Air Force vs. San Diego State Prediction: Picks & Start Time – November 26, 2022

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MWC opponents will do battle when the Air Force Falcons (8-3) face the San Diego State Aztecs (7-4) at Snapdragon Stadium in San Diego, California.

Air Force vs. San Diego State Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 1.5 points, with sportsbooks listing Air Force as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Air Force has -128 odds to pick up the win, while San Diego State is listed at +105 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 43.5 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch Air Force vs. San Diego State Live?

  • Game Day: Saturday, November 26, 2022
  • Game Time: 9:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: CBS Sports Network
  • Location: San Diego, California
  • Stadium: Snapdragon Stadium

Betting Preview

Air Force

Air Force sports the 51st-ranked offense this year (409.6 yards per game), and has been even better on the other side of the ball, ranking third-best with just 260.9 yards allowed per game. Defensively, Air Force has been a top-25 unit, ranking fifth-best by allowing only 14.2 points per game. The offense ranks 63rd (29.0 points per game). Air Force sports the best pass defense this season (152.0 passing yards allowed per game), but ranks worst on offense (72.6 passing yards per game). Air Force has been surging on both sides of the ball in the running game, ranking best in rushing offense (337.0 rushing yards per game) and 17th-best in rushing defense (108.9 rushing yards allowed per game). Air Force has been a tough matchup for opposing teams on third down, ranking top-25 in both third-down offense (18th-best with a 46.9% third-down percentage) and third-down defense (22nd-best with a 32.8% third-down percentage allowed) this season. Air Force has the 100th-ranked turnover margin in college football at even, forcing 13 turnovers (92nd in the FBS) while turning it over 13 times (29th in the FBS).

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San Diego State

San Diego State’s offense has been a bottom-25 unit in total offense this season, compiling 333.7 total yards per game, which ranks 23rd-worst in the FBS. Defensively, it ranks 34th with 340.0 total yards ceded per contest. In terms of points scored San Diego State ranks 101st in the FBS (23.0 points per game), and it is 30th on defense (20.8 points allowed per game). San Diego State’s passing game has not been getting things done, ranking 13th-worst in the FBS with 169.4 passing yards per game. It has been more productive on the defensive side of the ball, allowing 224.1 passing yards per contest (69th-ranked). San Diego State has been excelling on run defense, allowing only 115.9 rushing yards per game (24th-best). On offense, it ranks 55th in the FBS by putting up 164.4 rushing yards per game. San Diego State’s third-down offense has been a bottom-25 unit this season, posting a 31.8% third-down percentage, which ranks 15th-worst in the FBS. On the defensive side of the ball, it ranks 68th with a 38.7% third-down rate surrendered. At +2, San Diego State has the 53rd-ranked turnover margin in the FBS, with 19 forced turnovers (29th in the FBS) and 17 turnovers committed (74th in the FBS).

Air Force vs. San Diego State Betting Analysis

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Air Force Betting Insights

Air Force has put together a 5-5-0 record against the spread this season. Air Force has an ATS record of 5-5 when playing as at least 1.5-point favorites. This season, Air Force games have hit the over five times. The Falcons have put together a 7-3 record in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 70% of those games). The Falcons have a record of 4-3 when playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -128 or shorter (70%).

Aztecs Betting Insights

San Diego State have registered a 5-6-0 record against the spread this season. In games as an underdog by 1.5 points or more so far this year, the Aztecs are 3-2 against the spread. This season, San Diego State games have hit the over five times. The Aztecs have entered the game as underdogs five times this season and won twice. The Aztecs are 1-2 this season when entering a game as the underdog by +105 or more on the moneyline.

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Air Force vs. San Diego State Against The Spread & Betting Records

Air Force

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 45.8 43.9 50.3
Implied Total AVG 30.5 30.0 31.7
ATS Record 5-5-0 4-3-0 1-2-0
Over/Under Record 5-5-0 4-3-0 1-2-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 7-3 6-1 1-2
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-0 0-0 0-0

Aztecs

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 43.6 45.9 40.9
Implied Total AVG 28.3 29.3 27.0
ATS Record 5-6-0 2-4-0 3-2-0
Over/Under Record 5-6-0 2-4-0 3-2-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 5-1 3-1 2-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 2-3 2-0 0-3

Players to Watch

Air Force

  • With 3.0 sacks to go with 7.0 TFL and 42 tackles in 11 games, TD Blackmon has been a key piece of the Falcons’ defensive unit in 2022.
  • As part of the Falcons’ defense, Vince Sanford has recorded 5.5 sacks to go with 6.0 TFL and 35 tackles in 11 games.
  • As part of the Falcons’ defensive unit, Trey Taylor has compiled one interception to go along with 42 tackles, 3.0 TFL, one sack, and one pass defended in 11 games.
  • The Falcons’ defensive unit has been aided by Peyton Zdroik, who has played 11 games, registering 4.5 sacks to go with 6.0 TFL and 21 tackles.

Aztecs

  • As a playmaker on defense, the Aztecs’ Michael Shawcroft has posted 56 tackles, 7.0 TFL, and 4.5 sacks in 11 games.
  • Jonah Tavai has been causing chaos on defense, totaling 36 tackles, 9.0 TFL, and nine sacks for the Aztecs.
  • Cooper McDonald has 2.0 sacks to go with 3.0 TFL, 33 tackles, and one interception in 11 games.
  • On defense, Garret Fountain has compiled 27 tackles, 5.0 TFL, and three sacks in 11 games.

Air Force vs. San Diego State Predictions and Pick

Air Force vs. San Diego State betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Aztecs (+1.5)

    Pick OU:

    Under (43.5)

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How to Bet on Air Force vs. San Diego State

You can bet on Air Force vs. San Diego State at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Air Force vs. San Diego State picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our pick to win this matchup is Air Force, and we predict that San Diego State will cover the spread (Air Force -1.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 43.5 points.

WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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