Alabama vs. LSU Prediction: Picks & Start Time – November 2022

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SEC rivals will do battle when the No. 6 Alabama Crimson Tide (7-1) face the No. 15 LSU Tigers (6-2) at Tiger Stadium in Baton Rouge, Louisiana.

Alabama vs. LSU Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 13.5 points, with oddsmakers listing Alabama as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Alabama has -590 odds to pick up the win, while LSU is listed at +400 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the total for the game is set at 56.5 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch Alabama vs. LSU Live?

  • Game Day: Saturday, November 5, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN
  • Location: Baton Rouge, Louisiana
  • Stadium: Tiger Stadium

Betting Preview

Alabama

Alabama has been shining on both sides of the ball, ranking 17th-best in total offense (485.4 yards per game) and 15th-best in total defense (295.6 yards allowed per game). Alabama has been making things happen on both sides of the ball this year, as they rank fourth-best in scoring offense (43.1 points per game) and seventh-best in scoring defense (16.6 points allowed per game). Alabama is compiling 274.4 passing yards per game on offense, which ranks them 35th in the FBS. The defense ranks 35th, allowing 201.8 passing yards per game. Alabama has been thriving on both sides of the ball in the running game, ranking 18th-best in rushing offense (211.0 rushing yards per game) and 12th-best in rushing defense (93.9 rushing yards allowed per game). Defensively, Alabama has been a top-25 unit in terms of third-down efficiency, ranking seventh-best by allowing a 26.6% third-down percentage. The team’s offense ranks 28th (47.0% third-down percentage). With six forced turnovers (123rd in the FBS) against 10 turnovers committed (39th in the FBS), Alabama (-4) has the 100th-ranked turnover margin in college football.

LSU

From an offensive perspective, LSU is putting up 450.0 total yards per game (29th-ranked). It ranks 37th in the FBS on the other side of the ball (346.3 total yards allowed per game). LSU is accumulating 35.1 points per game on offense this season (28th-ranked). Meanwhile, it is surrendering 21.1 points per game (27th-ranked) on defense. In terms of passing, LSU ranks 41st in the FBS (266.9 passing yards per game) and 37th defensively (203.9 passing yards allowed per game). LSU is accumulating 183.1 rushing yards per contest on offense this season (43rd-ranked). Meanwhile, it is giving up 142.4 rushing yards per game (67th-ranked) on defense. LSU’s third-down defense ranks 68th in the FBS with a 38.3% third-down conversion percentage surrendered, but it has been bolstered by its offense, which ranks 20th-best by putting up a 49.0% third-down rate. LSU has registered 13 forced turnovers (45th in the FBS) and committed 10 turnovers (39th in the FBS) this season for a +3 turnover margin that ranks 43rd in the FBS.

Alabama vs. LSU Betting Analysis

Alabama Betting Insights

Alabama has covered the spread five times over eight games with a set spread. Alabama has an ATS record of 5-2 when playing as at least 13.5-point favorites. This season, Alabama games have hit the over three times. The Crimson Tide have won four of the five games they were the moneyline favorite this season (80%). The Crimson Tide have played in four games as a moneyline favorite with odds of -590 or shorter and won each time.

Tigers Betting Insights

LSU has covered the spread four times this year (4-2-0). LSU games have gone over the total twice this year. This season, the Tigers have won two out of the three games in which they’ve been the underdog. The Tigers have not been a bigger underdog this season than the +400 moneyline set for this game.

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Alabama vs. LSU Against The Spread & Betting Records

Alabama

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 61.0 59.0 64.3
Implied Total AVG 44.6 47.4 40.0
ATS Record 5-3-0 4-1-0 1-2-0
Over/Under Record 3-5-0 1-4-0 2-1-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 4-1 2-0 2-1
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-0 0-0 0-0

Tigers

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 53.7 56.4 48.3
Implied Total AVG 31.0 33.0 27.0
ATS Record 4-2-0 3-1-0 1-1-0
Over/Under Record 2-4-0 1-3-0 1-1-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 3-0 2-0 1-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 2-1 1-1 1-0

Players to Watch

Alabama

  • The Crimson Tide’s defense has been aided by Will Anderson Jr., who has played eight games and recorded 32 tackles, 10.0 TFL, six sacks, and one interception.
  • As part of the Crimson Tide’s defensive unit, DeMarcco Hellams has posted 1.0 sack to go with 2.0 TFL, 45 tackles, and one interception in eight games.
  • As part of the Crimson Tide’s defense, Henry To’o To’o has recorded 45 tackles, 4.0 TFL, and one sack in eight games.
  • With 2.5 sacks to go along with 4.0 TFL and 26 tackles, Dallas Turner has helped propel the Crimson Tide’s defense over eight games.

Tigers

  • As a playmaker on defense, the Tigers’ BJ Ojulari has registered 24 tackles, 4.0 TFL, and five sacks in eight games.
  • Micah Baskerville has been providing a big boost on defense, compiling one interception to go with 44 tackles, 4.0 TFL, one sack, and one pass defended for the Tigers.
  • In eight games for the Tigers, Mekhi Wingo has posted 26 tackles and two sacks.
  • Jay Ward has amassed one interception to go with 33 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and one pass defended In eight games for the Tigers.

Alabama vs. LSU Predictions and Pick

Alabama vs. LSU betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Tigers (+13.5)

    Pick OU:

    Under (56.5)

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How to Bet on Alabama vs. LSU

You can bet on Alabama vs. LSU at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Alabama vs. LSU picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our prediction to win this contest is Alabama, and we predict that LSU will cover the spread (Alabama -13.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 56.5 points.

WRITTEN BY

Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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