Youngstown State vs Detroit Mercy Prediction: Live Odds, Stats, History & Picks – Thursday, March 2, 2023

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The Youngstown State Penguins (23-8, 15-5 Horizon) will be trying to extend an eight-game home winning streak when squaring off against the Detroit Mercy Titans (14-18, 9-11 Horizon) on Thursday, March 2, 2023 at Beeghly Center. It airs at 8:00 PM ET on ESPN+.

Thursday’s matchup between the Penguins and the Titans sees the Penguins as a strong, 9-point favorite. The matchup has an over/under of 156.5.

Youngstown State vs. Detroit Mercy Odds

Point Spread for Youngstown State vs. Detroit Mercy

The spread for this matchup is set at 9 points, with bookmakers listing Youngstown State as the favorite.

Youngstown State vs. Detroit Mercy Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Youngstown State has -447 odds to pick up the win, while Detroit Mercy is listed at +343 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 156.5 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Thursday, March 2, 2023
  • Game Time: 8:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN+
  • Location: Youngstown, Ohio
  • Arena: Beeghly Center

Youngstown State vs. Detroit Mercy Betting Trends

Youngstown State has played 30 games, with 18 wins against the spread. The Penguins have been favorites in 27 games this season and have come away with the win 20 times (74.1%) in those contests. Youngstown State’s games this year have gone over the point total 22 times in 31 opportunities (71%).

In Detroit Mercy’s 31 games this year, it has 13 wins against the spread. The Titans have won 31.6% of the games this season they were the moneyline underdog (6-13). Detroit Mercy’s games this season have eclipsed the over/under 17 times in 31 opportunities (54.8%).

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Youngstown State vs. Detroit Mercy Key Players to Watch

Youngstown State

Adrian Nelson is tops on the Penguins at 9.5 rebounds per contest, while also posting 1.1 assists and 13.3 points. Malek Green averages 13.9 points, 7.1 rebounds and 1.1 assists per contest. At the other end, he puts up 0.7 steals and 0.5 blocked shots. Brandon Rush is posting 14.1 points, 1.3 assists and 2.6 rebounds per contest.

Detroit Mercy

Gerald Liddell is putting up 14.3 points, 9.7 rebounds and 1.6 assists per game, making 43.4% of his shots from the floor. Damezi Anderson gets the Titans 9.6 points, 4.3 rebounds and 1.0 assists per game. He also averages 0.7 steals and 0.3 blocked shots. A.J. Oliver II is No. 1 on the Titans in rebounding (4.8 per game), and produces 9.0 points and 0.7 assists. He also delivers 0.7 steals and 0.0 blocked shots.

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What you need to know about the Youngstown State Penguins

Youngstown State and its Horizon opponents have combined to go over the point total 14 out of 20 times this season. The Penguins are ceding 72.7 points per game this year (258th-ranked in college basketball), but they’ve really played well on offense, scoring 83.5 points per game (fifth-best). With 32.2 boards per game, Youngstown State is 152nd in the country. It gives up 29.1 rebounds per contest, which ranks 64th in college basketball.

The Penguins are averaging 86.9 points per game at home. On the road, they are averaging 80.7 points per contest. Youngstown State is making 8.2 three-pointers per game this year (89th-ranked in college basketball), and it has a 37.8% three-point percentage (19th-best). With 7.3 threes conceded per game, the Penguins rank 191st in college basketball. They are ceding a 35.4% shooting percentage from beyond the arc, which ranks 278th in college basketball.

The Penguins have gone 8-2 over their last 10 contests, with a 5-5 record against the spread in that span. In its past 10 games, Youngstown State has hit the over six times. In its last 10 games, Youngstown State has been putting up 81.3 points per game, an average that’s a little lower than the 83.5 it has scored over the course of the 2022-23 season. Youngstown State has been tougher on defense lately, allowing 71.9 points per game over its last 10 contests compared to the 72.7 points per game its opponents are averaging over the 2022-23 season.

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What you need to know about the Detroit Mercy Titans

A total of 12 Detroit Mercy conference games this year have hit the over. The Titans are 59th in the nation in points scored (76.9 per game) and 325th in points allowed (75.5). On the boards, Detroit Mercy is 68th in the country in rebounds (33.7 per game). It is 144th in rebounds conceded (30.5 per game).

At home, the Titans average 79.1 points per game. On the road, they average 74.4. Detroit Mercy is the sixth-best squad in the nation in 3-pointers made (10.4 per game) and eighth-best in 3-point percentage (39.2%). The Titans are 321st in the country in 3-pointers conceded (8.5 per game) and 21st-worst in 3-point percentage defensively (37.0%).

The Titans have gone 6-4 in their last 10 contests, with a 4-6 record against the spread in that span. Detroit Mercy has hit the over in four of its past 10 outings. Detroit Mercy has played better offensively over its last 10 games, putting up 79.1 points per contest, 2.2 more than its season average of 76.9. While the Titans are ceding 75.5 points per game in 2022-23, they have bettered that mark over their past 10 games, allowing 71.6 points per contest.

Youngstown State vs. Detroit Mercy Prediction & Pick

Our pick to win this matchup is Youngstown State, and we expect that Detroit Mercy will cover the spread (Youngstown State -9). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 156.5 points.

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How to bet Youngstown State vs. Detroit Mercy

You can bet on Youngstown State vs. Detroit Mercy at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Youngstown State vs. Detroit Mercy picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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