Air Force vs. New Mexico Prediction: Picks & Start Time – November 2022

httpscdn.dataskrive.comapiassetcEn5FQJair force falcons vs new mexico lobos Betsperts Media & Technology

MWC rivals will do battle when the Air Force Falcons (6-3) face the New Mexico Lobos (2-7) at Falcon Stadium in Colorado Springs, Colorado.

Air Force vs. New Mexico Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 21 points, with sportsbooks listing Air Force as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Air Force has -2205 odds to pick up the win, while New Mexico is listed at +1014 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 37 points.

DraftKings Deposit Bonus Promo
$1,000 Deposit Bonus

Game Info

How to Watch Air Force vs. New Mexico Live?

  • Game Day: Saturday, November 12, 2022
  • Game Time: 3:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: CBS Sports Network
  • Location: Colorado Springs, Colorado
  • Stadium: Falcon Stadium

Betting Preview

Air Force

Air Force sports the 55th-ranked offense this season (408.6 yards per game), and has been even more effective defensively, ranking seventh-best with just 272.7 yards allowed per game. On the defensive side of the ball, Air Force has been a top-25 unit, ranking seventh-best by surrendering only 15.7 points per game. The offense ranks 69th (28.9 points per game). Air Force owns the best pass defense this season (151.7 passing yards allowed per game), but ranks worst on the offensive side of the ball (84.1 passing yards per game). Air Force ranks 28th in run defense this year (121.0 rushing yards allowed per game), but has been playing really well on offense, ranking best in the FBS with 324.4 rushing yards per game. On offense, Air Force has been a top-25 unit in terms of third-down efficiency, ranking 20th-best in the FBS by putting up a 47.3% third-down percentage. The defense ranks 35th on defense (34.0% third-down percentage allowed). Air Force owns the 50th-ranked turnover margin in college football at +2, forcing 13 turnovers (60th in the FBS) while turning it over 11 times (38th in the FBS).

New Mexico

New Mexico’s offense has been bottom-25 in total offense this season, posting 245.3 total yards per game, which ranks worst in the FBS. On the defensive side of the ball, it ranks 28th with 333.0 total yards ceded per contest. New Mexico ranks fifth-worst in points per game (16.0), but it has been more productive defensively, ranking 58th in the FBS with 25.1 points allowed per contest. New Mexico ranks sixth-worst in passing yards per game (107.1), but it has been more productive on the other side of the ball, ranking 29th in the FBS with 197.7 passing yards allowed per contest. From an offensive angle, New Mexico is putting up 138.2 rushing yards per contest (81st-ranked). It ranks 52nd in the FBS defensively (135.3 rushing yards surrendered per game). On offense, New Mexico is a bottom-25 unit on third down, putting up a 24.6% third-down conversion rate (second-worst). On the bright side, it is thriving on defense, ceding a 31.5% third-down rate (17th-best). New Mexico has produced 14 forced turnovers (50th in the FBS) and committed 12 turnovers (52nd in the FBS) this season for a +2 turnover margin that ranks 50th in the FBS.

Air Force vs. New Mexico Betting Analysis

Air Force Betting Insights

Air Force is 4-4-0 against the spread this season. Air Force is a perfect 1-0 ATS when playing as at least 21-point favorites. Air Force games have gone over the total four times this season. The Falcons have won five of the eight games they were listed as the moneyline favorite this season (62.5%). The Falcons have played as a moneyline favorite of -2205 or shorter in only one game this season, which they won.

Lobos Betting Insights

New Mexico have compiled a 3-5-1 record against the spread this season. New Mexico is winless against the spread when it is 21-point underdogs or more (0-1). This season, New Mexico games have hit the over four times. This season, the Lobos have won one out of the seven games in which they’ve been the underdog. The Lobos have played as an underdog of +1014 or more once this season and lost that game.

DraftKings Deposit Bonus Promo
$1,000 Deposit Bonus

Air Force vs. New Mexico Against The Spread & Betting Records

Air Force

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 47.3 45.5 50.3
Implied Total AVG 30.5 29.8 31.7
ATS Record 4-4-0 3-2-0 1-2-0
Over/Under Record 4-4-0 3-2-0 1-2-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 5-3 4-1 1-2
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-0 0-0 0-0

Lobos

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 41.1 40.1 42.4
Implied Total AVG 26.4 23.8 29.8
ATS Record 3-5-1 2-2-1 1-3-0
Over/Under Record 4-5-0 3-2-0 1-3-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 1-1 1-0 0-1
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-6 1-3 0-3

Players to Watch

Air Force

  • TD Blackmon has suited up for nine games, amassing 3.0 sacks to go with 7.0 TFL and 40 tackles for the Falcons.
  • Trey Taylor has suited up for nine games, totaling one interception to go along with 39 tackles, 3.0 TFL, one sack, and one pass defended for the Falcons.
  • The Falcons’ defense has been aided by the contributions of Camby Goff, who has suited up for nine games and recorded three interceptions to go along with 26 tackles and five passes defended.
  • Michael Mack II, as part of the Falcons’ defense, has recorded 1.0 TFL, 29 tackles, and one interception in nine games.

Lobos

  • On defense, Cody Moon has helped set the tone with 38 tackles, 5.0 TFL, and 3.5 sacks in nine games.
  • A.J. Haulcy has delivered 38 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and two interceptions in nine games for the Lobos.
  • Jerrick Reed II has been causing chaos on defense, delivering 3.0 TFL and 35 tackles for the Lobos.
  • Reco Hannah has delivered 2.5 sacks to go with 2.0 TFL, 21 tackles, and one interception in nine games for the Lobos.

Air Force vs. New Mexico Predictions and Pick

Air Force vs. New Mexico betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Falcons (-21)

    Pick OU:

    Over (37)

DraftKings Deposit Bonus Promo
$1,000 Deposit Bonus

How to Bet on Air Force vs. New Mexico

You can bet on Air Force vs. New Mexico at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Air Force vs. New Mexico picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our pick to win this matchup is Air Force, and we predict that Air Force will cover the spread (Air Force -21). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 37 points.

WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

Deals of the Day

See All