Air Force vs. UNLV Prediction: Picks & Start Time – October 2022

httpscdn.dataskrive.comapiassetRFBGyBKair force falcons vs unlv rebels Betsperts Media & Technology

The Air Force Falcons (4-2) have an MWC matchup with the UNLV Rebels (4-2).

Air Force vs. UNLV Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 10 points, with sportsbooks listing Air Force as the favorites.


As for the moneyline, Air Force has -375 odds to pick up the win, while UNLV is listed at +276 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 50 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch Air Force vs. UNLV Live?

  • Game Day: Saturday, October 15, 2022
  • Game Time: 10:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: CBS Sports Network
  • Location: Paradise, Nevada
  • Stadium: Allegiant Stadium

Betting Preview

Air Force

Air Force ranks 38th in total offense this season (443.7 yards per game), but has been thriving on defense, ranking 18th-best in the FBS with 443.7 yards allowed per game. On the defensive side of the ball, Air Force has been a top-25 unit, ranking 23rd-best by allowing only 18.0 points per game. The offense ranks 53rd (31.8 points per game). While Air Force ranks second-worst in the FBS in passing offense with 91.5 passing yards per game, it’s been a different story with the defense, which ranks ninth-best (162.2 passing yards per game allowed). Air Force sports the 63rd-ranked defense this year in terms of rushing yards (139.2 rushing yards allowed per game), and has been more effective offensively, ranking best with 352.2 rushing yards per game. Air Force sports the 45th-ranked defense this year in terms of third-down efficiency (34.4% third-down percentage allowed), and has been more effective offensively, ranking 16th-best with a 49.3% third-down percentage. Air Force has forced seven total turnovers (86th in the FBS) this season and have turned it over nine times (74th in the FBS) for -2a turnover margin of -2, 100th-ranked in college football.


With 388.0 total yards per game on offense, UNLV ranks 79th in the FBS in 2022. On defense, it ranks 62nd, giving up 369.3 total yards per contest. UNLV ranks 47th in the FBS with 32.7 points per game on offense, and it ranks 62nd with 25.3 points surrendered per game on the defensive side of the ball. UNLV is generating 238.8 passing yards per game on offense this season (72nd-ranked). Meanwhile, it is giving up 248.7 passing yards per contest (92nd-ranked) on defense. UNLV ranks 73rd in the FBS with 149.2 rushing yards per game on offense, and it ranks 40th with 120.7 rushing yards given up per contest on defense. UNLV’s third-down defense has been leading the charge for the team, as it ranks 24th-best in the FBS with a 31.2% third-down conversion rate allowed. In terms of offense, it is compiling a 36.2% third-down rate, which ranks 92nd. UNLV has excelled in terms of turnovers, as the team’s turnover margin of +9 ranks third-best in the FBS, with 12 forced turnovers (13th in the nation) and three turnovers committed (fifth in the nation).

Air Force vs. UNLV Betting Analysis

Air Force Betting Insights

Air Force has covered the spread three times over six games with a set spread. In games they were favored in by 10 points or more so far this season, the Air Force has gone 3-3 against the spread. This season, Air Force games have hit the over four times. The Falcons have gone 4-2 in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 66.7% of those games). The Falcons are 1-2 (winning 66.7% of their games) when playing as a moneyline favorite of -375 or shorter.

Rebels Betting Insights

UNLV is 4-2-0 against the spread this year. In games it has played as 10-point underdogs or more, UNLV has a perfect ATS record of 1-0. UNLV’s games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under three times this year. The Rebels have lost both games they’ve played as underdogs this season. The Rebels have played as an underdog of +276 or more once this season and lost that game.

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Air Force vs. UNLV Against The Spread & Betting Records

Air Force

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 47.1 45.4 50.5
Implied Total AVG 31.7 31.3 32.5
ATS Record 3-3-0 3-1-0 0-2-0
Over/Under Record 4-2-0 3-1-0 1-1-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 4-2 4-0 0-2
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-0 0-0 0-0


Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 53.6 52.8 54.3
Implied Total AVG 31.8 33.0 30.7
ATS Record 4-2-0 2-1-0 2-1-0
Over/Under Record 3-3-0 3-0-0 0-3-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 4-0 3-0 1-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-2 0-0 0-2

Players to Watch

Air Force

  • The Falcons’ defensive unit has been helped by the play of TD Blackmon, who has played six games and amassed 25 tackles, 5.0 TFL, and two sacks.
  • As part of the Falcons’ defensive unit, Camby Goff has recorded 20 tackles and two interceptions in six games.
  • The Falcons’ defense has been aided by Trey Taylor, who has played six games and registered one interception to go along with 22 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and one pass defended.
  • An important piece of the Falcons’ defensive unit, Alec Mock has 24 tackles and 1.0 TFL in six games.


  • Austin Ajiake has been wreaking havoc on defense, recording two interceptions to go with 36 tackles, 6.0 TFL, three sacks, and two passes defended for the Rebels.
  • In six games for the Rebels, Jeffae Williams has collected two interceptions to go with 20 tackles, 2.0 TFL, one sack, and two passes defended.
  • The Rebels’ Adam Plant Jr. has registered 19 tackles, 3.0 TFL, and three sacks in six games.
  • Elijah Shelton has compiled 2.0 sacks to go with 3.0 TFL and 19 tackles in six games for the Rebels.

Air Force vs. UNLV Predictions and Pick

Air Force vs. UNLV betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Rebels (+10)

    Pick OU:

    Over (50)

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5 Second Chance Bets up to $50 each

How to Bet on Air Force vs. UNLV

You can bet on Air Force vs. UNLV at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Air Force vs. UNLV picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our prediction to win this contest is UNLV, and we project that UNLV will cover the spread (Air Force -10). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 50 points.


Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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