Yale vs Princeton Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Sunday, March 12, 2023

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The No. 1 seed Yale Bulldogs (21-7, 10-4 Ivy League) will aim to earn the Ivy League championship along with a guaranteed spot in the NCAA Tournament bracket when they play the No. 2 Princeton Tigers (20-8, 10-4 Ivy League) on Sunday at 12:00 PM.

The Bulldogs are currently moderate 3-point favorites against the Tigers. A 138.5-point over/under has been set for the game.

Yale vs. Princeton Odds

Point Spread for Yale vs. Princeton

The spread for this matchup is set at 3 points, with sportsbooks listing Yale as the favorite.

Yale vs. Princeton Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Yale has -170 odds to pick up the win, while Princeton is listed at +145 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 138.5 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Sunday, March 12, 2023
  • Game Time: 12:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN2
  • Location: Princeton, New Jersey
  • Arena: Jadwin Gymnasium

Yale vs. Princeton Betting Trends

In Yale’s 26 games this year, it has 18 wins against the spread. The Bulldogs have been favorites in 20 games this season and have come away with the win 16 times (80%) in those contests. Yale’s games this year have gone over the total in nine out of 26 opportunities (34.6%).

Against the spread, Princeton is 14-12-0 this year. The Tigers have been the moneyline underdog five total times this season. They’ve gone 3-2 in those games. Princeton’s games this season have hit the over 14 times in 26 opportunities (53.8%).

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Yale vs. Princeton Key Players to Watch


EJ Jarvis is tops on the Bulldogs at 5.4 rebounds per contest, while also putting up 0.6 assists and 11.6 points. Bez Mbeng leads his squad in assists per contest (3.2), and also averages 10.2 points and 4 rebounds. Defensively, he averages 1.5 steals and 0.2 blocked shots. John Poulakidas posts 12.4 points, 3.1 rebounds and 1.5 assists per game. Defensively, he averages 0.6 steals and 0.4 blocked shots. Matt Knowling posts a team-high 14.1 points per contest. He is also posting 4.9 rebounds and 2.3 assists, shooting 62.7% from the field.


Matt Allocco gets the Tigers 10.9 points, 4.9 rebounds and 2 assists per game. He also delivers 0.8 steals and 0.2 blocked shots. Caden Pierce is the Tigers’ top rebounder (7 per game), and he contributes 8.2 points and 1.2 assists. Ryan Langborg is putting up 12 points, 3.1 rebounds and 1.5 assists per game, making 41.6% of his shots from the floor and 33.3% from 3-point range, with 2 triples per game.

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What you need to know about the Yale Bulldogs

Yale has won nine games against the spread in conference play this season, while failing to cover six times. The Bulldogs have a top-25 defense this year, ranking 20th-best in college basketball with 62.6 points allowed per game. On offense, they rank 59th with 76.6 points scored per contest. Yale is allowing 28.4 rebounds per game this season (36th-ranked in college basketball), but it has provided a lift by averaging 35.2 rebounds per game (25th-best).

The Bulldogs are posting 83.2 points per game in home games. On the road, they are averaging 71.2 points per contest. Yale is draining 7.5 threes per game (169th-ranked in college basketball). It sports a 36.2% shooting percentage (69th-ranked) from downtown. The Bulldogs rank 167th in the nation with 7.1 three-pointers allowed per game this season. Meanwhile, they rank 66th with a 31.9% shooting percentage allowed from downtown.

The Bulldogs have gone 9-1 in their last 10 contests, with a 9-1 record against the spread during that span. In its past 10 contests, Yale has gone over the total four times. On the offensive side of the ball, Yale has picked up its output a little bit over its last 10 games, scoring 79.3 points per contest over that span compared to the 76.6 it has racked up over the course of this season. The last 10 games have seen Yale give up 2.2 more points per game (64.8) than its season-long average (62.6).

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What you need to know about the Princeton Tigers

A total of eight Princeton conference games this season have gone over the point total. The Tigers put up 76.1 points per game and give up 68.7, ranking them 77th in the nation offensively and 137th defensively. Princeton is the 12th-best squad in college basketball in rebounds per game (36) and is ranked 102nd in rebounds conceded (30).

The Tigers are scoring more points at home (81.4 per game) than away (72.4). Princeton is 62nd in college basketball in 3-pointers made (8.5 per game) and 175th in 3-point percentage (34.3%). The Tigers are 70th in the nation in 3-pointers allowed (6.4 per game) and 97th in 3-point percentage defensively (32.4%).

The Tigers have a 6-4 record against the spread while going 7-3 overall over their past 10 contests. In its past 10 games, Princeton has hit the over seven times. Princeton is putting up 78.4 points per contest in its last 10 games, compared to its season average of 76.1. The Tigers are giving up 76.3 points per contest over their previous 10 games, which is 7.6 more points than they are allowing for the season (68.7).

Yale vs. Princeton Prediction & Pick

Our prediction to win this contest is Yale, and we expect that Yale will cover the spread (Yale -3). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 138.5 points.

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How to bet Yale vs. Princeton

You can bet on Yale vs. Princeton at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Yale vs. Princeton picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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