Baylor vs. West Virginia Prediction: Picks & Start Time – October 2022

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Big 12 foes will do battle when the Baylor Bears (3-2) battle the West Virginia Mountaineers (2-3) at Mountaineer Field at Milan Puskar Stadium in Morgantown, West Virginia.

Baylor vs. West Virginia Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 3 points, with bookmakers listing Baylor as the favorites.


As for the moneyline, Baylor has -164 odds to pick up the win, while West Virginia is listed at +134 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 55 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch Baylor vs. West Virginia Live?

  • Game Day: Thursday, October 13, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: Fox Sports 1
  • Location: Morgantown, West Virginia
  • Stadium: Mountaineer Field at Milan Puskar Stadium

Betting Preview


On defense, Baylor has been a top-25 unit, ranking 25th-best by surrendering just 320.0 yards per game. The offense ranks 46th (436.2 yards per game). Baylor ranks 26th in scoring offense (37.4 points per game) and 37th in scoring defense (20.6 points allowed per game) this year. Baylor is averaging 248.4 passing yards per game on offense (65th in the FBS), and ranks 61st on the other side of the ball with 223.2 passing yards allowed per game. Baylor ranks 37th in rushing yards this season (187.8 rushing yards per game), but has been playing really well on the other side of the ball, ranking 17th-best in the FBS with 96.8 rushing yards allowed per game. Baylor is putting up a 43.8% third-down percentage offensively this year (49th in the FBS), and is allowing a 34.7% third-down conversion rate (48th) on defense. With five forced turnovers (112th in the FBS) against five turnovers committed (18th in the FBS), Baylor (0) owns the 100th-ranked turnover margin in college football.

West Virginia

West Virginia ranks 33rd with 452.8 total yards per game on offense, and it ranks 33rd with 331.4 total yards ceded per contest on defense. West Virginia’s offense has been thriving, racking up 38.2 points per game (24th-best) this season. On defense, it ranks 92nd by allowing 29.6 points per game. West Virginia is accumulating 266.6 passing yards per contest on offense this season (38th-ranked). Meanwhile, it is giving up 230.8 passing yards per contest (70th-ranked) on defense. West Virginia ranks 39th in the FBS with 186.2 rushing yards per game, but it has been carried by its defense, which ranks 21st-best by surrendering just 100.6 rushing yards per game. West Virginia’s third-down offense has been consistently moving the chains, putting up a 49.4% third-down conversion rate (15th-best) this season. On defense, it ranks 105th by allowing a 43.3% third-down rate. With three forced turnovers (123rd in the FBS) and five turnovers committed (18th in the FBS) this season, West Virginia ranks 100th in the FBS with a turnover margin of -2.

Baylor vs. West Virginia Betting Analysis

Baylor Betting Insights

Baylor has registered a 3-2-0 record against the spread this season. In games they have played as 3-point favorites or more, Baylor has a perfect ATS record of 2-0. Baylor games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under three times this season. The Bears have been the moneyline favorite only two other times so far this season, and they split the two games. The Bears have played as a moneyline favorite of -164 or shorter in just one game this season, which they won.

Mountaineers Betting Insights

West Virginia is 3-2-0 against the spread this year. West Virginia is 1-1 ATS when playing as at least 3-point underdogs. This season, West Virginia games have hit the over three times. The Mountaineers have lost both games they’ve played as underdogs this season. The Mountaineers are 0-1 this season when entering a game as the underdog by +134 or more on the moneyline.

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Baylor vs. West Virginia Against The Spread & Betting Records


Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 51.1 52.0 49.8
Implied Total AVG 33.6 38.3 26.5
ATS Record 3-2-0 2-1-0 1-1-0
Over/Under Record 3-2-0 2-1-0 1-1-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 1-1 1-1 0-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-1 0-0 1-1


Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 56.0 58.8 54.2
Implied Total AVG 35.6 43.5 30.3
ATS Record 3-2-0 1-1-0 2-1-0
Over/Under Record 3-2-0 2-0-0 1-2-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 1-1 0-1 1-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-2 0-0 0-2

Players to Watch


  • As part of the Bears’ defense, Bryson Jackson has recorded six tackles, 3.0 TFL, and two sacks in five games.
  • Devin Neal has helped spur the Bears’ defense with 1.0 sack to go along with 1.0 TFL, 13 tackles, and one interception in five games.
  • As part of the Bears’ defense, Matt Jones has delivered 14 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and 1.5 sacks in five games.
  • Al Walcott, as part of the Bears’ defensive unit, has compiled 2.0 TFL and 17 tackles in five games.


  • Lee Kpogba has been providing a big boost on defense, compiling 30 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and one sack for the Mountaineers.
  • The Mountaineers’ Dante Stills has recorded 2.5 sacks to go with 2.0 TFL and nine tackles in five games.
  • Marcis Floyd has amassed 21 tackles in five games for the Mountaineers.
  • The Mountaineers’ Taijh Alston has compiled nine tackles, 1.0 TFL, and one sack in five games.

Baylor vs. West Virginia Predictions and Pick

Baylor vs. West Virginia betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Mountaineers (+3)

    Pick OU:

    Over (55)

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How to Bet on Baylor vs. West Virginia

You can bet on Baylor vs. West Virginia at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Baylor vs. West Virginia picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our prediction to win this game is Baylor, and we project that West Virginia will cover the spread (Baylor -3). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 55 points.


Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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