Alabama vs. Mississippi State Prediction: Picks & Start Time – October 2022

httpscdn.dataskrive.comapiassetn223OqPalabama crimson tide vs mississippi state bulldogs Betsperts Media & Technology

The No. 6 Alabama Crimson Tide (6-1) face an SEC matchup with the No. 24 Mississippi State Bulldogs (5-2).

Alabama vs. Mississippi State Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 21.5 points, with bookmakers listing Alabama as the favorites.


As for the moneyline, Alabama has -1513 odds to pick up the win, while Mississippi State is listed at +820 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 61 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch Alabama vs. Mississippi State Live?

  • Game Day: Saturday, October 22, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN
  • Location: Tuscaloosa, Alabama
  • Stadium: Bryant-Denny Stadium

Betting Preview


Alabama has been a difficult matchup for opposing teams, ranking top-25 in both total offense (seventh-best with 513.3 yards per game) and total defense (16th-best with 296.0 yards allowed per game) this season. Alabama has been a tough matchup for opposing teams, as they rank top-25 in both scoring offense (fifth-best with 45.0 points per game) and scoring defense (20th-best with 18.1 points allowed per game) this year. Alabama ranks 36th in pass offense (276.3 passing yards per game) and 32nd in pass defense (197.6 passing yards allowed per game) this year. Alabama has been shining on both offense and defense in the running game, ranking 12th-best in rushing offense (237.0 rushing yards per game) and 14th-best in rushing defense (98.4 rushing yards allowed per game). Alabama ranks 27th in third-down percentage this year (47.0%), but has been playing really well on defense, ranking second-best in the FBS with a 25.5% third-down percentage allowed. Alabama owns the 100th-ranked turnover margin in college football at -5, forcing five turnovers (121st in the FBS) while turning it over 10 times (71st in the FBS).

Mississippi State

Mississippi State is accumulating 427.6 total yards per game on offense this season (53rd-ranked). Meanwhile, it is allowing 375.0 total yards per game (64th-ranked). With 35.4 points per game on the offensive side of the ball, Mississippi State ranks 33rd in the FBS. On defense, it ranks 35th, giving up 21.9 points per game. Mississippi State’s passing attack has been leading the charge for the team, as it ranks eighth-best in the FBS with 333.0 passing yards per game. In terms of defense, it is surrendering 222.3 passing yards per game, which ranks 57th. Mississippi State’s rushing offense has been a bottom-25 unit this season, generating 94.6 rushing yards per game, which ranks 11th-worst in the FBS. On the defensive side of the ball, it ranks 78th with 152.7 rushing yards allowed per contest. With a 42.4% third-down conversion percentage on offense, Mississippi State ranks 54th in the FBS. On defense, it ranks 44th, allowing a 34.4% third-down rate. Mississippi State has thrived in terms of turnovers, as the team’s turnover margin of +5 ranks 21st-best in the FBS, with 14 forced turnovers (12th in the nation) and nine turnovers committed (56th in the nation).

Alabama vs. Mississippi State Betting Analysis

Alabama Betting Insights

Alabama has gone 4-3-0 against the spread this season. Alabama is 3-1 ATS when playing as at least 21.5-point favorites. This season, three Alabama games have gone over the point total. The Crimson Tide have won three of the four games they were listed as the moneyline favorite this season (75%). The Crimson Tide have played as a moneyline favorite of -1513 or shorter in just two games this season, and they won both.

Bulldogs Betting Insights

Mississippi State is 4-2-1 against the spread this year. Mississippi State’s games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under four times this year. The Bulldogs have not played a game this season while listed as the underdog. The Bulldogs have not entered a game this season with longer moneyline odds than +820.

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Alabama vs. Mississippi State Against The Spread & Betting Records


Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 60.9 58.4 64.3
Implied Total AVG 45.1 49.0 40.0
ATS Record 4-3-0 3-1-0 1-2-0
Over/Under Record 3-4-0 1-3-0 2-1-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 3-1 1-0 2-1
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-0 0-0 0-0


Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 53.2 52.8 53.8
Implied Total AVG 32.4 34.3 30.0
ATS Record 4-2-1 3-0-1 1-2-0
Over/Under Record 4-3-0 4-0-0 0-3-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 5-2 4-0 1-2
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-0 0-0 0-0

Players to Watch


  • Will Anderson Jr. has hit the gridiron for seven games, compiling 5.0 sacks to go with 8.0 TFL, 28 tackles, and one interception for the Crimson Tide.
  • DeMarcco Hellams has hit the gridiron for seven games, compiling one interception to go along with 35 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and two passes defended for the Crimson Tide.
  • With 33 tackles, 3.0 TFL, and one sack in seven games, Henry To’o To’o has been an important contributor to the Crimson Tide’s defensive unit in 2022.
  • With 2.0 sacks to go along with 3.0 TFL and 26 tackles, Jaylen Moody has helped spur the Crimson Tide’s defense over seven games.


  • Nathaniel Watson has been causing chaos on defense, totaling one interception to go with 46 tackles, 3.0 TFL, three sacks, and one pass defended for the Bulldogs.
  • On defense, Tyrus Wheat has helped keep opposing offenses in check with 20 tackles, 3.0 TFL, and three sacks in seven games.
  • Collin Duncan has 2.0 sacks to go with 2.0 TFL and 22 tackles in seven games.
  • Emmanuel Forbes has delivered 13 tackles and five interceptions in seven games for the Bulldogs.

Alabama vs. Mississippi State Predictions and Pick

Alabama vs. Mississippi State betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Bulldogs (+21.5)

    Pick OU:

    Under (61)

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How to Bet on Alabama vs. Mississippi State

You can bet on Alabama vs. Mississippi State at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Alabama vs. Mississippi State picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our prediction to win this game is Alabama, and we expect that Mississippi State will cover the spread (Alabama -21.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 61 points.


Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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