Baylor vs. Oklahoma State Prediction: Picks & Start Time – October 2022

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Big 12 rivals will clash when the No. 16 Baylor Bears (3-1) face the No. 9 Oklahoma State Cowboys (3-0).

Baylor vs. Oklahoma State Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 2.5 points, with bookmakers listing Baylor as the favorites.


As for the moneyline, Baylor has -136 odds to pick up the win, while Oklahoma State is listed at +112 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 55.5 points.


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Game Info

How to Watch Baylor vs. Oklahoma State Live?

  • Game Day: Saturday, October 1, 2022
  • Game Time: 3:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: FOX
  • Location: Waco, Texas
  • Stadium: McLane Stadium

Betting Preview


Defensively, Baylor has been a top-25 unit, ranking 25th-best by giving up just 305.3 yards per game. The offense ranks 58th (431.0 yards per game). Baylor has been making things happen on both sides of the ball this year, as they rank 22nd-best in scoring offense (40.5 points per game) and 23rd-best in scoring defense (16.8 points allowed per game). Baylor is putting up 224.3 passing yards per game on offense (84th in the FBS), and ranks 71st defensively with 225.8 passing yards allowed per game. Baylor ranks 26th in rushing yards this season (206.8 rushing yards per game), but has been playing really well on defense, ranking ninth-best in the FBS with 79.5 rushing yards allowed per game. Baylor is averaging a 47.2% third-down percentage on offense this year (32nd in the FBS), and is giving up a 33.3% third-down percentage (43rd) on the other side of the ball. Baylor owns the 49th-ranked turnover margin in college football at +1, forcing four turnovers (99th in the FBS) while turning it over three times (19th in the FBS).

Oklahoma State

Oklahoma State’s defense ranks 71st in the FBS with 376.7 total yards given up per game, but it has been carried by its offense, which ranks eighth-best by racking up 511.3 total yards per contest. Oklahoma State’s offensive attack has been leading the charge for the team, as it ranks best in the FBS with 51.7 points per contest. In terms of defense, it is giving up 22.7 points per game, which ranks 57th. Oklahoma State’s pass offense has been paving the way for the team, as it ranks ninth-best in the FBS with 348.0 passing yards per contest. In terms of defense, it is surrendering 265.3 passing yards per game, which ranks 101st. With 163.3 rushing yards per game on offense, Oklahoma State ranks 66th in the FBS. Defensively it ranks 39th, surrendering 111.3 rushing yards per contest. Oklahoma State’s defense has been thriving on third down, giving up a 23.4% third-down conversion percentage (fifth-best). Offensively, it ranks 68th in the FBS with a 39.5% third-down rate. Oklahoma State has registered two forced turnovers (121st in the FBS) and committed three turnovers (19th in the FBS) this season for a -1 turnover margin that ranks 100th in the FBS.

Baylor vs. Oklahoma State Betting Analysis

Baylor Betting Insights

Baylor has put together a 3-1-0 record against the spread this season. In games they have played as 2.5-point favorites or more, Baylor has a perfect ATS record of 2-0. This season, Baylor games have hit the over twice. The Bears have been the moneyline favorite just one other time so far this season, a game they won. The Bears have played as a moneyline favorite of -136 or shorter in just one game this season, which they won.

Cowboys Betting Insights

Oklahoma State has covered the spread two times in three games with a set number. This season, Oklahoma State games have hit the over twice. The Cowboys will play as the underdog for the first time this season. The Cowboys have played as an underdog of +112 or more once this season and won that game.


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Baylor vs. Oklahoma State Against The Spread & Betting Records


Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 49.9 50.0 49.8
Implied Total AVG 34.8 43.0 26.5
ATS Record 3-1-0 2-0-0 1-1-0
Over/Under Record 2-2-0 1-1-0 1-1-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 1-0 1-0 0-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-1 0-0 1-1


Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 60.5 60.5
Implied Total AVG 45.0 45.0
ATS Record 2-1-0 2-1-0 0-0-0
Over/Under Record 2-1-0 2-1-0 0-0-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 2-0 2-0 0-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-0 0-0 0-0

Players to Watch


  • Bryson Jackson has helped lead the Bears’ defense with six tackles, 3.0 TFL, and two sacks in four games.
  • Matt Jones has helped lead the Bears’ defense with 1.5 sacks to go along with 2.0 TFL and eight tackles in four games.
  • Devin Neal has hit the gridiron for four games, collecting seven tackles, 1.0 TFL, one sack, and one interception for the Bears.
  • An important part of the Bears’ defense, AJ McCarty has 12 tackles in four games.


  • On defense, Mason Cobb has helped set the tone with 24 tackles, 4.0 TFL, and one sack in three games.
  • Tyler Lacy has been doing his part on defense, collecting 11 tackles, 5.0 TFL, and two sacks for the Cowboys.
  • Jason Taylor II has recorded 1.0 TFL and 18 tackles in three games for the Cowboys.
  • Kendal Daniels has recorded 15 tackles and one interception in three games for the Cowboys.

Baylor vs. Oklahoma State Predictions and Pick

Baylor vs. Oklahoma State betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Bears (-2.5)

    Pick OU:

    Over (55.5)


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How to Bet on Baylor vs. Oklahoma State

You can bet on Baylor vs. Oklahoma State at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Baylor vs. Oklahoma State picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our prediction to win this contest is Baylor, and we predict that Baylor will cover the spread (Baylor -2.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 55.5 points.


Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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