Arkansas vs. Kansas AutoZone Liberty Bowl Prediction: Picks & Start Time – December 28, 2022

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The Arkansas Razorbacks will play the Kansas Jayhawks in the AutoZone Liberty Bowl.

Arkansas vs. Kansas Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 2.5 points, with sportsbooks listing Arkansas as the favorites.


As for the moneyline, Arkansas has -139 odds to pick up the win, while Kansas is listed at +115 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 70 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch Arkansas vs. Kansas Live?

  • Game Day: Wednesday, December 28, 2022
  • Game Time: 5:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN
  • Location: Memphis, Tennessee
  • Stadium: Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium

Betting Preview


Arkansas owns the 26th-ranked offense this season (454.0 yards per game), and have been less effective defensively, ranking ninth-worst with 453.2 yards allowed per game. On offense, Arkansas ranks 47th in the FBS with 30.7 points per game. Meanwhile, the team’s defense ranks 91st in points allowed (453.2 points allowed per contest). Despite having a bottom-25 pass defense that ranks 15th-worst in the FBS (272.9 passing yards allowed per game), Arkansas has put up better results on offense, ranking 66th in the FBS by averaging 229.5 passing yards per game. Arkansas ranks 103rd in run defense this season (180.3 rushing yards allowed per game), but has been playing really well on the offensive side of the ball, ranking ninth-best in the FBS with 224.5 rushing yards per game. Arkansas has struggled defensively in terms of third-down efficiency, ranking 16th-worst in the FBS (44.3% third-down conversion rate) this season. With the ball, however, the Razorbacks ranks 25th-best, averaging a 45.5% third-down conversion rate. Arkansas ranks 55th in college football with a +1 turnover margin after forcing 15 turnovers (74th in the FBS) and committing 14 (36th in the FBS).

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Kansas’ defense has been bottom-25 in total defense this season, ceding 450.8 total yards per game, which ranks 11th-worst. Offensively, it ranks 36th with 424.3 total yards per contest. Kansas ranks 27th in points per game (34.2), but it has been less productive on the other side of the ball, ranking 13th-worst in the FBS with 33.8 points allowed per contest. In terms of passing, Kansas ranks 64th in the FBS (230.3 passing yards per game) and 105th on defense (257.9 passing yards allowed per game). Kansas has been struggling against the run, ranking 17th-worst with 192.9 rushing yards allowed per game. It has been more effective offensively, compiling 194.1 rushing yards per contest (34th-ranked). Defensively, Kansas is a bottom-25 unit on third down, allowing a 46.9% third-down conversion rate (eighth-worst). On the bright side, it is dominating on the offensive side of the ball, generating a 46.9% third-down rate (seventh-best). After forcing 17 turnovers (56th in the FBS) and turning the ball over 16 times (54th in the FBS) this season, Kansas has the 55th-ranked turnover margin of +1.

Arkansas vs. Kansas Betting Analysis

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Arkansas Betting Insights

Arkansas has covered the spread six times in 12 games with a set spread. In games this season when favored by 2.5 points or more, Arkansas has gone 3-3 against the spread. This season, nine Arkansas games have gone over the point total. The Razorbacks have won 66.7% of the games this season when they were the moneyline favorite (4-2). The Razorbacks have a record of 2-1 in games they have played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -139 or shorter (66.7%).

Jayhawks Betting Insights

Kansas has covered the spread in a game seven times this year (7-4-1). In games as an underdog by 2.5 points or more so far this year, the Jayhawks have gone 4-4-1 against the spread. This year, eight Kansas games have gone over the point total. The Jayhawks have entered the game as underdogs nine times this season and won three of those games. The Jayhawks have a record of 2-6 in games where oddsmakers have them as underdogs of at least +115 on the moneyline.

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Arkansas vs. Kansas Against The Spread & Betting Records


Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 59.0 59.9 57.7
Implied Total AVG 33.4 35.6 30.4
ATS Record 6-6-0 4-3-0 2-3-0
Over/Under Record 9-3-0 5-2-0 4-1-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 4-2 3-1 1-1
Moneyline Underdog Record 2-4 1-2 1-2


Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 62.0 63.3 60.7
Implied Total AVG 36.1 36.8 35.3
ATS Record 7-4-1 4-1-1 3-3-0
Over/Under Record 8-4-0 2-4-0 6-0-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 2-0 2-0 0-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 3-6 1-2 2-4

Players to Watch


  • The Razorbacks’ defensive unit has been helped by Drew Sanders, who has suited up for 11 games and posted 92 tackles, 10 TFL, seven sacks, and one interception.
  • Bumper Pool has helped spur the Razorbacks’ defense with two sacks to go along with four TFL and 83 tackles in 10 games.
  • Hudson Clark has helped lead the Razorbacks’ defense with one interception to go along with 63 tackles, four TFL, and 10 passes defended in 11 games.
  • The Razorbacks’ defensive unit has been aided by Dwight McGlothern, who has played 11 games, totaling 41 tackles and three interceptions.


  • Kenny Logan Jr. has amassed two interceptions to go with 91 tackles, one TFL, and three passes defended in 12 games for the Jayhawks.
  • Lonnie Phelps has amassed 49 tackles, nine TFL, and seven sacks in 11 games for the Jayhawks.
  • Rich Miller has posted one sack to go with one TFL, 74 tackles, and one interception in 11 games for the Jayhawks.
  • The Jayhawks’ Craig Young has collected 51 tackles, four TFL, three sacks, and one interception in 11 games.

Arkansas vs. Kansas Predictions and Pick

Arkansas vs. Kansas betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Jayhawks (+2.5)

    Pick OU:

    Under (70)

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How to Bet on Arkansas vs. Kansas

You can bet on Arkansas vs. Kansas at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Arkansas vs. Kansas picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our pick to win this matchup is Kansas, and we expect that Kansas will cover the spread (Arkansas -2.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 70 points.


Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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