Day: Saturday, November 5, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: Fox Sports 2
  • Location: Boise, Idaho
  • Stadium: Albertsons Stadium

Betting Preview

Boise State

Defensively, Boise State has been a top-25 unit, ranking second-best by allowing only 231.9 yards per game. The offense ranks 95th (357.8 yards per game). Defensively, Boise State has been a top-25 unit, ranking 12th-best by giving up only 17.4 points per game. The offense ranks 68th (28.9 points per game). While Boise State ranks 16th-worst in the FBS in passing offense with 178.1 passing yards per game, it’s been a different situation with the defense, which ranks best (133.6 passing yards per game allowed). Boise State ranks 46th in rushing yards this season (179.6 rushing yards per game), but has been thriving on the defensive side of the ball, ranking 13th-best in the FBS with 98.3 rushing yards allowed per game. On defense, Boise State has been a top-25 unit in terms of third-down efficiency, ranking ninth-best by giving up a 27.8% third-down conversion rate. The team’s offense ranks 54th (41.4% third-down percentage). With nine forced turnovers (96th in the FBS) against 11 turnovers committed (58th in the FBS), Boise State’s -2-2 turnover margin ranks 100th in college football.

BYU

BYU has not been getting things done defensively, ranking 25th-worst with 422.4 total yards given up per game. It has been more productive on the other side of the ball, posting 402.4 total yards per contest (65th-ranked). BYU ranks 67th in the FBS with 29.4 points per contest on offense, and it ranks 104th with 31.1 points given up per contest on the defensive side of the ball. With 252.6 passing yards per game on offense, BYU ranks 56th in the FBS. On defense, it ranks 49th, surrendering 216.8 passing yards per contest. BYU ranks 68th in rushing yards per game (149.9), but it has been worse on the defensive side of the ball, ranking 12th-worst in the FBS with 205.7 rushing yards surrendered per contest. BYU ranks 45th in third-down conversion rate (42.5%) on offense, but it has been less productive defensively, ranking eighth-worst in the FBS with a 47.1% third-down percentage allowed. At +4, BYU has the 34th-ranked turnover margin in the FBS, with nine forced turnovers (96th in the FBS) and five turnovers committed (third in the FBS).

Boise State vs. BYU Betting Analysis

Boise State Betting Insights

Boise State has covered the spread four times in eight games with a set spread. In games it has played as 8.5-point favorites or more, Boise State has an ATS record of 2-2-1. Boise State games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under four times this season. The Broncos have won 83.3% of the games this season when they were favored on the moneyline (5-1). The Broncos have a record of 3-0 in games they have played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -317 or shorter (80%).

Cougars Betting Insights

BYU has gone 2-6-0 against the spread this season. This season, five BYU games have gone over the point total. The Cougars lost the only game they’ve played as the underdog this season. The Cougars have not entered a game this season as a bigger underdog on the moneyline than the +248 odds on them winning this game.

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Boise State vs. BYU Against The Spread & Betting Records

Boise State

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 46.3 45.0 47.5
Implied Total AVG 29.6 30.8 28.5
ATS Record 4-3-1 3-1-0 1-2-1
Over/Under Record 4-4-0 3-1-0 1-3-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 5-1 4-0 1-1
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-1 0-0 1-1

Cougars

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 58.6 58.8 58.2
Implied Total AVG 34.3 35.0 33.0
ATS Record 2-6-0 1-4-0 1-2-0
Over/Under Record 5-3-0 3-2-0 2-1-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 4-3 3-2 1-1
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-1 0-0 0-1

Players to Watch

Boise State

  • Ezekiel Noa has played eight games, compiling 4.5 sacks to go with 3.0 TFL, 33 tackles, and one interception for the Broncos.
  • DJ Schramm has helped spur the Broncos’ defense with 0.5 sacks to go along with 3.0 TFL and 52 tackles in eight games.
  • As part of the Broncos’ defense, George Tarlas has amassed 28 tackles, 5.0 TFL, and three sacks in eight games.
  • The Broncos’ defensive unit has been helped by Demitri Washington, who has played eight games, collecting 4.5 sacks to go with 4.0 TFL and 27 tackles.

Cougars

  • Max Tooley has been causing chaos on defense, recording three interceptions to go with 38 tackles, 2.0 TFL, one sack, and three passes defended for the Cougars.
  • On defense, Ben Bywater has helped keep opposing offenses in check with 48 tackles, 1.0 TFL, one sack, and two interceptions in nine games.
  • Micah Harper has compiled 1.0 TFL and 35 tackles in nine games for the Cougars.
  • With one interception to go with 27 tackles and one pass defended in nine games, Talan Alfrey has been providing a big boost on defense for the Cougars.

Boise State vs. BYU Predictions and Pick

Boise State vs. BYU betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Cougars (+8.5)

    Pick OU:

    Under (54.5)

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How to Bet on Boise State vs. BYU

You can bet on Boise State vs. BYU at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Boise State vs. BYU picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our prediction to win this game is Boise State, and we project that BYU will cover the spread (Boise State -8.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 54.5 points.

WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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