Alabama vs. Kansas State Allstate Sugar Bowl Prediction: Picks & Start Time – December 31, 2022

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The Alabama Crimson Tide will battle the Kansas State Wildcats in the Allstate Sugar Bowl.

Alabama vs. Kansas State Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 7.5 points, with sportsbooks listing Alabama as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Alabama has -308 odds to pick up the win, while Kansas State is listed at +229 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the total for the game is set at 57 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch Alabama vs. Kansas State Live?

  • Game Day: Saturday, December 31, 2022
  • Game Time: 12:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN
  • Location: New Orleans, Louisiana
  • Stadium: Caesars Superdome

Betting Preview

Alabama

Alabama has been a difficult matchup for opposing teams, ranking top-25 in both total offense (12th-best with 475.7 yards per game) and total defense (13th-best with 311.3 yards allowed per game) this year. Alabama has been a difficult matchup for opposing teams, as they rank top-25 in both scoring offense (fourth-best with 40.8 points per game) and scoring defense (ninth-best with 18.0 points allowed per game) this year. Alabama has been finding success on both offense and defense in the passing game, ranking 22nd-best in passing offense (278.3 passing yards per game) and 17th-best in passing defense (186.0 passing yards allowed per game). Alabama is totaling 197.4 rushing yards per game on offense (28th in the FBS), and ranks 33rd defensively with 125.3 rushing yards allowed per game. Alabama has been thriving on both offense and defense in terms of third-down efficiency, ranking 18th-best in third-down percentage (46.7%) and ninth-best in third-down conversion rate allowed (29.4%). Alabama ranks 100th in college football with a -4 turnover margin after forcing 12 turnovers (108th in the FBS) and committing 16 (51st in the FBS).

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Kansas State

With 420.2 total yards per game on offense, Kansas State ranks 41st in the FBS in 2022. On defense, it ranks 56th, surrendering 365.8 total yards per contest. Kansas State has been thriving on the defensive side of the ball, surrendering only 20.1 points per contest (18th-best). Offensively, it ranks 29th by compiling 33.2 points per game. Kansas State is generating 210.5 passing yards per game on offense this season (90th-ranked). Meanwhile, it is giving up 216.9 passing yards per contest (54th-ranked) on defense. Kansas State’s run defense ranks 67th in the FBS with 148.9 rushing yards given up per contest, but it has been lifted up by its offense, which ranks 14th-best by compiling 209.6 rushing yards per contest. Kansas State’s defense has been thriving on third down, surrendering a 33.7% third-down conversion percentage (25th-best). Offensively, it ranks 72nd in the FBS with a 39.0% third-down rate. Kansas State has excelled in terms of turnovers, as the team’s turnover margin of +14 ranks second-best in the FBS, with 24 forced turnovers (seventh in the nation) and 10 turnovers committed (eighth in the nation).

Alabama vs. Kansas State Betting Analysis

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Alabama Betting Insights

Alabama has compiled a 5-6-1 record against the spread this season. In games it is played as 7.5-point favorites or more, Alabama has an ATS record of 5-6-1. Games involving Alabama have hit the over five times this season. The Crimson Tide have compiled a 6-2 record in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 75% of those games). When they have played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -308 or shorter, the Crimson Tide have a record of 5-2 (75%).

Wildcats Betting Insights

Kansas State is 10-3-0 against the spread this year. Kansas State is a perfect 1-0 ATS when playing as at least 7.5-point underdogs. This year, Kansas State games have hit the over six times. This season, the Wildcats have won two out of the four games in which they’ve been the underdog. The Wildcats have played as an underdog of +229 or more once this season and won that game.

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Alabama vs. Kansas State Against The Spread & Betting Records

Alabama

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 59.8 57.6 62.8
Implied Total AVG 43.2 46.4 38.6
ATS Record 5-6-1 4-2-1 1-4-0
Over/Under Record 5-7-0 2-5-0 3-2-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 6-2 3-0 3-2
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-0 0-0 0-0

Wildcats

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 54.1 54.8 53.3
Implied Total AVG 30.9 32.6 29.0
ATS Record 10-3-0 5-2-0 5-1-0
Over/Under Record 6-7-0 3-4-0 3-3-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 8-1 5-1 3-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 2-2 0-1 2-1

Players to Watch

Alabama

  • DeMarcco Hellams has helped spur the Crimson Tide’s defense with 86 tackles, three TFL, one sack, and one interception in 11 games.
  • Brian Branch has hit the gridiron for 12 games, collecting one interception to go along with 73 tackles, eight TFL, one sack, and six passes defended for the Crimson Tide.
  • Will Anderson Jr. has played 12 games, amassing 46 tackles, 14 TFL, eight sacks, and one interception for the Crimson Tide.
  • An important piece of the Crimson Tide’s defense, Henry To’Oto’O has 81 tackles, four TFL, and one sack in 11 games.

Wildcats

  • Austin Moore has been providing a big boost on defense, amassing one interception to go with 77 tackles, seven TFL, and four passes defended for the Wildcats.
  • Josh Hayes has been doing his part on defense, registering 62 tackles, five TFL, and six passes defended for the Wildcats.
  • In 11 games for the Wildcats, Julius Brents has collected 49 tackles, two TFL, and four interceptions.
  • On defense, Daniel Green has contributed 56 tackles, two TFL, one sack, and two interceptions in 12 games.

Alabama vs. Kansas State Predictions and Pick

Alabama vs. Kansas State betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Wildcats (+7.5)

    Pick OU:

    Over (57)

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How to Bet on Alabama vs. Kansas State

You can bet on Alabama vs. Kansas State at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Alabama vs. Kansas State picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our prediction to win this contest is Alabama, and we project that Kansas State will cover the spread (Alabama -7.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 57 points.

WRITTEN BY

Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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