Army vs. UMass Prediction: Picks & Start Time – November 26, 2022

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The Army Black Knights (4-6) and UMass Minutemen (1-10) will face each other in clash of FBS Independent opponents at Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium in Amherst, Massachusetts.

Army vs. UMass Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 20 points, with bookmakers listing Army as the favorites.


As for the moneyline, Army has -1432 odds to pick up the win, while UMass is listed at +798 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 45 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch Army vs. UMass Live?

  • Game Day: Saturday, November 26, 2022
  • Game Time: 12:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN+
  • Location: Amherst, Massachusetts
  • Stadium: Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium

Betting Preview


Army is totaling 384.2 yards per game on offense (74th in the FBS), and rank 71st on the other side of the ball, yielding 378.9 yards allowed per game. Army ranks 73rd in scoring offense (27.9 points per game) and 51st in scoring defense (24.6 points allowed per game) this year. Army has struggled in the passing game, ranking second-worst in the FBS (82.9 passing yards per game) this season. However, the defense ranks 10th-best defensively, giving up just 175.0 passing yards per game. Army owns the second-best offense this season in terms of rushing yards (301.3 rushing yards per game), but ranks 12th-worst defensively (203.9 rushing yards allowed per game). Army has the 104th-ranked defense this season in terms of third-down efficiency (42.5% third-down conversion rate allowed), and has been better on offense, ranking 22nd-best with a 46.1% third-down conversion rate. Army has forced 11 total turnovers (114th in the FBS) this season and have turned it over 12 times (21st in the FBS) for -1a turnover margin of -1, 100th-ranked in college football.

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UMass has been struggling offensively, ranking third-worst with 268.5 total yards per game. It has been more effective defensively, allowing 367.7 total yards per contest (59th-ranked). UMass’ offense has been a bottom-25 unit this season, generating 13.0 points per game, which ranks worst in the FBS. On the defensive side of the ball, it ranks 101st with 29.9 points surrendered per contest. UMass ranks sixth-worst in passing yards per game on offense (114.4), but at least it has been shutting down opposing offenses on defense, ranking 16th-best in passing yards surrendered per contest (185.1). With 154.2 rushing yards per game on offense, UMass ranks 67th in the FBS. Defensively it ranks 103rd, surrendering 182.6 rushing yards per contest. UMass ranks fifth-worst in third-down conversion percentage (29.1%), but at least it has been dominating on the other side of the ball, ranking ninth-best in third-down rate surrendered (28.8%). At +3, UMass owns the 46th-ranked turnover margin in the FBS, with 18 forced turnovers (39th in the FBS) and 15 turnovers committed (57th in the FBS).

Army vs. UMass Betting Analysis

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Army Betting Insights

Army has gone 4-5-0 against the spread this season. Army is winless against the spread when it has played as 20-point or greater favorites (0-1). Army games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under six times this season. The Black Knights have won three of the four games they were favored on the moneyline this season (75%). The Black Knights have not yet played a game with moneyline odds of -1432 or shorter.

Minutemen Betting Insights

UMass has covered the spread five times over 11 games with a set total. In games it has played as 20-point or bigger underdogs, UMass has an ATS record of 3-2. This season, UMass games have hit the over three times. The Minutemen have been listed as the underdog nine times this season and have failed to win any of those games. The Minutemen have been at least a +798 moneyline underdog four times this season, but lost all of those games.

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Army vs. UMass Against The Spread & Betting Records


Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 53.1 52.1 55.0
Implied Total AVG 32.1 32.2 32.0
ATS Record 4-5-0 3-3-0 1-2-0
Over/Under Record 6-3-0 5-1-0 1-2-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 3-1 3-1 0-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-4 0-1 0-3


Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 47.0 44.0 48.6
Implied Total AVG 32.4 27.0 35.4
ATS Record 5-6-0 2-2-0 3-4-0
Over/Under Record 3-8-0 1-3-0 2-5-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 1-0 1-0 0-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-9 0-3 0-6

Players to Watch


  • The Black Knights’ defense has been aided by the play of Leo Lowin, who has played 10 games and compiled 47 tackles, 5.0 TFL, three sacks, and two interceptions.
  • As part of the Black Knights’ defense, Marquel Broughton has amassed 1.0 TFL, 45 tackles, and three interceptions in 10 games.
  • With 26 tackles, 3.0 TFL, and three sacks in 10 games, Kwabena Bonsu has been a big contributor to the Black Knights’ defense in 2022.
  • An important piece of the Black Knights’ defensive unit, Andre Carter II has 17 tackles, 5.0 TFL, and three sacks in 10 games.


  • On defense, Jalen Mackie has helped lead the way with one interception to go with 35 tackles, 7.0 TFL, 3.5 sacks, and one pass defended in 11 games.
  • Marcus Cushnie has been wreaking havoc on defense, collecting 21 tackles, 10.0 TFL, and 5.5 sacks for the Minutemen.
  • The Minutemen’s Tyler Rudolph has compiled two interceptions to go with 27 tackles and two passes defended in 11 games.
  • Jordan Mahoney has collected 11 tackles and three interceptions in 11 games for the Minutemen.

Army vs. UMass Predictions and Pick

Army vs. UMass betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Minutemen (+20)

    Pick OU:

    Over (45)

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How to Bet on Army vs. UMass

You can bet on Army vs. UMass at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Army vs. UMass picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our pick to win this contest is Army, and we predict that UMass will cover the spread (Army -20). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 45 points.


Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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