Air Force vs. Navy Prediction: Picks & Start Time – October 2022

httpscdn.dataskrive.comapiassetKuVlBPYair force falcons vs navy midshipmen Betsperts Media & Technology

It’ll be the Air Force Falcons (3-1) versus the Navy Midshipmen (1-2) in college football play at Falcon Stadium in Colorado Springs, Colorado.

Air Force vs. Navy Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 14 points, with oddsmakers listing Air Force as the favorites.


As for the moneyline, Air Force has -670 odds to pick up the win, while Navy is listed at +454 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 38.5 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch Air Force vs. Navy Live?

  • Game Day: Saturday, October 1, 2022
  • Game Time: 12:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: CBS
  • Location: Colorado Springs, Colorado
  • Stadium: Falcon Stadium

Betting Preview

Air Force

Air Force has been a handful for opposing teams, ranking top-25 in both total offense (22nd-best with 486.8 yards per game) and total defense (19th-best with 287.8 yards allowed per game) this season. Air Force ranks 33rd in points scored this season (37.8 points per game), but has been shining on defense, ranking 21st-best in the FBS with 16.0 points allowed per game. Air Force has the 12th-best pass defense this season (157.3 passing yards allowed per game), but ranks third-worst offensively (74.5 passing yards per game). Air Force owns the 56th-ranked defense this year in terms of rushing yards (130.5 rushing yards allowed per game), and has been more effective offensively, ranking best with 412.3 rushing yards per game. Air Force owns the 43rd-ranked defense this year in terms of third-down efficiency (33.3% third-down conversion rate allowed), and has been more effective offensively, ranking eighth-best with a 52.9% third-down conversion rate. With six forced turnovers (56th in the FBS) against five turnovers committed (49th in the FBS), Air Force (+1) has the 49th-ranked turnover margin in college football.


Navy is compiling 325.3 total yards per contest on offense this season (106th-ranked). Meanwhile, it is giving up 359.3 total yards per contest (61st-ranked). Navy ranks sixth-worst in points per game (14.3), but it has been more productive defensively, ranking 65th in the FBS with 23.7 points allowed per contest. In terms of passing, this season has been difficult for Navy on both offense and defense, as it is compiling just 128.7 passing yards per game (seventh-worst) and allowing 290.3 passing yards per game (12th-worst). Navy’s run defense has been paving the way for the team, as it ranks fifth-best in the FBS with 69.0 rushing yards surrendered per game. In terms of offense, it is putting up 196.7 rushing yards per game, which ranks 31st. Navy ranks 54th in the FBS with a 43.1% third-down conversion rate on offense, and 98th with a 41.9% third-down percentage allowed on the defensive side of the ball. At -4, Navy has the 100th-ranked turnover margin in the FBS, with three forced turnovers (114th in the FBS) and seven turnovers committed (86th in the FBS).

Air Force vs. Navy Betting Analysis

Air Force Betting Insights

Air Force has put together a 3-1-0 record against the spread this season. In games it is played as 14-point favorites or more, Air Force has an ATS record of 3-1. Air Force games have gone over the total three times this season. The Falcons have won 75% of the games this season when they were favored on the moneyline (3-1). When they have played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -670 or shorter, the Falcons have a record of 1-1 (75%).

Midshipmen Betting Insights

Navy has covered the spread one time this season (1-2-0). Navy has a perfect 1-0 ATS record when playing as at least 14-point underdogs. Navy games have gone over the total once this season. The Midshipmen have split the two games they’ve played as underdogs this season. The Midshipmen have played as an underdog of +454 or more once this season and won that game.

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Air Force vs. Navy Against The Spread & Betting Records

Air Force

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 47.5 47.7 47.0
Implied Total AVG 32.8 33.0 32.0
ATS Record 3-1-0 3-0-0 0-1-0
Over/Under Record 3-1-0 3-0-0 0-1-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 3-1 3-0 0-1
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-0 0-0 0-0


Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 48.2 48.3 48.0
Implied Total AVG 29.3 28.0 32.0
ATS Record 1-2-0 0-2-0 1-0-0
Over/Under Record 1-2-0 1-1-0 0-1-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 0-1 0-1 0-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-1 0-1 1-0

Players to Watch

Air Force

  • Camby Goff has played four games, amassing 14 tackles and two interceptions for the Falcons.
  • The Falcons’ defense has been aided by the play of Alec Mock, who has played four games and registered 1.0 TFL and 19 tackles.
  • Michael Mack II has hit the gridiron for four games, recording 16 tackles for the Falcons.
  • With 1.0 TFL, 13 tackles, and one interception, Trey Taylor has helped carry the Falcons’ defense over four games.


  • On defense, Jacob Busic has helped keep opposing offenses in check with 10 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and three sacks in three games.
  • John Marshall has been providing a big boost on defense, collecting 19 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and two sacks for the Midshipmen.
  • In three games for the Midshipmen, Colin Ramos has amassed 16 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and one sack.
  • With nine tackles, 1.0 TFL, and one sack in three games, Eavan Gibbons has been making a big difference on defense for the Midshipmen.

Air Force vs. Navy Predictions and Pick

Air Force vs. Navy betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Falcons (-14)

    Pick OU:

    Over (38.5)

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How to Bet on Air Force vs. Navy

You can bet on Air Force vs. Navy at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Air Force vs. Navy picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our pick to win this matchup is Air Force, and we expect that Air Force will cover the spread (Air Force -14). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 38.5 points.


Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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