Xavier vs Pittsburgh Prediction: Live Odds, Stats, History & Picks – Sunday, March 19, 2023

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The No. 3 seed Xavier Musketeers (26-9) take to the court against the No. 11 seed Pittsburgh Panthers (24-11) with a Sweet 16 berth in the Midwest Region of the bracket on the line on Sunday at Greensboro Coliseum.

The Musketeers square off against the Panthers in a game that Xavier is currently a favorite by 5 points. The over/under is 147.5 points for the game.

Xavier vs. Pittsburgh Odds

Point Spread for Xavier vs. Pittsburgh

The spread for this matchup is set at 5 points, with sportsbooks listing Xavier as the favorite.

Xavier vs. Pittsburgh Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Xavier has -218 odds to pick up the win, while Pittsburgh is listed at +178 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 147.5 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Sunday, March 19, 2023
  • Game Time: 12:10 PM ET
  • TV Channel: CBS
  • Location: Greensboro, North Carolina
  • Arena: Greensboro Coliseum

Xavier vs. Pittsburgh Betting Trends

Xavier is 18-16-1 against the spread this season. The Musketeers have come away with 21 wins in the 24 contests they have been listed as the favorites in this season. Xavier’s games this year have hit the over on 21 of 35 set point totals.

In Pittsburgh’s 35 games this season, it has 24 wins against the spread. The Panthers have been the underdog on the moneyline 17 total times this season. They’ve finished 9-8 in those games. Pittsburgh’s games this year have gone over the total in 21 of 35 opportunities (60%).

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Xavier vs. Pittsburgh Key Players to Watch


Jack Nunge puts up a team-best 7.9 rebounds per game. He is also posting 14 points and 2.1 assists, shooting 52.1% from the field and 41.1% from downtown with 1.1 made 3-pointers per contest. Colby Jones paces the Musketeers at 4.3 assists per game, while also putting up 5.4 rebounds and 15.1 points. Zach Freemantle averages 15.2 points, 8.1 rebounds and 2.9 assists per contest, shooting 58.5% from the floor.


Jamarius Burton is the Panthers’ top scorer (15.2 points per game) and assist man (4.2), and contributes 4.7 rebounds. Blake Hinson is the Panthers’ top scorer (15.2 points per game) and rebounder (6.1), and posts 1.2 assists. Nelly Cummings is the Panthers’ top assist man (4.7 per game), and he posts 11.2 points and 2.5 rebounds. Greg Elliott is posting 10.5 points, 3.9 rebounds and 1.2 assists per contest, making 43.8% of his shots from the floor and 41.5% from 3-point range, with 2.2 triples per contest.

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What you need to know about the Xavier Musketeers

The Musketeers are surrendering 73.9 points per game this year (291st-ranked in college basketball), but they’ve really played well on offense, posting 81.1 points per contest (11th-best). Xavier is averaging 34.8 boards per game (35th-ranked in college basketball) this year, while allowing 29 rebounds per contest (55th-ranked).

Xavier ranks fourth-best in college basketball with a three-point shooting percentage of 39.1%. It ranks 181st in college basketball by sinking 7.4 three-pointers per contest. The Musketeers are ceding 7.5 treys per game (217th-ranked in college basketball). They are allowing opposing teams to shoot 35.6% (292nd-ranked) from downtown.

The Musketeers have a 5-5 record against the spread while going 7-3 overall over their past 10 games. In its past 10 games, Xavier has hit the over four times. Xavier’s offense has been less productive over its last 10 games, scoring 76.1 points a contest compared to the 81.1 it has averaged this year. Xavier has been a little improved on the defensive end of the floor recently, allowing 69.2 points per game over its last 10 contests compared to the 73.9 it has conceded per game this year.

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What you need to know about the Pittsburgh Panthers

The Panthers put up 75.2 points per game and give up 69.3, ranking them 92nd in college basketball offensively and 153rd defensively. With 33.1 rebounds per game and 31.6 rebounds conceded, Pittsburgh is 95th and 207th in the nation, respectively.

In 2022-23, Pittsburgh is 29th in college basketball in 3-point makes (9.1 per game) and 74th in 3-point percentage (36.1%). Defensively, the Panthers are 231st in college basketball in 3-pointers allowed per game at 7.6. They are 106th in 3-point percentage conceded at 32.6%.

The Panthers are 6-4 against the spread and 6-4 overall over their last 10 games. In its past 10 games, Pittsburgh has gone over the total six times. While Pittsburgh is putting up 75.2 points per game in 2022-23, it has bettered that mark in its previous 10 games, tallying 75.8 a contest. While the Panthers are ceding 69.3 points per game in 2022-23, they have been worse in their past 10 games, allowing 73 points per contest.

Xavier vs. Pittsburgh Prediction & Pick

Our prediction to win this game is Xavier, and we expect that Pittsburgh will cover the spread (Xavier -5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 147.5 points.

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How to bet Xavier vs. Pittsburgh

You can bet on Xavier vs. Pittsburgh at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Xavier vs. Pittsburgh picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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