Alabama vs. Tennessee Prediction: Picks & Start Time – October 2022

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SEC foes will clash when the No. 3 Alabama Crimson Tide (6-0) battle the No. 6 Tennessee Volunteers (5-0).

Alabama vs. Tennessee Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 8.5 points, with sportsbooks listing Alabama as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Alabama has -331 odds to pick up the win, while Tennessee is listed at +258 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the total for the game is set at 66.5 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch Alabama vs. Tennessee Live?

  • Game Day: Saturday, October 15, 2022
  • Game Time: 3:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: CBS
  • Location: Knoxville, Tennessee
  • Stadium: Neyland Stadium

Betting Preview

Alabama

Alabama has been finding success on both sides of the ball, ranking eighth-best in total offense (504.0 yards per game) and sixth-best in total defense (250.8 yards allowed per game). Alabama has been a tough opponent for opposing teams, as they rank top-25 in both scoring offense (fifth-best with 44.3 points per game) and scoring defense (sixth-best with 12.5 points allowed per game) this season. Alabama has the 69th-ranked offense this season in terms of passing yards (246.5 passing yards per game), and has been better defensively, ranking 11th-best with only 166.3 passing yards allowed per game. Alabama has been thriving on both sides of the ball in the running game, ranking fourth-best in rushing offense (257.5 rushing yards per game) and eighth-best in rushing defense (84.5 rushing yards allowed per game). Alabama ranks 27th in third-down conversion rate this year (47.1%), but has been shining on the defensive side of the ball, ranking second-best in the FBS with a 22.8% third-down percentage allowed. With three forced turnovers (124th in the FBS) against nine turnovers committed (76th in the FBS), Alabama’s -6-6 turnover margin ranks 100th in college football.

Tennessee

Tennessee’s offense has been dominant, putting up 547.8 total yards per game (best) this season. Defensively, it ranks 87th by allowing 396.6 total yards per game. Tennessee has been top-25 on both offense and defense this season, as it ranks second-best in points per game (46.8) and 21st-best in points allowed per game (17.8). Tennessee ranks fourth-worst in passing yards allowed per game (307.4), but at least it has been getting things done on offense, ranking seventh-best in passing yards per game (340.4). Things have been going well for Tennessee on both offense and defense, as it is compiling 207.4 rushing yards per game (23rd-best) and ceding just 89.2 rushing yards per game (11th-best). With a 44.8% third-down conversion rate on offense, Tennessee ranks 39th in the FBS. On defense, it ranks 33rd, surrendering a 32.0% third-down rate. Tennessee has excelled in terms of turnovers, as its turnover margin of +5 ranks 19th-best in the FBS, with 10 forced turnovers (36th in the nation) and five turnovers committed (18th in the nation).

Alabama vs. Tennessee Betting Analysis

Alabama Betting Insights

Alabama has put together a record of 4-2-0 against the spread this season. In games this season when favored by 8.5 points or more, Alabama are 4-2 against the spread. This season, Alabama games have hit the over twice. The Crimson Tide have yet to lose as the moneyline favorite this season, going 3-0. The Crimson Tide have played in three games as a moneyline favorite with odds of -331 or shorter and won every time.

Volunteers Betting Insights

Tennessee has covered the spread four times this season (4-1-0). Tennessee’s games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under three times this season. This is the first time the Volunteers will play as underdogs this season. The Volunteers have been at least a +258 moneyline underdog two times this season and won each of those games.

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Alabama vs. Tennessee Against The Spread & Betting Records

Alabama

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 59.9 58.4 63.0
Implied Total AVG 46.3 49.0 41.0
ATS Record 4-2-0 3-1-0 1-1-0
Over/Under Record 2-4-0 1-3-0 1-1-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 3-0 1-0 2-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-0 0-0 0-0

Volunteers

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 64.5 65.3 63.3
Implied Total AVG 42.6 48.7 33.5
ATS Record 4-1-0 2-1-0 2-0-0
Over/Under Record 3-2-0 3-0-0 0-2-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 3-0 1-0 2-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-0 0-0 0-0

Players to Watch

Alabama

  • With 5.0 sacks to go with 8.0 TFL, 25 tackles, and one interception in six games, Will Anderson Jr. has been an important part of the Crimson Tide’s defense in 2022.
  • DeMarcco Hellams has helped carry the Crimson Tide’s defense with 1.0 TFL and 25 tackles in six games.
  • As part of the Crimson Tide’s defensive unit, Jaylen Moody has posted 26 tackles, 3.0 TFL, and two sacks in six games.
  • An important contributor to the Crimson Tide’s defense, Henry To’o To’o has 25 tackles, 3.0 TFL, and one sack in six games.

Volunteers

  • Kamal Hadden has totaled two interceptions to go with 26 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and two passes defended in five games for the Volunteers.
  • On defense, Trevon Flowers has helped lead the way with 24 tackles, 1.0 TFL, one sack, and two interceptions in five games.
  • Aaron Beasley has 2.0 TFL and 36 tackles in five games.
  • Byron Young has delivered 3.5 sacks to go with 3.0 TFL and 13 tackles in five games for the Volunteers.

Alabama vs. Tennessee Predictions and Pick

Alabama vs. Tennessee betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Volunteers (+8.5)

    Pick OU:

    Under (66.5)

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How to Bet on Alabama vs. Tennessee

You can bet on Alabama vs. Tennessee at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Alabama vs. Tennessee picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our pick to win this contest is Alabama, and we expect that Tennessee will cover the spread (Alabama -8.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 66.5 points.

WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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