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The Arkansas State Red Wolves (2-7) will clash with the UMass Minutemen (1-8) at Centennial Bank Stadium in Jonesboro, Arkansas.
Arkansas State vs. UMass Odds
Point Spread
The spread for this matchup is set at 17 points, with sportsbooks listing Arkansas State as the favorites.
Moneyline
As for the moneyline, Arkansas State has -995 odds to pick up the win, while UMass is listed at +610 to claim victory.
Over/Under
Finally, the total for the game is set at 49.5 points.
Game Info
How to Watch Arkansas State vs. UMass Live?
- Game Day: Saturday, November 12, 2022
- Game Time: 3:00 PM ET
- TV Channel: ESPN3
- Location: Jonesboro, Arkansas
- Stadium: Centennial Bank Stadium
Betting Preview
Arkansas State
Arkansas State has been a bottom-25 offense this year, ranking 19th-worst with 328.0 yards per game. The defense is ranked 93rd in the FBS (403.8 yards allowed per game). Despite sporting a bottom-25 scoring defense that ranks 25th-worst in the FBS (31.1 points allowed per game), Arkansas State has played better on offense, ranking 84th in the FBS by totaling 25.9 points per game. From an offensive standpoint, Arkansas State ranks 65th in the FBS with 235.4 passing yards per game. Meanwhile, the defense ranks 96th in passing yards allowed per contest (251.7). Arkansas State ranks eighth-worst in rushing offense (92.6 rushing yards per game), but has been better on defense, ranking 75th with 152.1 rushing yards allowed per contest. While Arkansas State’s third-down defense ranks 39th with a 35.2% third-down conversion rate allowed per game, the offense has been worse, ranking 17th-worst with a 32.8% third-down percentage. Arkansas State has forced seven total turnovers (124th in the FBS) this season and have turned it over six times (fourth in the FBS) for +1a turnover margin of +1, 62nd-ranked in college football.
UMass
UMass’ offense has been bottom-25 in total offense this season, generating 256.8 total yards per game, which ranks second-worst in the FBS. On the defensive side of the ball, it ranks 66th with 374.0 total yards ceded per contest. UMass’ offense has been a bottom-25 unit this season, posting 11.9 points per game, which ranks worst in the FBS. Defensively, it ranks 101st with 30.4 points surrendered per contest. While UMass’ pass offense has been stuck in neutral, ranking third-worst with 99.6 passing yards per game, its defense ranks 24th-best with just 189.2 passing yards surrendered per contest. UMass’ defense has been a bottom-25 unit in run defense this season, surrendering 184.8 rushing yards per game, which ranks 21st-worst in the FBS. On the offensive side of the ball, it ranks 62nd with 157.2 rushing yards per contest. UMass ranks sixth-worst in third-down conversion rate (28.0%), but at least it has been playing well on the defensive side of the ball, ranking 21st-best in third-down rate surrendered (31.8%). After forcing 13 turnovers (60th in the FBS) and turning the ball over 12 times (52nd in the FBS) this season, UMass has the 62nd-ranked turnover margin of +1.
Arkansas State vs. UMass Betting Analysis
Arkansas State Betting Insights
Arkansas State has covered the spread six times in nine games with a set spread. Arkansas State is a perfect 1-0 ATS when playing as at least 17-point favorites. This season, Arkansas State games have hit the over five times. The Red Wolves have been listed as the moneyline favorite just two other times so far this season, and they won both of the games. The Red Wolves have played as a moneyline favorite of -995 or shorter in just one game this season, which they won.
Minutemen Betting Insights
UMass is 3-6-0 against the spread this year. UMass has an ATS record of 2-3 when playing as at least 17-point underdogs. UMass games have gone over the total twice this year. The Minutemen have been listed as the underdog eight times this season and have failed to win any of those games. This season, the Minutemen have been at least a +610 underdog on the moneyline four times, losing each of those contests.
Arkansas State vs. UMass Against The Spread & Betting Records
Arkansas State
| Overall | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Point Total AVG | 57.3 | 56.0 | 58.4 |
| Implied Total AVG | 36.0 | 35.0 | 36.8 |
| ATS Record | 6-3-0 | 2-2-0 | 4-1-0 |
| Over/Under Record | 5-4-0 | 3-1-0 | 2-3-0 |
| Moneyline Favorite Record | 2-0 | 2-0 | 0-0 |
| Moneyline Underdog Record | 0-6 | 0-2 | 0-4 |
Minutemen
| Overall | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Point Total AVG | 46.7 | 44.0 | 48.9 |
| Implied Total AVG | 31.4 | 27.0 | 35.0 |
| ATS Record | 3-6-0 | 2-2-0 | 1-4-0 |
| Over/Under Record | 2-7-0 | 1-3-0 | 1-4-0 |
| Moneyline Favorite Record | 1-0 | 1-0 | 0-0 |
| Moneyline Underdog Record | 0-8 | 0-3 | 0-5 |
Players to Watch
Arkansas State
- The Red Wolves’ defense has been helped by the contributions of Jaden Harris, who has suited up for nine games and registered 39 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and one sack.
- As part of the Red Wolves’ defensive unit, Jordan Carmouche has registered 1.0 sack to go with 1.0 TFL and 40 tackles in nine games.
- As part of the Red Wolves’ defensive unit, Kivon Bennett has registered 26 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and 2.5 sacks in nine games.
- Eddie Smith, as part of the Red Wolves’ defensive unit, has registered 23 tackles and two interceptions in nine games.
Minutemen
- In nine games for the Minutemen, Marcus Cushnie has registered 4.5 sacks to go with 8.0 TFL and 19 tackles.
- Jalen Mackie has posted 29 tackles, 5.0 TFL, 2.5 sacks, and one interception in nine games for the Minutemen.
- Jordan Mahoney has registered eight tackles and three interceptions in nine games for the Minutemen.
- Josh Wallace has compiled 2.0 TFL, 16 tackles, and two interceptions in nine games for the Minutemen.
Arkansas State vs. UMass Predictions and Pick
Arkansas State vs. UMass betting card
- Pick ATS:
Minutemen (+17)
Pick OU:
Over (49.5)
How to Bet on Arkansas State vs. UMass
You can bet on Arkansas State vs. UMass at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.
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Our pick to win this game is Arkansas State, and we expect that UMass will cover the spread (Arkansas State -17). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 49.5 points.