Baylor vs. Texas State Prediction: Picks & Start Time – September 17

httpscdn.dataskrive.comapiasset9oX3ceabaylor bears vs texas state bobcats Betsperts Media & Technology

It’ll be the No. 17 Baylor Bears (1-1) versus the Texas State Bobcats (1-1) in college football play at McLane Stadium in Waco, Texas.

Baylor vs. Texas State Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 30 points, with bookmakers listing Baylor as the favorites.


As for the moneyline, Baylor has -15625 odds to pick up the win, while Texas State is listed at +2225 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 53.5 points.


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Game Info

How to Watch Baylor vs. Texas State Live?

  • Game Day: Saturday, September 17, 2022
  • Game Time: 12:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: Fox Sports 1
  • Location: Waco, Texas
  • Stadium: McLane Stadium

Betting Preview


  • Baylor put up 31.6 points per game last season, comparable to the 33.0 per matchup Texas State gave up.
  • When the Bears recorded over 33.0 points last season, they were 4-0 against the spread and 4-0 overall.
  • Baylor averaged just 10.0 fewer yards per game (422.3) than Texas State allowed per matchup (432.3) last year.
  • The Bears were 4-1 against the spread and 5-0 overall when the team totaled over 432.3 yards last season.
  • Baylor rushed for 216.6 yards per game last year, 31.1 more than the 185.5 Texas State allowed per outing.
  • Last season the Bears had a 5-1 ATS record and a 6-0 overall record in games the team rushed for more than 185.5 yards.

Texas State

  • Last year Texas State put up 4.8 more points per game (23.1) than Baylor allowed (18.3).
  • When the Bobcats recorded over 18.3 points last season, they were 7-3 against the spread and 4-6 overall.
  • Texas State racked up just 3.7 fewer yards per game (343.7) than Baylor gave up (347.4) per contest last season.
  • The Bobcats were 3-3 against the spread and 2-4 overall when the team picked up more than 347.4 yards last year.
  • Last year Texas State rushed for 30.4 more yards per game (150.0) than Baylor allowed per outing (119.6).
  • When the Bobcats rushed for more than 119.6 yards last season they had a 5-3 ATS record and a 4-4 overall record.

Baylor vs. Texas State Betting Analysis

Baylor Betting Insights

  • Against the spread, Baylor went 10-4-0 last season.
  • Baylor covered every time (1-0) as a 30-point or higher favorite last season.
  • The Bears went 6-1 in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite last season (winning 85.7% of those games).
  • The Bears did not play a game last season with moneyline odds of -15625 or shorter.
  • Last year, five of Baylor’s 14 games hit the over.

Bobcats Betting Insights

  • Texas State covered the spread seven times in 12 games last year.
  • The Bobcats were underdogs nine times last season and won three of those games.
  • The Bobcats were not a bigger underdog last season than the +2225 moneyline set for this game.
  • In 12 Texas State games last year, five of them hit the over.

Baylor vs. Texas State Against The Spread & Betting Records


Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 52.4 53.0 51.7
Implied Total AVG 30.9 32.4 29.4
ATS Record 10-4-0 6-1-0 4-3-0
Over/Under Record 5-8-1 4-3-0 1-5-1
Moneyline Favorite Record 6-1 4-0 2-1
Moneyline Underdog Record 5-1 2-0 3-1


Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 57.3 55.3 59.3
Implied Total AVG 33.3 31.2 35.5
ATS Record 7-5-0 4-2-0 3-3-0
Over/Under Record 5-7-0 4-2-0 1-5-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 1-2 1-2 0-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 3-6 1-2 2-4

Last Season’s Leaders


  • In 14 games last year, Terrel Bernard amassed 7.5 sacks to go with 9.0 TFL and 78 tackles.
  • Jalen Pitre recorded 54 tackles, 9.0 TFL, 3.5 sacks, and two interceptions in 14 games.
  • JT Woods had 2.0 TFL, 41 tackles, and six interceptions in 14 games a season ago.
  • Dillon Doyle amassed one interception to go with 55 tackles, 4.0 TFL, one sack, and one pass defended in 14 games played.


  • Issiah Nixon helped carry the defense with 31 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and four sacks in 12 games.
  • Jordan Revels, who played in 12 games, recorded 3.0 sacks to go with 3.0 TFL and 39 tackles.
  • Zion Childress played in 12 games and registered one interception to go along with 44 tackles and one pass defended.
  • With 52 tackles, Markeveon Coleman made a big impact on D.

Baylor vs. Texas State Predictions and Pick

Baylor vs. Texas State betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Bears (-30)

    Pick OU:

    Under (53.5)

How to Bet on Baylor vs. Texas State

You can bet on Baylor vs. Texas State at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Baylor vs. Texas State picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our prediction to win this game is Baylor, and we predict that Baylor will cover the spread (Baylor -30). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 53.5 points.


Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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