Arkansas State vs. UL Monroe Prediction: Picks & Start Time – October 2022

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The Arkansas State Red Wolves (1-3) face a Sun Belt matchup with the UL Monroe Warhawks (2-2).

Arkansas State vs. UL Monroe Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 7 points, with bookmakers listing Arkansas State as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Arkansas State has -269 odds to pick up the win, while UL Monroe is listed at +209 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 59 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch Arkansas State vs. UL Monroe Live?

  • Game Day: Saturday, October 1, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN+
  • Location: Jonesboro, Arkansas
  • Stadium: Centennial Bank Stadium

Betting Preview

Arkansas State

Arkansas State is putting up 403.8 yards per game on offense (74th in the FBS), and rank 73rd defensively, yielding 379.3 yards allowed per game. Arkansas State is totaling 32.0 points per game offensively this year (61st in the FBS), and is allowing 30.3 points per game (92nd) on the defensive side of the ball. Arkansas State is averaging 254.0 passing yards per game on offense (62nd in the FBS), and ranks 101st on the other side of the ball with 265.3 passing yards allowed per game. From an offensive standpoint, Arkansas State ranks 82nd in the FBS with 149.8 rushing yards per game. Meanwhile, the defensive unit ranks 45th in rushing yards allowed per contest (114.0). Arkansas State ranks 93rd in third-down efficiency (35.5%) on offense and 28th in third-down percentage allowed (29.4%) on defense this year. Arkansas State has the 100th-ranked turnover margin in college football at -1, forcing two turnovers (121st in the FBS) while turning it over three times (17th in the FBS).

UL Monroe

UL Monroe ranks 23rd-worst in total yards per game (317.8), but it has been more productive defensively, ranking 79th in the FBS with 388.0 total yards allowed per contest. UL Monroe has been outplayed on both sides of the ball this season, ranking 17th-worst in points (18.3 per game) and 18th-worst in points surrendered (34.8 per game). UL Monroe’s passing offense has been a bottom-25 unit this season, compiling 176.8 passing yards per game, which ranks 19th-worst in the FBS. On the defensive side of the ball, it ranks 87th with 246.0 passing yards allowed per contest. UL Monroe ranks 89th in the FBS with 141.0 rushing yards per game on offense, and it ranks 69th with 142.0 rushing yards allowed per game on defense. With a 39.3% third-down conversion percentage on offense, UL Monroe ranks 69th in the FBS. Defensively, it ranks 61st, surrendering a 36.5% third-down rate. After forcing six turnovers (56th in the FBS) and turning the ball over four times (29th in the FBS) this season, UL Monroe has the 41st-ranked turnover margin of +2.

Arkansas State vs. UL Monroe Betting Analysis

Arkansas State Betting Insights

Arkansas State is 4-0-0 against the spread this season. Arkansas State has a perfect 1-0 ATS record when playing as at least 7-point favorites. Arkansas State games have gone over the total twice this season. The Red Wolves have been listed as the moneyline favorite only one other time so far this season, a game they won. The Red Wolves have played as a moneyline favorite of -269 or shorter in only one game this season, which they won.

Warhawks Betting Insights

UL Monroe has covered the spread twice in four games with a set number. UL Monroe has an ATS record of 1-2 when playing as at least 7-point underdogs. UL Monroe games have gone over the total once this year. The Warhawks won the only game they’ve played as the underdog this season. The Warhawks have entered three games this season as the underdog by +209 or more and are 1-0 in those contests.

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Arkansas State vs. UL Monroe Against The Spread & Betting Records

Arkansas State

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 61.4 57.5 62.7
Implied Total AVG 42.0 42.0 42.0
ATS Record 4-0-0 1-0-0 3-0-0
Over/Under Record 2-2-0 1-0-0 1-2-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 1-0 1-0 0-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-2 0-0 0-2

Warhawks

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 58.9 54.8 63.0
Implied Total AVG 42.3 31.0 53.5
ATS Record 2-2-0 2-0-0 0-2-0
Over/Under Record 1-3-0 0-2-0 1-1-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 1-0 1-0 0-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-0 1-0 0-0

Players to Watch

Arkansas State

  • As part of the Red Wolves’ defensive unit, Melique Straker has totaled 15 tackles and 1.0 TFL in four games.
  • With six tackles, 1.0 TFL, and 1.5 sacks in four games, Thurman Geathers has been a key part of the Red Wolves’ defense in 2022.
  • The Red Wolves’ defense has been helped by Dennard Flowers, who has played four games and delivered 2.0 TFL and two sacks.
  • Jaden Harris has been a big contributor to the Red Wolves’ defensive unit in 2022, with nine tackles and one sack in four games.

Warhawks

  • Tristan Driggers has recorded three interceptions to go with 13 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and three passes defended in four games for the Warhawks.
  • Zack Woodard has been providing a big boost on defense, totaling 13 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and one sack for the Warhawks.
  • Caleb Thomas has registered 0.5 sacks to go with 2.0 TFL and seven tackles in four games for the Warhawks.
  • On defense, Car’lin Vigers has chipped in with six tackles, 1.0 TFL, and one interception in four games.

Arkansas State vs. UL Monroe Predictions and Pick

Arkansas State vs. UL Monroe betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Warhawks (+7)

    Pick OU:

    Over (59)

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How to Bet on Arkansas State vs. UL Monroe

You can bet on Arkansas State vs. UL Monroe at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Arkansas State vs. UL Monroe picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our pick to win this game is Arkansas State, and we project that UL Monroe will cover the spread (Arkansas State -7). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 59 points.

WRITTEN BY

Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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